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Well, there are a few factors I would say about life in universe.

Since the time life existed on earth, you could fit several human life. I mean, we have been around for 20 thousand years and life has been on earth for around 180 millions years? That would be around 9 thousand civilizations in that same period of time.

Then, earth is not an old planet, it pretty new.

And then, there are billions of galaxies.

Life has to be around every where. Actually on earth life is every where in every shape. So life in the universe... is obvious.

Yup. Your numbers are a bit off but the idea is spot on. Simple single cell life has been around on earth for about 3.6 billion years. ;) Complex, multi-celled life has been around for about a billion. Your numbers are spot on for mammals though, mammals have been around for ~200 million years or so. And what's considered "modern humans" have been around ~200,000 years.

But yeah, we can't even grasp the concept of how long the universe was around before the Earth was formed. If the multiverse theory is true, then our universe as we know it, formed by the big bang, is just one of possibly an infinite amount of universes. And in just our universe, billions upon billions of galaxies, all full of stars and planets that could possibly have life. The odds are much greater that there is life elsewhere than not. Pretty crazy stuff.
 
Just imagine if aliens are actually all like Mork from 'Mork and Mindy'. Millions of them, all coming to live with us and be friends....

Ill take annihilation over that any day.
 
In case anyone is interested there is an excellent book about this topic I read last year:

If the Universe Is Teeming with Aliens ... WHERE IS EVERYBODY?: Fifty Solutions to the Fermi Paradox and the Problem of Extraterrestrial Life

It's on Amazon.com

Anyway, the author makes a point that we don't actually have to have a two way communication with an alien race initially, all we/they have to do is send out a signal that "we're here" and we could locate each other.

How we do this is to put large structures in orbit around a star that would turn the star into a pulse beacon lasting millions or perhaps billions of years. Any civilization using simple radio telescopes would find it. For an advanced civilization millions of years old this should be a piece of cake, yet so far nothing.
 
Yes, all true and good points. I just wonder how we can communicate with life so far away that a reply wouldn't arrive for possibly millions of years. And then there is signal strength for simple contact. With the cosmic noise of billions of stars (our sun is very 'loud') many of them exploding, would we 'hear' the faint sound of intelligent life which would probably be nearly silent compared to all that unimaginably loud noise? IMHO, no. Just my 2 cents ;)

And I agree with you. Back-and-forth is not feasible with our current tech. I'm thinking of contact and communication in the broadest terms. Just hearing something from somewhere (and then seeing something back) would do enough to rock a lot of world views.
 
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