Because few years from now the Rolex will still be worth 37K but Apple Edition will be worth almost nothing.
Just saw a Rolex (NOT A SMARTWATCH) in a pretty (not really my style) rose gold. Looks very classy. 42 mm, the name is Rose Gold Sky Dweller by Rolex, and can you name the price? Remember, it is 'just' a watch. No notifications coming in from your iPhone. You can't view pretty photographies on it, store music, or even make it track your run. Well, the price is around $37.000, a pretty darn high price for something, that cannot do anything besides tell time, and date in the month. So how come it is unfair to pay $17.000 for a golden, limited quantity smartwatch, as the highest price? Why is it, that your balls hurt when you see the price tag of $17.000 on a golden AppleWatch?
For quite some time it was also Longines, though they don't have the reputation they once did. Omega would have gone the same way had it not been for Nicholas Hayek's reorg of the brand.
What happens is that for the first few years, a Rolex immediately depreciates to about half its list price.
Twenty year Rolex owner here. This is a fallacy. What happens is that for the first few years, a Rolex immediately depreciates to about half its list price. Then, because of planned price increases and a very stale, unchanging lineup of watches and an inflated brand perception in America in particular, the resale slowly climbs up.
If you paid retail and did not finagle a deal, then within about 10-15 years, maybe 20, the current resale of your Rolex, assuming it is in absolute mint condition and very few are by that time, without having spent gobs of money on adjustments, regular maintenance, and parts replacement, then you might just break even.
But again, by that time, you'll have spent thousands of dollars on maintenance, repairs and so on in order to keep the operating and sellable condition of the watch.
No offense intended, but Audemars in The Netherlands is mostly worn by professional football players and criminals (like Breitling for Bentley).
Here it is mostly Omega, Breitling, Panerai and IWC. Some people wear Rolexes, but only a small percentage.
I myself have a GMTII Black and blue bezel, and two Breitlings (Cosmonaute and the Superocean Chrono).
A lot of it is down to the Rolex you buy. Certain models are much more sought after than others and therefore the price is reflected accordingly.
If we want a direct comparison, limited edition Rolex's hold their value very well and while they won't hold 100% of their value, they will certainly keep 80% of it.
Yes. Steel sports are generally considered the best buy in the Rolex range (though many consider them over valued and are waiting for a severe crash). Anything with diamonds all over don't touch it!!!
I have some good friends who have several stores (including in Mayfair, London) selling pre owned watches. Rolex is their top seller. They cannot get enough steel sports watches. Anything with precious metals or diamond they simply cannot sell, no-one will touch them.
Not sure if this is entirely true. If I look for a Rolex Submariner Date of 3-7 years old on Chrono24, I can't find any that go for much less than 95% of original retail. Or am I missing something? Honest question, because I'm looking for a Submariner currently.
I don't know watches. How much do used-watch dealers mark up the items they sell?
If you see that you could buy a used watch for 95% of the new cost, how much could you sell it for? Not 95%, surely. The dealer will pay less, probably a lot less. Maybe he'll buy it for only 65% of the new price.
There's certainly a bid/ask spread on used watches. I don't know how big the spread is.
Not sure if this is entirely true. If I look for a Rolex Submariner Date of 3-7 years old on Chrono24, I can't find any that go for much less than 95% of original retail. Or am I missing something? Honest question, because I'm looking for a Submariner currently.
What I pointed out in the rest of my post was pertinent to this example.... Immediately, it depreciates to near half but that price starts to come up because the alternative, buying new, goes up due to planned price increases.
So yeah in seven years time it holds more of its value than it does when you leave the jeweler.
I'll give an example:
When I purchased my GMT Master II (16713) almost twenty years ago, its list price was $5500. I negotiated with the dealer and paid $4000.
It appraised a year or two later for around $2800 (this was before eBay became ubiquitous). But Rolex kept increasing the price by as much as $500 once or twice a year every year, and then they replaced this model entirely with the one with solid links and a ceramic bezel.
So, now, the alternative is you go and pay about $13,000 for a GMT Master II or buy a used one and consequently mine could sell for around $7-9k if in mint condition, maybe $4-5k used.... but it's taken twenty years to get there for the reasons mentioned above.
You're basing this recommendation on 'now'.Your basing this on experience 20 years ago.
*stuff*
Basically, buy a plain steel Rolex sports watch now, and you will see it barely depreciate.
You're basing this recommendation on 'now'.
Sure, but you're basing future projected resale prices on current trends.Exactly, because I can't sell a watch in the past can I?
Sure, but you're basing future projected resale prices on current trends.
In ten years' time it's (just about) conceivable that smartwatches are 'embedded' to the extent that the market for traditional high end watches has shrunk to a half, or a quarter, of its previous size.
So, now, the alternative is you go and pay about $13,000 for a GMT Master II or buy a used one and consequently mine could sell for around $7-9k if in mint condition, maybe $4-5k used.... but it's taken twenty years to get there for the reasons mentioned above.
In this context pocket watches definitely out I think. The watches you link to and even the Vacheron movement you mention are all well below US $5 m. The only pieces I know that have gone above that are vintage pieces at auction or are covered in diamonds and hence become something you don't want to own for the sake of good taste.
It's a tricky one because Roger W Smith, who was George Daniels apprentice, makes bespoke watches, but of course prices are not published. As he only makes a handful of watches a year, they very rarely come up for auction.
If you are not aware of George Daniels and Roger W Smith and are "into" horology you should be ashamed. These two guys are the absolute pinnacle of watchmaking, more elite that Patek et al. Couple of intro articles below, but plenty of stuff, including videos on the web.
http://www.wsj.com/video/why-george...ons/4AAC4BB9-A945-4903-81A8-8CDB2A6A47E6.html
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-isle-of-man-20094532
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/art...s-Its-time-visit-great-British-eccentric.html
Finally, glad to see you went for a regular Royal Oak and not an Offshore. I tried on a Royal Oak once, not sure of the exact model, but it was extra thin, for this reason it didn't work very well for me. My everyday watch is a Sea Dweller (original model), so going to an extra thin just didn't work! Anyway, at least I can do the washing up with a sense of security knowing the watch can take the splashes!
The No True Scotsman Fallacy, eh? Somewhere there's a guy with a Patek Philippe Grande Complication laughing at us all, but I'm laughing right back at him because that's an absurd amount of money to spend just to have the stars laid out as they appear above the original owner's Fifth Avenue apartment.
See, my problem is not with the idea that there are some of us out there who actually do know the back history of movements, their watchmakers, the COSC standards that certify chronometers, etc. etc. but the notion that *most* people who buy watches of this type are interested in such things is a bit of a stretch.
I would argue that actual watch enthusiasts make up a small fraction of the luxury market itself. After all, most of them are not engineers and can't the difference between the escapement clutch on a Rolex 1652/3 movement versus a Vacheron + Constantin Calibre 2260. And if the movement were the real matter of interest, then *hardcore* watch collectors who know their stuff would be looking at Rotary... one of the oldest and hardiest brands of mechanical wristwatches in Switzerland.
The difference? Rotary costs peanuts and doesn't telegraph to the world, "I'm a pompous douchebag with more money than sense."
That's why most people buy these watches... because they don't actually understand or appreciate the engineering behind the movements, but want to buy something that tells everyone their status.
No offense intended, but Audemars in The Netherlands is mostly worn by professional football players and criminals (like Breitling for Bentley).
Here it is mostly Omega, Breitling, Panerai and IWC. Some people wear Rolexes, but only a small percentage.
I myself have a GMTII Black and blue bezel, and two Breitlings (Cosmonaute and the Superocean Chrono).
To address what Avatar74 is saying above: I bought them because I think these are enourmously gorgeous watches. WHat do I like about them:
GMT II: I think the Rolex design is one of the most beautiful watch designs that doesn't contain too much complicated stuff.
Cosmonaute: I love the 24 hour dial and the general Navitimer design. I also love that there are so very few people that have this watch.
Superocean Chrono: To be honest not too happy with this one, and I'm probably going to sell it.
Thanks for that! Still, I don't see that behavior now though. I'm not able to find any submariner or GMT II for less than its purchase price even when looking for the years 2010 and later.
Exactly. There are plenty of people who will spend far more than that on a watch that just tells the time.
The $10,000 Apple Watch Edition is *NOT* *NOT* *NOT* for the average person. The price tag isn't the only reason. It is for people who are willing to spend 5 figures on a watch. There are exceedingly few watches that have an intrinsic value of >$10,000 (unless you made a Moto 360-sized watch out of a solid lump of gold, or encrusted with many diamonds...) Yet people regularly pay far more than that for a watch.
I do fully agree with the arguments that a $50,000 Rolex won't become obsolete in 3 years the way an Apple Watch may, but still - people who are interested in a $10,000 Apple Watch aren't going to be the kind who care that it is obsolete in 3 years - they'll buy the $10,000 Apple Watch 2 next year. And the $10,000 Apple Watch 3 the year after that. (And still have spent less money than a $50,000 Rolex. And don't even get me started on $1 million Patek Philippe watches...)
With the greatest of respect, I paid five figures for my timepiece and I would certainly never consider spending the same on the Apple Watch.
I understand 350-1,000 but 10,000 is ludicrous.
Hey tech geeks.
I talked to a watch collector friend of mine, who pointed out two things to me.
One, $10,000 is the entry price for an entry level collectible watch. Anything below that, not worth even talking about. Yes your $3,000 IWC watch is very impressive to you and your friends, but a watch collector won't even look at it.
Two, collectors are going to snap up the Apple Edition watches in a heartbeat, as soon as they're out. They're going to leave these in the packaging, and put them on a shelf, and wait for them to go up in value. It's the original. There is only ever going to be one time this happens.
And: These collectors are not going to post their opinion all over the internet. They're more interested in making money, and in having less competition over these initial Edition watches.
You heard it here first. It's not rocket science![]()