How near do you think the singularity is?

[spaceboots06]

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Singularity_is_Near

Just a few of Ray's predictions. Keep in mind this guy is not a nut, read the wikipedia article on him, he's invented a lot of stuff.

Just a few notable predictions:

2018
10 Terabits (10^13 bits) of computer memory—roughly the equivalent of the memory space in a single human brain--will cost $1000.

2020
Personal computers will have the same processing power as human brains.

2025
The most likely year for the debut of advanced nanotechnology.
Some military UAVs and land vehicles will be 100% computer-controlled.

2045: The Singularity
$1000 buys a computer a billion times more intelligent than every human combined. This means that average and even low-end computers are hugely smarter than even highly intelligent, unenhanced humans.

Post-2045: "Waking up" the Universe
The physical bottom limit to how small computer transistors can be shrunk is reached. From this moment onwards, computers can only be made more powerful if they are made larger in size.

Some indeterminate point within a few decades from now
Space technology becomes advanced enough to provide the Earth permanent protection from the threat of asteroid impacts.

---

As of right now 8TB is +$2,000

http://www.newegg.com/Product/Product.aspx?Item=N82E16822101110

 

[103734]

Even if computers become smarter than humans they just don't work the same way, I don't see why a computer would have any desire to do anything, unlike the human brain computers just calculate things, and I don't think just because it can calculate things billions of times faster than a human that would make it want to do anything .

 

[spaceboots06]

Even if computers become smarter than humans they just don't work the same way, I don't see why a computer would have any desire to do anything, unlike the human brain computers just calculate things, and I don't think just because it can calculate things billions of times faster than a human that would make it want to do anything .

Computers can do more than just calculate. Artificial intelligence, man! We should be scared of the future!

I keep on having these dreams where I'm leaving a building and in front of it is a playground. There's a barbed wire fence in between me and it so I can't get to it. Suddenly everything explodes and everyone melts. I think that's going to happen in the future when we humans realize what we have done with artificial intelligence and blowing up half the world would be our attempt to stop the computers from taking over.

 

[obeygiant]

http://www.coolmoviesounds.com/wavs/9000.wav

Whenever the singularity is, I can't wait.


Actually, many science fiction books are about this very subject. Human kind reaching an evolutionary milestone in creating a sentient mind or being, the creation rising up to destroy us, and humans winning the battle. 2001 A Space Odyssey and the Dune series are about this.

 

[0007776]

Computers can do more than just calculate. Artificial intelligence, man! We should be scared of the future!

I keep on having these dreams where I'm leaving a building and in front of it is a playground. There's a barbed wire fence in between me and it so I can't get to it. Suddenly everything explodes and everyone melts. I think that's going to happen in the future when we humans realize what we have done with artificial intelligence and blowing up half the world would be our attempt to stop the computers from taking over.

You've watched the terminator movies way too many times.

 

[spaceboots06]

http://www.coolmoviesounds.com/wavs/9000.wav

Whenever the singularity is, I can't wait.


Actually, many science fiction books are about this very subject. Human kind reaching an evolutionary milestone in creating a sentient mind or being, the creation rising up to destroy us, and humans winning the battle. 2001 A Space Odyssey and the Dune series are about this.

I actually am excited myself. Although the common perception is that robots will take over, in actuality we will be transforming into robots. Technology will become more advanced and smaller and we will be able to implant these small pieces of technology in ourselves to correct mistakes and do things we wouldn't normally be able to do.

It's not some sort of earth domination thing that's going to happen, it's going to be a gentle transformation. Like a joy ride in a car.

 

[Schtumple]

Computers can do more than just calculate. Artificial intelligence, man! We should be scared of the future!

I keep on having these dreams where I'm leaving a building and in front of it is a playground. There's a barbed wire fence in between me and it so I can't get to it. Suddenly everything explodes and everyone melts. I think that's going to happen in the future when we humans realize what we have done with artificial intelligence and blowing up half the world would be our attempt to stop the computers from taking over.

Stop drinking the kool aid man!

Computers have to be programmed with AI (I think?? as in, to learn? I have no idea, it's all well above me ), a really fast computer does not have or cannot develop AI, otherwise by now, relative to the early hayday of computing, our iMacs and Macbook Pros would be screaming like cave men at us...

 

[kymac]

i feel like this guys predictions weren't even specific, or measurable.. wtf

 

[103734]

Computers can do more than just calculate. Artificial intelligence, man! We should be scared of the future!

I keep on having these dreams where I'm leaving a building and in front of it is a playground. There's a barbed wire fence in between me and it so I can't get to it. Suddenly everything explodes and everyone melts. I think that's going to happen in the future when we humans realize what we have done with artificial intelligence and blowing up half the world would be our attempt to stop the computers from taking over.

I doubt we can program artificial intelligence, we can teach a computer behaviors but it still won't be thinking for itself, it will only be reacting in a way we programed it to.

The day that a computer figures out how to solve a engineering problem, or write a piece of music without any prior programing will be the day I start worrying about this.

 

[mscriv]

artificial intelligence ≠self consciousness and free will

 

[spaceboots06]

I doubt we can program artificial intelligence, we can teach a computer behaviors but it still won't be thinking for itself, it will only be reacting in a way we programed it to.

The day that a computer figures out how to solve a engineering problem, or write a piece of music without any prior programing will be the day I start worrying about this.

No, no, no, you've got it all mixed up! This isn't something we shouldn't exactly be worrying about but rather happily awaiting.

 

[OutThere]

2018
10 Terabits (10^13 bits) of computer memory—roughly the equivalent of the memory space in a single human brain--will cost $1000.

As of right now 8TB is +$2,000

http://www.newegg.com/Product/Product.aspx?Item=N82E16822101110

Note that 1 byte = 8 bits, so 10 terabits would be 1.25 terabytes. You can get a 1 terabyte 3.5" drive for $89.99 on NewEgg.

More importantly: which will come first, The Singularity™ or The Rapture™?

 

[Schtumple]

Note that 1 byte = 8 bits, so 10 terabits would be 1.25 terabytes. You can get a 1 terabyte 3.5" drive for $89.99 on NewEgg.

More importantly: which will come first, The Singularity™ or The Rapture™?

I vote for rapture, caused by humans, computers will pick up the pieces, THEN DESTROYING ANY SURVIVORS.

 

[spaceboots06]

Note that 1 byte = 8 bits, so 10 terabits would be 1.25 terabytes. You can get a 1 terabyte 3.5" drive for $89.99 on NewEgg.

More importantly: which will come first, The Singularity™ or The Rapture™?

Odd. Let me see if I have this straight, terabit < terabyte? If yes, it seems as if wikipedia's information is incorrect.

 

[VPrime]

Note that 1 byte = 8 bits, so 10 terabits would be 1.25 terabytes. You can get a 1 terabyte 3.5" drive for $89.99 on NewEgg.

More importantly: which will come first, The Singularity™ or The Rapture™?

But is the memory they speak of storage, or more like ram?

 

[Prof.]

My Mac is planning an attack against me.

 

[TuffLuffJimmy]

Sigh.... if only Kabunaru were here.

 

[Schtumple]

Sigh.... if only Kabunaru were here.

Just did a search for that user, how is he/she a Guest with over 3000 posts?!

 

[NT1440]

Sigh.... if only Kabunaru were here.

Yea what happened to that guy?

 

[TuffLuffJimmy]

Just did a search for that user, how is he/she a Guest with over 3000 posts?!

He had his user account deleted by a mod, he found MR too hostile.

Yea what happened to that guy?

I think the mods got tired of deleting, and undeleting his account and finally said no more.

 

[NT1440]

He had his user account deleted by a mod, he found MR too hostile.



I think the mods got tired of deleting, and undeleting his account and finally said no more.

Well, he did have a habit of making ridiculous threads.

 

[dukebound85]

Yea what happened to that guy?

he was quite the character with his way bizzare threads...on languages mainly lol

 

[retroneo]

2020
Personal computers will have the same processing power as human brains.

Two chimpanzees have much more processing power than a human.

Your point?

 

[dukebound85]

Two chimpanzees have much more processing power than a human.

Your point?

lol awesome

 

[Ttownbeast]

The day Asimovs robots become a reality would be quite interesting, I doubt they'd run on Windows or Mac OS though likely the OS used involving the three laws will be Linux based likely since it is open source and no royalties would have to be paid to Apple or Microsoft, you'd be surprised how many of the complex gadgets we take for granted use Linux because if they used any software other than that electronics manufacturers would have to pay through the nose for the licensing fees.