I think it's fun to consider after 15 years of the iPhone is something going to occur in 2023/2024 that supersedes it?
"Augmented reality will demand software that does more but also gets out of the way more" from WWDC 2022
HOW FAR IS AR FROM REPLACING SMARTPHONE?
An ideal AR glasses requires mature algorithms, interactive solutions, and excellent display effects. It also require elements suitable for consumers to wear, such as fashionable appearance. From this factor, AR glasses are still in the exploratory stage.
“We predict that consumer-grade AR will go through three stages: the early market (2022-2025), also known as the preparation period, the essence and core capability of this stage are hardware devices, which can replace some mobile phone scenarios; the mainstream market (2025 -2028), the performance of the hardware meets the requirements of the Killer App, revolutionary products appear, and enter the mass user; the ecological explosion stage (after 2028), this stage forms a barrier that constitutes a positive ecological cycle.” Li Hongwei said.
This means that we have at least six years to get a 100% working Augmented Reality technology. At the moment, the overall shipments of AR glasses are still small. In fact, there is no consumer-grade AR product at the moment.
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Jitesh Ubrani, research manager for IDC’s Mobile and Consumer Device Tracking, expects AR headsets to become mainstream in consumption as early as late 2024 or early 2025.