the future said:
When one format has all the movies and the other format less than half, retailers will not waste shelf space on the second format. This game is over unless something very unexpected happens.
For the first 1-2 years. After that, HD-DVD will still be stuck at 30 GB, while BR will be at 50 GB.
OK Dr Future,
If you say it like you are the expert in the topic does that mean what you are saying is correct? NO. There are at least two articles including the one I posted before that directly contradict what you are saying. I am pretty sure there is at least one more fact you are completely wrong on. I will hold off on that one as I am a little tired to look it up.
I am sorry for my late reply but I did just get stuck by Hurricane Wilma and have gone without power and internet for about a week now. I still am stuck with a dial up connection until cable is working again.
the future said:
Wrong. There have been 4 and 8 layer Blu-ray discs developed in labs, but not multi-layer HD-DVD discs. The highest HD-DVD was ever supposed to go was two layers (30 GB), later on they added a 3 layer model (in the lab) to persuade Disney to release movies on HD-DVD (which didn't work). All of this matters little wrt prerecorded media, as there is only dual-layer in both specs, resulting in 30 GB max for HD-DVD and 50 GB max for Blu-ray.
WRONG! I love that you sound like the chick from the weakest link.
That is incorrect.
HD-DVD has created four layer HD-DVD's and they are working on 8 layer in the lab. You are the weakest link.
There is an article in timemagazine.com just search for blue-ray vs HD-DVD.
The guy between our little fight posted something that I think is the most intellegent thing said here in this thread. He said something about it not mattering because DVD players will just come with the ability to play both formats, and maybe Bluy-Ray's will win in the end. Because they can expand blue-ray further then HD-DVD.
I really don't care which side wins. I just want a tough version of the consumer burnables. HD-DVD offeres waay more then Blue-Ray does in that area and I was ponting that out. That OK Dr. Dingleberry

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I am a big Apple stockholder so it would be better for me if Blue-ray wins in the end. The guy is right HD-DVD players after the first year will just play both formats, unless there is no competition what so ever and one format just totally wins.
the future said:
Duplication houses have zero influence over the outcome of this "format war", though. Content is king, so the Hollywood studios call the shots (and, to a lesser extent, retailers; see below).
Who do you think will have to pay the duplication houses? The studio's Dr. Future. Quick Doc to the future mobile... The studios will pay for the extra equipment costs. They will have to pay for it in every Blue Ray disc that is made.
the future said:
BS. With hardcoat, Blu-ray will scratch far less easily than DVD or HD-DVD. This has been demonstrated a long time ago.
Alas Hard Coat will only be available to the Mass duplicators, if you are using your computers blue-ray burning drive to back up irreplaceable family memories or top secret data that James Bond needs to return to MI-6. James is going to lose all his data when he slides behind the big white van in the parking garage, to avoid AK-57 gunfire. Because Hardcoat must be applied after you burn the discs.
This just in...
As of yet no plans to distrubute The Blue Ray hard coat in spray can for the general public. Now Back to Jen and some tibeten monks give us some secret tips on how to stop a leaky tampon. That is lovely hair you are waring, Jen. and May I Say! Your tampon seems very unleaky.
[JENN] (Blushing) Thank you Bill. Now...
Bored Now
-Hart