mdriftmeyer said:
Tiger previewed late June, released in late September to mid October.
Lion I expect will be OS XI and released January 2006.
As has been stated before Jobs himself has stated that OS X has legs and that it won't be replaced for what? I thought it was in double digit figures. Which makes absolute sense since the core of OS X is robust enough to last Apple at least that long if not longer. However what goes on top of that core, a.k.a. Darwin, is another matter altogether. Apple in the not to distant future will obviously optimize OS X for both the G5 and 64-bitness, but only after it starts selling G5 based systems across the board and has a majority of the system on the market based off the G5 and that isn't going to happen for a while. Right now we have one single product line based on a G5. By Fall of 2005 they most likely will have their Pro line across the board based on the G5 and possibly the iMac line. Im' doubting that that eMacs and ibooks will be going G5 ANYTIME soon.
My guess,
Note the word: guess, they may shoot for a 2006-2007 timeframe for IBM\64-bitness optimizations but most likely no sooner. Its possible they may try and steal some of MS's thunder by claiming we were the first company to released the first 64-bit home computer (yes folks I now the debate over that.) and now introducing the next generation of personal computing OS. OS X: Lion - 64Bit edition. If anything would be a killbuzz for Longhorn it would be that. But again *shrugs* Wild guess. Probably wrong. Who knows.
Beyond that I don't see Apple releasing another OS X this year. I really don't. They have some serious work to do against Longhorn and frankly releasing minor updates each year costs time and money on their part. What? Do you think picking up after a release of an OS is easy? How many patches has Apple put out since Panther. Lets see 3.1, 3.2, 3.3, working on 3.4 along with a smattering of security patches. Along with serious fixes after Panther was released. (Or was that 3.1? I forget.) This once per year thing has to stop. Then need to sit down this summer if they haven't already, take a look at what MS is doing, see how and where they can do it better, select the features they are going to enhance and add, and move like they have a purpose.
Longhorn could be either a colossal blunder**** or a major hit. It's WAY too soon to tell but I'm getting the vibe that it's going to be the latter. (And so help me god I'm going to go off if someone pulls out the floating, as in toilet, specs for longhorn as a rebuttal.)
Apple needs to beat MS to the punch and yearly releases won't allow that. Again I hold fast to the notion of Winter\Spring 2005 for Tiger anything sooner, IMHO, says they haven't taken the time or effort to put anything substantial into the OS and is only looking for a cash cow to make some bank at which point I hope most Mac users flip Apple the bird. But I'm playing devils advocate here. Of course Apple is going to give us something major.
