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I have to say I agree with Icahn. Apple seems undervalued to me.

Apple is greatly undervalued. I don't know if I'd go with Icahn's $200 a share but $150 is realistic without crossing over into over-valued (like a lot of tech companies). Apple today has a forward P/E of $12. Compare that to Google with a forward P/E of 19, or Microsoft at around 15. Amazon (a would-be competitor to Apple) has a forward P/E of 82! HP is well-established and stodgy; they have a forward P/E of 9.0 (which is about right, historically-speaking) but they're really not a competitor to Apple any more and haven't been since the iPhone came out.
 
Apple is quite high at the moment, so buying shares is not that good an idea. If Apple dropped to $90 or $80, then they should buy shares.
And what happens to Apple when they've bought enough shares back that Carl owns 51% of what's left?
 
And keep in mind, that any large acquisition of another large company would mean a complete change of Apple culture. Apple could acquire Facebook but I don't want the company culture shift that that would create. I want Apple to say Apple and that means not adding 20,000 new employees in one fell swoop. That means not adding Mark Zuckerberg of Elon Musk as co-CEO. And any $100 billion level acquisition is going to mean doing something like that.

How many large acquisitions have ever worked out well in the long run? Usually they're disasters. Look at AOL/Time Warner as a perfect example.
 
And what happens to Apple when they've bought enough shares back that Carl owns 51% of what's left?

Carl only owns about 0.88% of Apple shares. Apple would have to buy back and retire about 98% of the existing shares before Carl would own 51% of Apple. Something tells me that's not going to happen anytime soon.
 
I thought it was tradition to use this picture of our good friend Carl

Icahn.png


If that won't slide, then I say we go with this one

9eGsius.jpg
 
If Apple buys back shares for one billion dollars, then the value of the company is reduced by one billion dollars. That's compensated for by the fact that there are now fewer shares, so the value of the company is divided by fewer shares.

If Apple buys shares at exactly what they are worth, that's pointless. If Apple buys shares at a higher price than they are worth (because the share price is too high), that's bad because it reduces the value for the remaining share holders, and I don't think you can make an argument that Apple owes anything to share holders selling their shares. If Apple buys shares at a lower price than they are worth, that's a good thing because the value for the remaining share holders goes up.

Apple is quite high at the moment, so buying shares is not that good an idea. If Apple dropped to $90 or $80, then they should buy shares.

All correct. Just Icahn has a different opinion about the stock. He is saying that he thinks the shares are low. He is predicting that the market is going to catch on to this fact eventually. By saying "Apple is quite high at the moment", you are taking opposite view. If you are right, Apple should keep its money and continue to earn 1% on it investing in safe government bonds. If Icahn is right, Apple should buy shares for $101 today because they will be worth $203 in a year or two. We don't know which of you is right. However, we do know that Icahn was right when Apple was trading at 46% less a year ago. All of Apple's buybacks in the last year have been terrifically good trades.
 
And what happens to Apple when they've bought enough shares back that Carl owns 51% of what's left?

You are operating in the wrong scale. Carl Icahn owns through his fund about 1%. He isn't ever going to get anywhere close to owning 51%. No amount of buybacks will achieve that result and Icahn won't ever have the 100s of billions to invest to buy into a majority position in Apple.
 
How many large acquisitions have ever worked out well in the long run? Usually they're disasters. Look at AOL/Time Warner as a perfect example.

Worked out great for AOL.

But totally agree with you. That was my point. I don't want Apple to do a large acquisition. And there is no other conceivable use for $166 billion plus the other tens or even hundreds of billions coming as we shift from the PC era to the iOS era. (Side note, yes, that is where i think we are headed. Android is not Apple's competitor, Windows is its competitor. And I don't think Windows has a chance.)
 
Folks as much as many of us can't stand the guy, business is business and he owns quite a bit of stock. He's doing what is good for him. He's an investor and he wants his share of the "Apple" pie. Oh see what I did there?
 
apple needs to force this guy out

they need to seize his stake in the company and force him out at the same price he came in. OR he needs to drop dead from old age along with Rupert Murdoch. The man looks like a saddle but those fingernail and hands are sooo pretty and soft. Probably never did an honest days work in his life.
 
No amount of buybacks will achieve that result and Icahn won't ever have the 100s of billions to invest to buy into a majority position in Apple.
That's mathematical gibberish. Given x number of shares owned by him, there's a specific number of shares that Apple could buy back and all he would need to do would be to hold on to his and he'd have 51%. No additional investing on his part required. Of course, he can use the dividends to continue buying shares, so the number Apple needs to buy back to give him control would be smaller. In addition, there's no reason he couldn't be working with a partner or partners on this, if control of the company is his ultimate goal. Together they could have more than 1% already.
 
Oh this guy again. Trying to manipulate the market again. Eugh.

That’s very likely no different from what the Board at Apple do or any other company. Can’t really say if he’s a douche or not I don’t know enough about him but any time a person or corporation says something questionable about a product they are trying to sell, they also are manipulating the market.
 
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