How many iPhone SE's do you think will sell during the first weekend?

Discussion in 'iPhone' started by Ternary, Mar 23, 2016.

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How many iPhone SE's do you think will sell during the first weekend?

  1. 13 million or more

    9 vote(s)
    10.2%
  2. 11-12.9 million

    2 vote(s)
    2.3%
  3. 9-10.9 million

    4 vote(s)
    4.5%
  4. 7-8.9 million

    9 vote(s)
    10.2%
  5. 5-6.9 million

    18 vote(s)
    20.5%
  6. 3-4.9 million

    18 vote(s)
    20.5%
  7. Less than 3 million

    28 vote(s)
    31.8%
  1. Ternary macrumors regular

    Joined:
    Jul 4, 2015
    #1
    This sales number should be interesting. The iPhone SE arrives mid-cycle compared to other iPhones, but it also comes at a shockingly lower price than expected. How well do you think it'll sell?
     
  2. Aditya_S macrumors 6502

    Joined:
    Jan 25, 2016
    #2
    I think less than 3 million because right now, not many people I know or see in the forums stayed with the 5s because it was the only small iPhone. Most people I know around my area actually went from 5s to 6s Plus, rather than stay at the 5s because of size. Most people like the bigger screens.
     
  3. Tthomas612 macrumors 65816

    Tthomas612

    Joined:
    Aug 24, 2013
    #3
    It's a beautiful phone. Yes I know that it is the 5s repackaged, but the phone is absolutely beautiful and at times I think it's calling my name, but then I think about the screen size and I say no I can't do it...

    But it's very beautiful and I think a lot of people will "upgrade" to it, but I still don't think it will do more then 3 million units first weekend
     
  4. Ternary thread starter macrumors regular

    Joined:
    Jul 4, 2015
    #4
    I can see your point. It was actually a challenge trying to figure out the highest/lowest bounds of this poll, considering I wanted to avoid too many choices. I tried to keep the highest at 13 million since that's how many iPhone 6s's were sold first weekend.
     
  5. C DM macrumors Westmere

    Joined:
    Oct 17, 2011
    #5
    It's hardly a 5s repackaged though, it's 5s on the outside, but the inside is basically closer to a 6s.
     
  6. nfl46 macrumors 604

    Joined:
    Oct 5, 2008
    #6
    Around 3-5 million first weekend. Honestly, I think the sales are going to shock Apple. Hopefully they release a statement.
     
  7. PDFierro macrumors 68040

    Joined:
    Sep 8, 2009
    #7
    Hopefully they have enough stock. I don't see this flying off the shelves to the point where it gets backordered, but you never know.
     
  8. dukebound85 macrumors P6

    dukebound85

    Joined:
    Jul 17, 2005
    Location:
    5045 feet above sea level
    #8
    Well as a 5s owner who likes small phones, this is great news for me. I am getting one
     
  9. Aditya_S macrumors 6502

    Joined:
    Jan 25, 2016
    #9
    That's great! I'm not saying it's a bad phone, just that most people won't buy it as the demand for larger screens is greater. I think it has the best design of all the iPhones, it looks way better than the 6s but the screen and resolution is too small for me. I wish Apple made a similar design to the 5 series phones when creating the 6 series.
     
  10. CEmajr macrumors 601

    Joined:
    Dec 18, 2012
    Location:
    Charlotte, NC
    #10
    Less than 3 million. It looks the same as the two year old 5s and most people tend to prefer larger phones these days. It doesn't have the hype around it that new iPhone releases generate so a lot of people aren't even aware of it. I think it will sell well over time due to the low price.
     
  11. Savor Suspended

    Savor

    Joined:
    Jun 18, 2010
    #11
    Not as much early on but Apple will stick with this in the long haul only updating it every two years and hopefully following the s models in specs. This phone should be in the market and not be discontinued for the next 2-3 years replacing the entire 6 series. This SE is basically covering up two markets - value seekers especially ones not stupid enough to buy an iPhone 6 and fans who love compact phones. This will cover up both segments.

    I haven't been excited about an iPhone in a long time maybe since the original 4 and the original 2G before it. Which is ironic because anyone who had 5s and 6s should be familiar with it. Old design from 2013. Six month old specs. Nothing really to get excited about. But for some reason, I am even just a tad. Most powerful compact smartphone ever. Has 2 GB RAM which I never seen on a phone with only "4 display. This SE will sell many millions more once it covers up the small phone segment.

    Large - Plus series
    Medium - "4.7 iPhones
    Small - SE (for the next 2 year until the successor has similar specs of the 7s)

    The smallest iPhone shouldn't be updated every year. Just emulate the s models in specs. Apple did a really job with this so-called budget conscious iPhone SE and by covering three different sizes and not jipping the smallest and cheapest iPhone with weak specs and ugly plastic design again like the 5c. Kudos, Apple.
     
  12. willmtaylor macrumors G3

    willmtaylor

    Joined:
    Oct 31, 2009
    Location:
    A Natural State
    #12
    image.jpeg
     
  13. 12vElectronics macrumors 68040

    12vElectronics

    Joined:
    Jul 19, 2013
    Location:
    California
    #13
    Probably not much.

    6/6+ owners that are on a 2 year contract are still not eligible.

    6S/6S+ owners still feel like their phone is too new. They "just got it" 6 months ago.
     
  14. Tthomas612 macrumors 65816

    Tthomas612

    Joined:
    Aug 24, 2013
    #14
    Right I'm definitely not saying it's a repackaged 5s by no means. This phone is beautiful and powerful
     
  15. joe-h2o macrumors 6502a

    Joined:
    Jun 24, 2012
    #15
    I don't think they'd have released it if they hadn't done at least a little in-depth market research - the keynote indicated that they're pretty sure of the market segment who will buy one. We'll see if they were at all close to their estimates.
     
  16. Jax44 macrumors 6502a

    Jax44

    Joined:
    Jul 24, 2010
    Location:
    Carmel, California
    #16
    They announced estimates?
     
  17. rulymammoth macrumors member

    Joined:
    Jun 8, 2015
    #17
    Yeah but appearances matter to most people. It "looks" like a repackaged 5s
     
  18. joe-h2o macrumors 6502a

    Joined:
    Jun 24, 2012
    #18
    I mean in terms of how constrained the supply is and how hard it is to get hold of one in the first couple of weeks. If they've estimated demand accurately it should be available relatively easily.

    They gave a figure of 30 million 5S phones sold last year as some small indicator of the demand for a small/cheaper (no doubt the two demographics are mixed there) iPhone, so I'd imagine they are hoping for at least that sort of sustained sales level.
     
  19. maflynn Moderator

    maflynn

    Staff Member

    Joined:
    May 3, 2009
    Location:
    Boston
    #19
    I won't even hazard a guess. The 4" phone definitely has niche written all over it, and so I cannot fathom a guess. It may have a lot of demand, it may not.
     
  20. Max(IT) Suspended

    Max(IT)

    Joined:
    Dec 8, 2009
    Location:
    Italy
    #20
    I voted for less than 3 million, but the real answer is : I don't know.

    I'm actually very curious about the market share for such a niche product: a flagship grade iPhone with small screen and affordable price.

    I think Apple learned something from the iPhone 5C experience. Let us see how much.
    --- Post Merged, Mar 24, 2016 ---
    The iPhone SE isn't supposed to be a replacement for the iPhone 6 or 6S ...
    It's targeted to the iPhone 5S , 5C and 5 users out there
     
  21. blissasshole macrumors newbie

    blissasshole

    Joined:
    Mar 24, 2016
    #21
    I highly doubt it'll sell more than the 6/6S/6 Plus/6S Plus.. People like those models way too much, my guess is the rose gold version of the SE will sell the most... Since it would be the "cheaper" version of the 6S..
     
  22. chino-rican macrumors member

    chino-rican

    Joined:
    Sep 21, 2012
    Location:
    Virginia
    #22
    Don't look now, but deliveries are starting to slip to 1-5 April on some models. Could just be low supply, not necessarily high sales, but most were people predicting that supplies would be healthy due to components being borrowed from existing devices.
     
  23. AppleRobert macrumors 603

    Joined:
    Nov 12, 2012
    #23
    Lol, I walked into a t-mobile store this morning and asked the guy when the new iPhone would be available. No lie, he said the iPhone 7 would not be out till later this year.
     
  24. chino-rican macrumors member

    chino-rican

    Joined:
    Sep 21, 2012
    Location:
    Virginia
    #24
    Employee of the month right there...
     
  25. Alrescha macrumors 68020

    Joined:
    Jan 1, 2008
    #25
    It might be a big niche: depending on which web site you read, between 50% and 60% of iPhone users are still using a 4-inch phone.

    A.
     

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