Breaking it down:
apple: 200$
Safeware: ~100$ + 50$ deductible: $500 coverage so 350$ toward a 700$ replacement out 350$? unless they send you a new phone? I don't understand this **** total coverage
Squaretrade: ~100$ + 50$ deductible: 600$ of coverage, 2 incidents over 2 years, repair, accidental damage no theft
mobileprotect: this one sucks the most not bothering.
Correct me if i'm wrong but the apple 200 bucks is looking not to shabby now. Very simple not complicated.
This is the conclusion I came to. It is cheaper to just roll the dice and buy a new one if we break one.
We have two iPhones and to do insurance on both of them is about $160-200 for 2 years.
Assuming the probability is we will not break either phone (which did not happen in our past 2 years) we are out nothing if we are careful.
In the unlikely event even one of us breaks a phone, we are out $200 with Apple or $210-$250 with a warranty (depending on the deal du jour).
In either case, the warranty is more expensive for two phones for one breakage. Given this probably won't happen, I don't see what the purpose of the warranty is.
Also I assume that in a few months repair parts such as backs and screens will be readily available for less than $100 each as is the case for the 3G and 3GS. So even if I kill a screen it is very likely that soon I can buy a replacement back or screen for less than $100 to fix a broken phone. I think right now I can buy a case and a screen for a 3G or 3Gs for around $100-120 and I assume in 6 months or so, the same will be true of the iPhone4.
If I am missing something please let me know (other than theft, which is very unlikely for us).