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How many iPhone SE's do you think will sell during the first weekend?

  • 13 million or more

    Votes: 9 10.2%
  • 11-12.9 million

    Votes: 2 2.3%
  • 9-10.9 million

    Votes: 4 4.5%
  • 7-8.9 million

    Votes: 9 10.2%
  • 5-6.9 million

    Votes: 18 20.5%
  • 3-4.9 million

    Votes: 18 20.5%
  • Less than 3 million

    Votes: 28 31.8%

  • Total voters
    88

Ternary

macrumors regular
Original poster
Jul 4, 2015
168
162
This sales number should be interesting. The iPhone SE arrives mid-cycle compared to other iPhones, but it also comes at a shockingly lower price than expected. How well do you think it'll sell?
 

Aditya_S

macrumors 6502a
Jan 25, 2016
500
111
I think less than 3 million because right now, not many people I know or see in the forums stayed with the 5s because it was the only small iPhone. Most people I know around my area actually went from 5s to 6s Plus, rather than stay at the 5s because of size. Most people like the bigger screens.
 

Tthomas612

macrumors 65816
Aug 24, 2013
1,309
285
It's a beautiful phone. Yes I know that it is the 5s repackaged, but the phone is absolutely beautiful and at times I think it's calling my name, but then I think about the screen size and I say no I can't do it...

But it's very beautiful and I think a lot of people will "upgrade" to it, but I still don't think it will do more then 3 million units first weekend
 

Ternary

macrumors regular
Original poster
Jul 4, 2015
168
162
It's a beautiful phone. Yes I know that it is the 5s repackaged, but the phone is absolutely beautiful and at times I think it's calling my name, but then I think about the screen size and I say no I can't do it...

But it's very beautiful and I think a lot of people will "upgrade" to it, but I still don't think it will do more then 3 million units first weekend
I can see your point. It was actually a challenge trying to figure out the highest/lowest bounds of this poll, considering I wanted to avoid too many choices. I tried to keep the highest at 13 million since that's how many iPhone 6s's were sold first weekend.
 

C DM

macrumors Sandy Bridge
Oct 17, 2011
51,392
19,461
It's a beautiful phone. Yes I know that it is the 5s repackaged, but the phone is absolutely beautiful and at times I think it's calling my name, but then I think about the screen size and I say no I can't do it...

But it's very beautiful and I think a lot of people will "upgrade" to it, but I still don't think it will do more then 3 million units first weekend
It's hardly a 5s repackaged though, it's 5s on the outside, but the inside is basically closer to a 6s.
 

nfl46

macrumors G3
Oct 5, 2008
8,528
9,444
Around 3-5 million first weekend. Honestly, I think the sales are going to shock Apple. Hopefully they release a statement.
 

PDFierro

macrumors 68040
Sep 8, 2009
3,932
111
Hopefully they have enough stock. I don't see this flying off the shelves to the point where it gets backordered, but you never know.
 

dukebound85

macrumors Core
Jul 17, 2005
19,156
4,145
5045 feet above sea level
I think less than 3 million because right now, not many people I know or see in the forums stayed with the 5s because it was the only small iPhone. Most people I know around my area actually went from 5s to 6s Plus, rather than stay at the 5s because of size. Most people like the bigger screens.
Well as a 5s owner who likes small phones, this is great news for me. I am getting one
 
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Aditya_S

macrumors 6502a
Jan 25, 2016
500
111
Well as a 5s owner who likes small phones, this is great news for me. I am getting one
That's great! I'm not saying it's a bad phone, just that most people won't buy it as the demand for larger screens is greater. I think it has the best design of all the iPhones, it looks way better than the 6s but the screen and resolution is too small for me. I wish Apple made a similar design to the 5 series phones when creating the 6 series.
 

CEmajr

macrumors 601
Dec 18, 2012
4,473
1,277
Charlotte, NC
Less than 3 million. It looks the same as the two year old 5s and most people tend to prefer larger phones these days. It doesn't have the hype around it that new iPhone releases generate so a lot of people aren't even aware of it. I think it will sell well over time due to the low price.
 
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Savor

Suspended
Jun 18, 2010
3,742
918
Not as much early on but Apple will stick with this in the long haul only updating it every two years and hopefully following the s models in specs. This phone should be in the market and not be discontinued for the next 2-3 years replacing the entire 6 series. This SE is basically covering up two markets - value seekers especially ones not stupid enough to buy an iPhone 6 and fans who love compact phones. This will cover up both segments.

I haven't been excited about an iPhone in a long time maybe since the original 4 and the original 2G before it. Which is ironic because anyone who had 5s and 6s should be familiar with it. Old design from 2013. Six month old specs. Nothing really to get excited about. But for some reason, I am even just a tad. Most powerful compact smartphone ever. Has 2 GB RAM which I never seen on a phone with only "4 display. This SE will sell many millions more once it covers up the small phone segment.

Large - Plus series
Medium - "4.7 iPhones
Small - SE (for the next 2 year until the successor has similar specs of the 7s)

The smallest iPhone shouldn't be updated every year. Just emulate the s models in specs. Apple did a really job with this so-called budget conscious iPhone SE and by covering three different sizes and not jipping the smallest and cheapest iPhone with weak specs and ugly plastic design again like the 5c. Kudos, Apple.
 

willmtaylor

macrumors G4
Oct 31, 2009
10,314
8,198
Here(-ish)
This sales number should be interesting. The iPhone SE arrives mid-cycle compared to other iPhones, but it also comes at a shockingly lower price than expected. How well do you think it'll sell?
image.jpeg
 

12vElectronics

macrumors 68040
Jul 19, 2013
3,947
1,246
California
Probably not much.

6/6+ owners that are on a 2 year contract are still not eligible.

6S/6S+ owners still feel like their phone is too new. They "just got it" 6 months ago.
 

Tthomas612

macrumors 65816
Aug 24, 2013
1,309
285
It's hardly a 5s repackaged though, it's 5s on the outside, but the inside is basically closer to a 6s.

Right I'm definitely not saying it's a repackaged 5s by no means. This phone is beautiful and powerful
 

joe-h2o

macrumors 6502a
Jun 24, 2012
997
445
I don't think they'd have released it if they hadn't done at least a little in-depth market research - the keynote indicated that they're pretty sure of the market segment who will buy one. We'll see if they were at all close to their estimates.
 

Jax44

Contributor
Jul 24, 2010
736
862
Carmel, California
I don't think they'd have released it if they hadn't done at least a little in-depth market research - the keynote indicated that they're pretty sure of the market segment who will buy one. We'll see if they were at all close to their estimates.

They announced estimates?
 

joe-h2o

macrumors 6502a
Jun 24, 2012
997
445
They announced estimates?

I mean in terms of how constrained the supply is and how hard it is to get hold of one in the first couple of weeks. If they've estimated demand accurately it should be available relatively easily.

They gave a figure of 30 million 5S phones sold last year as some small indicator of the demand for a small/cheaper (no doubt the two demographics are mixed there) iPhone, so I'd imagine they are hoping for at least that sort of sustained sales level.
 
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maflynn

macrumors Haswell
May 3, 2009
73,682
43,735
I won't even hazard a guess. The 4" phone definitely has niche written all over it, and so I cannot fathom a guess. It may have a lot of demand, it may not.
 

Max(IT)

Suspended
Dec 8, 2009
8,551
1,662
Italy
I voted for less than 3 million, but the real answer is : I don't know.

I'm actually very curious about the market share for such a niche product: a flagship grade iPhone with small screen and affordable price.

I think Apple learned something from the iPhone 5C experience. Let us see how much.
[doublepost=1458823311][/doublepost]
Probably not much.

6/6+ owners that are on a 2 year contract are still not eligible.

6S/6S+ owners still feel like their phone is too new. They "just got it" 6 months ago.
The iPhone SE isn't supposed to be a replacement for the iPhone 6 or 6S ...
It's targeted to the iPhone 5S , 5C and 5 users out there
 

blissasshole

macrumors newbie
Mar 24, 2016
1
0
I highly doubt it'll sell more than the 6/6S/6 Plus/6S Plus.. People like those models way too much, my guess is the rose gold version of the SE will sell the most... Since it would be the "cheaper" version of the 6S..
 

chino-rican

macrumors regular
Sep 21, 2012
222
84
Virginia
Don't look now, but deliveries are starting to slip to 1-5 April on some models. Could just be low supply, not necessarily high sales, but most were people predicting that supplies would be healthy due to components being borrowed from existing devices.
 

AppleRobert

macrumors 603
Nov 12, 2012
5,729
1,133
Less than 3 million. It looks the same as the two year old 5s and most people tend to prefer larger phones these days. It doesn't have the hype around it that new iPhone releases generate so a lot of people aren't even aware of it. I think it will sell well over time due to the low price.

Lol, I walked into a t-mobile store this morning and asked the guy when the new iPhone would be available. No lie, he said the iPhone 7 would not be out till later this year.
 

Alrescha

macrumors 68020
Jan 1, 2008
2,156
317
I won't even hazard a guess. The 4" phone definitely has niche written all over it, and so I cannot fathom a guess. It may have a lot of demand, it may not.

It might be a big niche: depending on which web site you read, between 50% and 60% of iPhone users are still using a 4-inch phone.

A.
 
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