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Apr 12, 2001
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gartner_sep11_tablet_projections.png

Gartner's projections of worldwide tablet sales to end users (thousands of units)

Research firm Gartner today released updated sales estimates for the tablet market, noting that a lack of momentum from competing products will give Apple's iPad "free run" through the lucrative holiday shopping period. Looking out over the longer term, Gartner sees Apple maintaining a majority share of the tablet market through 2014 even as Microsoft's Windows 8 and Research in Motion's QNX platforms are expected to gain some traction.
"We expect Apple to maintain a market share lead throughout our forecast period by commanding more than 50 percent of the market until 2014," Carolina Milanesi, research vice president at Gartner. "This is because Apple delivers a superior and unified user experience across its hardware, software and services. Unless competitors can respond with a similar approach, challenges to Apple's position will be minimal. Apple had the foresight to create this market and in doing that planned for it as far as component supplies such as memory and screen. This allowed Apple to bring the iPad out at a very competitive price and no compromise in experience among the different models that offer storage and connectivity options."
Gartner has pared back its estimates for Android tablet sales in 2011 by 28% over last quarter's projections, identifying extremely weak adoption due to high prices, user interface issues, and limited app offerings. Only some success in low-cost Asian markets and strong expectations for Amazon's forthcoming tablet kept Gartner from slashing projected Android device sales even further.

Android is expected to see stronger growth heading into next year as Google pushes out its next-generation "Ice Cream Sandwich" release of Android and works to address fragmentation throughout the Android ecosystem. Gartner's sales projections do not, however, see Android tablets catching up to the iPad by the end of the forecast period of 2015.

Article Link: iPad Set for 'Free Run' Through Holiday Tablet Shopping Season
 
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Not to mention the slippery numbers from Android tablet suppliers. Report the shipping numbers and hope lazy reporters trumpet those as sales numbers.

Just don't look at the store shelves...
 
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tigres said:
Well, let's not count Amazon out quite yet.;)

You bet. Amazon should have the first successful Android tablet, and I think it will be very successful.

But Amazon being Amazon, they won't report sales numbers, just keep reporting "great" sales or something.
 
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I'm sorry, but I feel apple has shot them selves in the foot. With the iPhone release being so late I can see this eating into iPad sales.
 
Only if things stay the same

I think the tablet market is too new to forecast that far. I believe the iPad will still be on top...but while "Tablets" have been around (I had a Gateway tablet PC back in 2008 forced onto us in my undergrad), this is really a New Tablet market. One thing for sure, I'm excited to find out!
 
Well, let's not count Amazon out quite yet.;)

Yea actually you can. It does not matter what they put forward. It is incredibly obvious that the iPad cannot be stopped, beaten, or even matched.

Time to start getting used to that idea.
 
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I'm sorry, but I feel apple has shot them selves in the foot. With the iPhone release being so late I can see this eating into iPad sales.
 
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Why? The iPad 2 was released months ago and the iPad 3 won't be out for several more months. The iPhone being released in July would have had those statements just as true as it will by being released in October.

The iPhone and iPad markets are different. One should not affect the other.
 
Well, let's not count Amazon out quite yet.;)

Amazon's tab, from what I've read, isn't going to be a head-to-head iPad competitor. It looks to be more of a tablet for those who like the tab concept but not ready, willing to spend $500+. People who have an iPad on their "wish list" are not going to be satisfied with the color Kindle. It's likely to take more sales away from the color Nook than the iPad.
 
oh the audacity

they just slashed their android tablet forcasts for this year by %30, and yet they feel comfortable projecting windows tablet sales in 2015 to be 34,435, no more, no less. and this is before windows tablets were even introduced to the market, actually before even microsoft has a proper idea of their eventual features, price, performace, etc (it's not clear even if and how those tablets will run office apps, which is basically the sole reason to get a microsoft tabthing)..

what a bunch of pretentious idiots.
 
Would be awesome if Amazon came up with some kind of dual Kindle/Tablet device that managed both e-ink reading with a traditional glass surface tablet. Hell, I don't know if something like that is even technologically feasible, but if they could combine those technologies on a solid Android platform, I reckon it'd make for the iPad's most formidable tablet competitor. That being said, maybe Apple will develop it first :)
 
I would certainly love to see the models they used to predict sales 4 years out on a product market that has really only existed for 18 months. I think flipping a coin or throwing darts would have about the same accuracy in predicting the future as these “analysts”
 
I'm sorry, but I feel apple has shot them selves in the foot. With the iPhone release being so late I can see this eating into iPad sales.

Two completely different markets.

Unless you're of the assumption that the iPad and iPhone do the same thing, then you don't truly understand the markets.
 
Yea actually you can. It does not matter what they put forward. It is incredibly obvious that the iPad cannot be stopped, beaten, or even matched.

Time to start getting used to that idea.

Why not? Thinking Apple is the only company in the world that can deliver consistent experience is wrong. Android may be nowhere near iPad today, that doesn't mean Google will keep quiet.

Btw you sound like LTD:rolleyes:
 
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I'm sorry, but I feel apple has shot them selves in the foot. With the iPhone release being so late I can see this eating into iPad sales.

I don't see how. The iPhone is "delayed" a mere approx 3 months from the historical launch period and when it is launched it will overlap with the usual iPod launch, not the iPad. If anything this would hurt iPod touch sales but the touch is a fairly mature product at this point and people typically have either have a touch or and iPhone, not both, so probably nill effect on Apple's bottom line.

Also, historically, there has only been 2-3 months separation between the iPhone and iPad model launches. With an Oct iPhone launch the spread is wider, not narrower.

If Apple launched the iPad next to the iPhone I'd agree, but not the case here. iPhone buyers have banked their purchase for some time now.
 
Would be awesome if Amazon came up with some kind of dual Kindle/Tablet device that managed both e-ink reading with a traditional glass surface tablet. Hell, I don't know if something like that is even technologically feasible, but if they could combine those technologies on a solid Android platform, I reckon it'd make for the iPad's most formidable tablet competitor. That being said, maybe Apple will develop it first :)

Check the Notion Ink Adam - it uses that kind of panel. But the hardware and the support sux. But the tech is there.
 
A $250 7 inch Amazon-sourced Android tablet is going to be here soon, and it will make some actual waves.

I know that this forum and community tends to think anything not sold by Apple is inferior, but they turned the Kindle into something really great. They have sold millions of the things, and you might be surprised to find out how many people you know own and use a Kindle. It isn't something everyone feels compelled to talk about. Kindle owners typically don't wander around with the Kindle out, hoping people will see it and ask them how they got to be so cool. It tends to sit by the toilet or on the bedside table, quietly waiting to be used for 30-60 minutes every day. This new Android-based tablet Kindle thing is going to be the first real competitor to the iPad. It won't even really be competing with the eInk Kindle, because it won't do any of the things the eInk Kindle does so well. Since you can buy one of each for the cost of the cheapest iPad, that's a pretty good argument in Amazon's favor.
 
Looks like a hit-whore prediction. Predicting Droid gains of that magnitude borders on goog collusion/payoff.

cheers
JohnG
 
Check the Notion Ink Adam - it uses that kind of panel. But the hardware and the support sux. But the tech is there.

I think from a development standpoint it must be more expensive to develop and produce otherwise the small readers (Kindle) would have that feature.

I just wonder if a matt finished iPad would be easier to read in sunlight...

----------

A $250 7 inch Amazon-sourced Android tablet is going to be here soon, and it will make some actual waves.

I know that this forum and community tends to think anything not sold by Apple is inferior, but they turned the Kindle into something really great. They have sold millions of the things, and you might be surprised to find out how many people you know own and use a Kindle. It isn't something everyone feels compelled to talk about. Kindle owners typically don't wander around with the Kindle out, hoping people will see it and ask them how they got to be so cool. It tends to sit by the toilet or on the bedside table, quietly waiting to be used for 30-60 minutes every day. This new Android-based tablet Kindle thing is going to be the first real competitor to the iPad. It won't even really be competing with the eInk Kindle, because it won't do any of the things the eInk Kindle does so well. Since you can buy one of each for the cost of the cheapest iPad, that's a pretty good argument in Amazon's favor.

I know a few people that actually have both an iPad and a Kindle.

They don't like using the Kindle app... :confused: Whatever...
 
Would be awesome if Amazon came up with some kind of dual Kindle/Tablet device that managed both e-ink reading with a traditional glass surface tablet. Hell, I don't know if something like that is even technologically feasible, but if they could combine those technologies on a solid Android platform, I reckon it'd make for the iPad's most formidable tablet competitor. That being said, maybe Apple will develop it first :)

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Sort of like this? Pretty sure this one flopped hard.

Oh and to the commenter up top, I've got 2 iPads, and a touchpad. Selling the touchpad as I don't really need a $99 device to browse the web only.
 
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