At the recent //build/ developers conference, Microsoft presented their latest round of cross-platform APIs allowing developers to write-once, run anywhere-Windows.
There have been a dozen such attempts by Microsoft going back to 2000. I don't know if this is simply the latest attempt to fail or if this is the time they'll actually deliver.
If they actually deliver, then I can see Microsoft making a great impact on the mobile space... Windows Phone 8 is highly efficient running extremely well on low-end spec'ed smartphones. Having software compatibility between WP8.1 and Windows RT 8.1 would be quite an attractive proposition for developers and for consumers.
I can definitely see a place for Windows RT in this scenario.
I honestly do not know. Microsoft Windows RT is already known as a big failure for Microsoft. The first Surface was a failure, and Microsoft lost tons of money with it. And companies are moving away from RT now. Just take a look at the options available at Amazon.com. Very few tablets with Windows RT are still on sale, and most of them are heavily discounted. Asus Vivo Tab RT is being sold for less than half its original price. Even the Surface 2 is being sold with a heavy discount. That does not help.
Microsoft may push Windows RT, but it will be the only one to do so. I do not see too many incentives for adopting Windows RT.
I do not see why a consumer would pay US$ 500 for a tablet with an ARM processor running Windows RT when it can have, for the same price, a tablet with an Intel Atom processor running full Windows. It will run everything the ARM processor runs, plus the so-called legacy apps. The Windows RT tablets have a chance only if they sell for less than these Atom tablets.
But then, there would hardly be any profits, since the costs of production will not allow it. Companies will give up Windows RT, simply because they do not want to lose money. Take a look at how many companies are giving Windows RT up and choosing to release Atom tablets running full Windows.
And what about developers? There are tons of "legacy" apps written for Windows running on Intel processors. I am not a developer, but I guess translating these apps to some "one-size-fits-all" Windows would require some work. Would developers take the time and the resources necessary to translate these apps so they can run on both Windows and Windows RT? That is not automatic. And several people do really need those "legacy" apps, as they represent the vast majority of apps these days.
You may call me skeptical, but I do not see Windows RT taking off. If Microsoft chooses to put Windows RT in the forthcoming Surface 3, then it may have some (although very few) chances. If Microsoft turns to an Atom processor running Windows, then Windows RT is dead and buried.
If Microsoft's talk of cross-platform support is more sizzle than steak, then I agree with you that a Surface 3 could be Atom-based running full Windows. And that might very well be Microsoft's exit strategy.
The thing is, the Surface hardware is premium hardware. All the other Windows tablets look and feel like toys in comparison. I'm greatly impressed with the capabilities/ports/connectivity of the non-Pro Surface hardware. The only thing preventing it from being a runaway hit is the software situation... which is better than it was but far from where it needs to be.
I guess Microsoft will have to support Windows RT for some time, even if it plans to have it discontinued. The Surface hardware is premium hardware, but I guess Intel could very well deliver processors that match ARM in terms of pricing. Microsoft could still make a premium Surface tablet with an Atom processor and sell it for the same price of the current Surface 2 or for a few bucks more.
If you take a look at all the tablets, you will see that they may look cheaper, but they are also cheaper than the Surface 2. Just look at the specs, apart from the processor:
Surface 2: 32 GB, US$ 449.00; 64 GB, US$ 549.00
HP Omni 10: 32 GB, US$ 399.00; 64 GB, US$ 449.00
Dell Venue 11 Pro: 64 GB, US$ 499.00
These tablets all have a similar screen and are cheaper than Surface 2. For US$ 50 more, these companies could probably deliver a tablet with a more premium feel.