iPhone 7 Facing Supply Shortages as Production Ramps Up Ahead of Launch

[MacRumors]

Following tradition, a new report out of Apple's supply chain is hinting that the company "may need to contend with a supply shortage" for the iPhone 7 and iPhone 7 Plus, citing vague issues with "faulty components" as the central problem (via Nikkei). Similar stories have emerged before the launch of the new iPhone nearly every year, stemming from Apple's annual late-summer production ramp-up ahead of the September iPhone reveal.

"If Apple sticks to its launch schedule from last year, there may not be enough supply at the beginning, as some suppliers are still trying to fix low yield rates of their components," an industry source familiar with the issue said.

Apple is said to be staying close to its launch schedule from last year, which could lead to low supply "during the first round of the rollout," resulting in low yield rates, higher costs for manufacturers, and subsequently less volume to deliver to customers. Yuanta Investment Consulting analyst Jeff Pu believes total iPhone 7 builds to be 10 million less than that of the iPhone 6s last year.

Pu cut his forecasts for iPhone production to 114 million from 120 million, including both new and old models, in the July-December period, due to defects in the waterproof speaker and dual-camera module, which have yet to be resolved.

"We estimate total iPhone 7 builds to be 74 (million) in 2H16F, compared to 84 (million) for iPhone 6s in 2H15. Together with pricing pressure, we expect most Apple food chain suppliers to see (year-on-year) revenue decline for the rest of the year," Pu wrote in a note dated Aug. 23.

Continuing the usual doom-and-gloom sentiment regarding Apple's 2016 iPhone sales, the new report points to "weakening demand" for the iPhone 7 and iPhone 7 Plus as a contribution to manufacturing numbers falling as well. Apple's own orders are said to be "conservative" this year compared to years past, with individual components dropping precipitously year-over-year. According to various sources, core processor chips "may drop up to 15 percent," and panel orders "are dropping around 20 percent," both compared with the company's 2015 supply chain orders.

Although it's true that the iPhone 7 will be a modest update on the iPhone 6s, like every model before it, the 2016 iPhone is expected to see a heavy influx of pre-orders the day it goes live on Apple's website, currently rumored for September 9. Users will then have to wait a few weeks to get their hands on the smartphone, with a launch either on September 16 or September 23.

Article Link: iPhone 7 Facing Supply Shortages as Production Ramps Up Ahead of Launch

 

[daniphils]

Surprise Sursprise

 

[Regeneration]

every single year ;d

 

[Justjay27]

where have i heard this before?

 

[decimortis]

Something tells me they're not going to have to worry about it this year.

 

[melgross]

I keep pointing out in comments that Samsung produced (and still does, some) Apple's chips in its vast Texas chip plant. Where the chips from TSMC are produced is something I'm not sure about. They were supposed to have a NY facility for that, but I'm not certain if they do. I haven't bothered to follow up on that.

Everyone is just repeating this story without checking the facts.

 

[macslayer118]

This is ALWAYS posted a month before launch. I've haven't had an issue getting an iPhone on launch day in a long time.

 

[S.B.G]

the 2016 iPhone is expected to see a heavy influx of pre-orders the day it goes live

Why is is expected to be any more heavy than any other year this time?

 

[luckydcxx]

I thought Tim was the supply chain guru. We hear the same thing with every single product.

They should start production earlier. I'm sure the design was finalized a while ago. After all it's not a major exterior redesign.

I understand the inside is a more complex build but this is why the should have started assembly in June

 

[v0lume4]

If there's a supply shortage, Apple can tout, "We've seen incredible demand for iPhone 7. So much demand that we can't even keep up" while the shipping time on the online store page reads "Ships in 2-3 weeks."

Which.... Is what tends to happen to some extent every year.

 

[melgross]

where have i heard this before?

But this year Intel is producing half of Apple's modem radio chips. We do know that. So there is movement.

One reason I've heard is that Qualcomm won't allow Apple to produce their radio chips on the SoC die, which is becoming more common, but that if Intel produces Apple's SoC, and the radio, that will be a done deal.

 

[BootsWalking]

Wishful thinking perhaps.

 

[ceedifier]

Rumor register for new iphone from Chinese wireless carrier suggest that new iPhone start from 32 gb rom, water proof, wireless charge, cancel 3.5mm audio input, come with blue tooth earphone, 1200w back camera, and new deep blue color!

 

[IJ Reilly]

Yup, predicting iPhone shortages is now a cultural practice.

 

[sinsin07]

Based on past comments in this forum, there will be plenty supply.

 

[rizzo41999]

Just trying to get rid of my 5S...

 

[iosuser]

Since not many are including the 3.5mm headphone jack, could it be that they've stopped manufacturing those 3.5mm jacks, hence the supply shortage Apple is facing?

Oh wait..

 

[earthTOmitchel]

Why is is expected to be any more heavy than any other year this time?

I didn't mean for it to sound like it'll be a higher volume compared to previous years, simply that iPhone pre-orders are traditionally chaotic events that have many people on Apple's website at one time. No reason for it to be different this year.

 

[El3ctronics]

How is that even possible it's the exact same phone as the 6s!

 

[Macinva]

Of course there's shortages... just like clockwork. Same thing every year... plus AAPL stock will rise and fall as well. The only possible way I'd consider the 7 would be if they upgrade the storage to 256gb. If not, I'm skipping for the 2017 version. For now, my 6s+ is working fine.

 

[pika2000]

Everyone is just repeating this story without checking the facts.

When "journalists" are faced with deadline, this is an easy story to do. Just like those "Apple is going to release a new iPhone" "news."

 

[keysofanxiety]

Just trying to get rid of my 5S...

Me too! I can't wait for the iPhone 7 -- the prices for the 6S should plummet as a result, and I'll pick up one of those instead

 

[nagromme]

Ample availability = Apple is doomed.

Shortages = Apple is doomed.

Apple releasing a new product any time later than the current day = Apple is doomed.

Apple putting impressive new internals in a case that LOOKS the same = Apple is doomed.

Samsung putting mediocre new internals in a case that LOOKS the same = Apple is doomed.

 

[sracer]

If there's a supply shortage, Apple can tout, "We've seen incredible demand for iPhone 7. So much demand that we can't even keep up" while the shipping time on the online store page reads "Ships in 2-3 weeks."

Which.... Is what tends to happen to some extent every year.

That is the cynical perspective and there might be some truth to it. But it could also be a deliberate decision (not for the purposes of artificial constraints) but manufacturing capacity over the lifecycle of the model.

There are 2 ways for a company to be prepared to meet all day-1 demands for a product. First, manufacture millions of units and store them in warehouses prior to launch day. The other is to build out manufacturing capacity to handle the day-1 launch demand load.

The first option requires enough lead-time between when the product is ready and the launch date. The longer the lead time, the greater the potential leaks to the media and public, the greater the need for security and insurance for those units sitting in warehouses.

The second option requires over-building manufacturing facilities since demand curves show a drop in demand after the initial release. That is not a cost effective way to go.

So what Apple might have done, is determined an acceptable pre-launch inventory and on-demand manufacturing capacity limit that is a balance between customer wait-times and inventory/manufacturing costs.

 

[SMIDG3T]

We hear this ever year and what happens? It sells more than predicted. It'll happen this year. As soon as you see one on their website or hold one in your hand, you'll want one.