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Apple can make money selling a 15” Air, but it won’t be 16”. I would assume that if the 13” M2 Air is supposed to have a mini-LED display, this one would too. I would assume two T 4 ports and audio all on the left side, no MagSafe, no HDMI and no SD Card, but up to 32GB DRAM and 2TB SSD. There is a gap in the market for this type of machine from Apple and if people aren’t buying a 16” Pro and not buying a 13” Air, then what are they buying? Are they buying a Mac begrudgingly or simply going to Windows. If it can be done and profitable for Apple, I would hope they would cover this fairly glaring gap in the product matrix. This would also make it an ideal time to kill the 13” MBP, after a 15” is introduced. Unless Apple plans to eventually move the 14” MBP downmarket as they did with the 13” MBP in 2019.
 
I hate to wade into yet another of these "15/16 Air needed!" forums, as I've made my feelings clear in previous ones. I don't have the power user profile for a MBP, and would love a larger Air. I would buy one on launch day. I really can't see Apple going there, so I'm scratching together the cash for a base 14" MBP, and telling myself (and my wife) some nonsense about future-proofing to justify the price.
 
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Apple can make money selling a 15” Air, but it won’t be 16”. I would assume that if the 13” M2 Air is supposed to have a mini-LED display, this one would too. I would assume two T 4 ports and audio all on the left side, no MagSafe, no HDMI and no SD Card, but up to 32GB DRAM and 2TB SSD. There is a gap in the market for this type of machine from Apple and if people aren’t buying a 16” Pro and not buying a 13” Air, then what are they buying? Are they buying a Mac begrudgingly or simply going to Windows. If it can be done and profitable for Apple, I would hope they would cover this fairly glaring gap in the product matrix. This would also make it an ideal time to kill the 13” MBP, after a 15” is introduced. Unless Apple plans to eventually move the 14” MBP downmarket as they did with the 13” MBP in 2019.
I just dont think this would every happen due to economics as much as i would like it to!
 
Apple can make money selling a 15” Air, but it won’t be 16”. I would assume that if the 13” M2 Air is supposed to have a mini-LED display, this one would too. I would assume two T 4 ports and audio all on the left side, no MagSafe, no HDMI and no SD Card, but up to 32GB DRAM and 2TB SSD. There is a gap in the market for this type of machine from Apple and if people aren’t buying a 16” Pro and not buying a 13” Air, then what are they buying? Are they buying a Mac begrudgingly or simply going to Windows. If it can be done and profitable for Apple, I would hope they would cover this fairly glaring gap in the product matrix. This would also make it an ideal time to kill the 13” MBP, after a 15” is introduced. Unless Apple plans to eventually move the 14” MBP downmarket as they did with the 13” MBP in 2019.
Apple could make a 16-inch Air.

Tim Cook is the king of the supply chain. Current sales of the 16-inch MacBook Pro, at this price point, are likely to not be very high. If Apple made a 16-inch Air, it could benefit from economies of scale and get cheaper 16-inch panels.

I do not see why Apple would keep 13 or 15-inch models now, which would just add complexity to the supply chain and only reduce the economy of scale.
 
Apple could make a 16-inch Air.

Tim Cook is the king of the supply chain. Current sales of the 16-inch MacBook Pro, at this price point, are likely to not be very high. If Apple made a 16-inch Air, it could benefit from economies of scale and get cheaper 16-inch panels.

I do not see why Apple would keep 13 or 15-inch models now, which would just add complexity to the supply chain and only reduce the economy of scale.
And I cannot disagree with the notion that Apple will move the MBA up to 14”, discontinue the 13” MBP replacing it with, sans HDMI and SD Card, the 14” MBP chassis using the M2 CPU instead and start it at $1299 to consolidate the product line screen sizes down to just two mini-LED screens, 14” and 16”, with the M2 Air and M2 14” having lowering peak brightness than the 14” Pro to lower the costs for Apple.
 
I get it, it seems like it makes sense, but based on the evidence I have, lots of people who don't NEED a pro buying them by default for the screen, I don't think the market is actually there. People want a 16" air like they wanted a mini iPhone. It sounds cool and nice, but when looking at the prices and options it rarely would end up being someone's first choice. Maybe I'm wrong, I'd love to be. But I doubt Apple would leave the huge price and capability gap if they had evidence that filling it would lead to more sales. It seems they either feel that a 16" air would cannibalize Pro sales or not sell well enough to justify the expense, and as disappointed as I am, I see how that makes sense
That's partly what I mean though, previously the Air and Pro machines were on largely convergent paths, taking a step back towards a chunkier/ heavier design with the MBP opens up more of a market gap for a cheaper M1 based full size thin and light. I also think Apple Silicon changes things as well, previously a 15" Air would have been an odd machine, large and relatively expensive (assuming a $200 upcharge over an equivalent 13" model) but very underpowered, particularly with Intel UHD graphics. Now it can be a very competent allrounder with the basic M series chips.
 
Same discussion could be applied to iPad Air 12 but that’s for another day.

13 inches is small for many people, it’s a matter of accessibility and space in screen to work comfortably.

Apple has discriminated with these expensive notch laptops a huge amount of customers that just need bigger screen on entry level family. M1 is fair enough for 99.99% of users. Ok change name from air to maybe just MacBook, who cares, but give the option. 2700$ destroys the access.
 
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Would love to see a 16” Air. It should be much cheaper than $2499 for the MacBook Pro. I am sure many would just want a bigger screen.
 
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Based on nothing but Apple watching I predict:

2022 MacBook (Air)

13-inch only: 70% likely
13-inch and 15-inch: 10% likely
12-inch and 14-inch: 5% likely
14-inch only: 15% likely
 
I’ll just jump in to add my voice to this. As stated before I do want 15/16 inch MBA. But 2022 for that laptop is almost 99% unlikely.

In typical Apple fashion we might get new design in 13 inch size, then next year they will ad 15 inch to force those who bought 13 inch to upgrade all over again - way more profit for them forcing upgrades this way. Also people will try to upgrade to 16 inch Pro wanting that big display when they see that 2022 only brings 13 inch Air.

They are creating artificial demand by spreading releases between their products.
 
Based on what Apple has done with the iPhone/ iPad lines the pattern I’m expecting is something like this:

Basic model (iPad, iPhone SE, MacBook Air) - older design but up to date chips, entry level pricing.

Middle models (iPad mini and Air, iPhone 13 mini and iPhone 13, MacBook 13 and 15?) - this is where I expect changes. The $1,299 MacBook Pro M1 seems ripe for replacement, and there’s now a full $1,000 gap to fill between the $999 MBA and $1,999 14” Pro, which can easily accommodate 2 models.

Pro models (iPad Pro 11 and 13, iPhone Pro and Pro Max, MacBook Pro 14 and 16) - flagship offerings.
 
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Based on what Apple has done with the iPhone/ iPad lines the pattern I’m expecting is something like this:

Basic model (iPad, iPhone SE, MacBook Air) - older design but up to date chips, entry level pricing.

Middle models (iPad mini and Air, iPhone 13 mini and iPhone 13, MacBook 13 and 15?) - this is where I expect changes. The $1,299 MacBook Pro M1 seems ripe for replacement, and there’s now a full $1,000 gap to fill between the $999 MBA and $1,999 14” Pro, which can easily accommodate 2 models.

Pro models (iPad Pro 11 and 13, iPhone Pro and Pro Max, MacBook Pro 14 and 16) - flagship offerings.
So, what would you expect in terms of pricing?

Current MacBook Air: $999
New 14-inch MacBook Air: $1299 - $1699

Or maybe:

New 14-inch MacBook Air: $999 - $1299
New 16-inch MacBook Air: $1499 - $1799

Or even:

Current MacBook Air: $999
New 14-inch MacBook Air: $1299 - $1599
New 16-inch MacBook Air: $1499 - $1799

I think it would make sense for Apple to have at least two models to fill the $1000 gap between the current low-end Air and the new low-end Pro. These two models could be the current form factor of the Air and a brand-new design, or two brand new designs of different sizes (say, 14 and 16-inch). Or Apple could even keep the old Air and introduce two new models.
 
So, what would you expect in terms of pricing?

Current MacBook Air: $999
New 14-inch MacBook Air: $1299 - $1699

Or maybe:

New 14-inch MacBook Air: $999 - $1299
New 16-inch MacBook Air: $1499 - $1799

Or even:

Current MacBook Air: $999
New 14-inch MacBook Air: $1299 - $1599
New 16-inch MacBook Air: $1499 - $1799

I think it would make sense for Apple to have at least two models to fill the $1000 gap between the current low-end Air and the new low-end Pro. These two models could be the current form factor of the Air and a brand-new design, or two brand new designs of different sizes (say, 14 and 16-inch). Or Apple could even keep the old Air and introduce two new models.
I’d say maybe $1,399 for the smaller model (after a mini LED price bump of $100 over the M1 Pro) and maybe $ 1,599 for the larger (maintaining their +$200 upcharge for the larger size as with the iPad Pro and MacBook Pro).

MacBook Air stays at $999 and maybe gets the M2 chip as it will probably be closing in on 2 years for the current model by that point?
 
I’d say maybe $1,399 for the smaller model (after a mini LED price bump of $100 over the M1 Pro) and maybe $ 1,599 for the larger (maintaining their +$200 upcharge for the larger size as with the iPad Pro and MacBook Pro).

MacBook Air stays at $999 and maybe gets the M2 chip as it will probably be closing in on 2 years for the current model by that point?
If you look at Apple's pricing strategy, there is never a $400 bump in this price range. Apple prices the products to fit strategically into certain price points, regardless of their actual cost. There is no way Apple will put the lower-end model at $999 and the immediate next one at $1399; there should be something in-between, both to not alienate customers and to convince them on an upsell. The next model in line would cost somewhere between $1099 to $1299 to fit this strategy.
 
If you look at Apple's pricing strategy, there is never a $400 bump in this price range. Apple prices the products to fit strategically into certain price points, regardless of their actual cost. There is no way Apple will put the lower-end model at $999 and the immediate next one at $1399; there should be something in-between, both to not alienate customers and to convince them on an upsell. The next model in line would cost somewhere between $1099 to $1299 to fit this strategy.
Maybe MacBook Air M1 $999, MacBook Air M2 (with mini LED panel but no design change) $1,099, new MacBook $1,399 … I’m only slightly kidding, this is almost something I could see them doing ?
 
I don't think it would necessarily have to be part of the 'Air' line, it could easily also be just a 'MacBook'. The idea is just for a full size consumer model.

The Pro is now 16.2", there's room for a 15.4" or so consumer model without even needing to match the size of the Pro. This seems even more pertinent now given the Pro is now significantly bulkier and heavier, again leaving more room for a different kind of full size laptop.

I don't think we'll see another 12" model, by the time you give it modern sized bezels you're almost at 13", and they can't reduce the size of the body further and still include a full size keyboard which they said when introducing the 12" rMB was something they wouldn't compromise on.
Whether Apple will keep the "Air" name is entirely a marketing decision. The 12-inch MacBook was an "Air" model, but Apple chose not to use this name. So what really matters is whether Apple will release a cheaper and lighter large model.

Although there may be room for a 15.4-inch model, I am not sure Apple would opt for this particular size even if it chose to release a larger "Air" model. Because of the economics of scale, Apple may benefit from using the same screen size in different models. A 15.4/16.2-inch lighter model would be welcome, especially since other manufacturers offer full-size laptops which are significantly lighter than the current large MacBook Pro.

As for the 12-inch model, you are right. Reducing the bezels and keeping the same keyboard size would result in a screen size too close to 13-inch. If Apple decides to increase the size of the MacBook (Air) to 14.2 inches, then there may be room for a smaller model (between 12.5 to 13 inches). About the size of the bezels, I did a more comprehensive analysis in the post I quote below.

Absolutely not. The 11-inch MacBook Air had large bezels and a 16:9 screen. Apple will never bring back a laptop this size. People are missing the point here.

Just look at the dimensions of the 11-inch Air compared to the other MacBook Air models. It simply does not make sense.

13-inch MacBook Air (2008 original model)11-inch MacBook Air (2010)13-inch MacBook Air (2010)12-inch MacBook (2015)13-inch MacBook Air (Retina model, current)
Height0.16-0.76 inch0.11-0.68 inch0.11-0.68 inch0.14-0.52 inch0.16-0.63 inch
Width12.8 inches11.8 inches12.8 inches11.04 inches11.97 inches
Depth8.94 inches7.56 inches8.94 inches7.74 inches8.36 inches
Weight3.0 lbs2.38 lbs2.96 lbs2.03 lbs2.8 lbs

The size of the 13-inch MacBook Air was reduced over the years, even though the screen kept the same size.

The 12-inch MacBook is sort of a spiritual successor to the 11-inch MacBook Air. It is slightly smaller in nearly all dimensions, save for depth (due to the 16:10 screen ratio). The screen size in the 11-inch model is, in fact, 11.6-inch. I am not sure if the screen of the 12-inch MacBook is exactly 12-inch, but I assume so. An 11.6-inch 16:9 screen and a 12-inch 16:10 screen have about the same width (the 12-inch been only slightly wider). But the 12-inch screen is considerably taller, which results in a 12.5% larger area.

So, by reducing the bezels, Apple managed to put a 12-inch 16:10 screen in a form factor that is slightly smaller and considerably lighter than the 11-inch MacBook Air.

Now just look at a picture of the 12-inch MacBook. It has some quite large bezels compared to the brand-new 14 and 16-inch MacBook Pros. In fact, the screen of the 12-inch MacBook (assuming it is really 12 inches) is 10.18 inches wide and 6.36 inches high, while its body is 11.04 inches wide and 7.74 inches high. Bezel size would be 0.86 inch x 1.38 inch.

The bezels of the 12-inch MacBook could be significantly reduced. Just look at the new 14.2-inch model. While the 14.2-inch model has a tricky screen ratio, I will assume it is around 1.54:1. It would result in a screen 11.91 inches wide and 7.73 inches high. Its body is 12.31 inches wide and 8.71 inches tall. It would result in a bezel that is 0.4 inch x 0.98 inch.

If a 12-inch MacBook could have this bezel size, it would be even smaller. But, looking at the 12-inch model, the size of the keyboard would make it impossible to shrink it even further. So, in order to reduce the bezels without shrinking the keyboard and making it less comfortable, Apple would have to increase the screen size.

A 16:10 12.5-inch screen would be 10.6 inches wide and 6.62 inches tall. The bezel size, considering the dimensions of the 12-inch model, would be 0.44 inch x 1.12 inch. So, it would be possible to increase the size of the 12-inch model to 12.5 inches and still have bezels larger than the ones in the 14.2-inch Pro model.

My take is that Apple may release a brand new MacBook Air next year to replace both the 13.3-inch MacBook Air and Pro. This new MacBook Air could have a larger version, with a 14.2-inch screen similar to the one found in the smaller Pro, and a smaller version, with a 12.5-inch screen or something similar. Apple could even release a 16.2-inch version, which would make a lot of sense, considering that the current larger Pro model is heavy and expensive compared to other large laptops available in the market.

In any case, due to the reasons above, I do not see an 11-inch model, or even a 12-inch, as a possibility. These screen sizes simply cannot fit the size of the keyboard and still keep small bezels.
 
Whether Apple will keep the "Air" name is entirely a marketing decision. The 12-inch MacBook was an "Air" model, but Apple chose not to use this name. So what really matters is whether Apple will release a cheaper and lighter large model.

Although there may be room for a 15.4-inch model, I am not sure Apple would opt for this particular size even if it chose to release a larger "Air" model. Because of the economics of scale, Apple may benefit from using the same screen size in different models. A 15.4/16.2-inch lighter model would be welcome, especially since other manufacturers offer full-size laptops which are significantly lighter than the current large MacBook Pro.

As for the 12-inch model, you are right. Reducing the bezels and keeping the same keyboard size would result in a screen size too close to 13-inch. If Apple decides to increase the size of the MacBook (Air) to 14.2 inches, then there may be room for a smaller model (between 12.5 to 13 inches). About the size of the bezels, I did a more comprehensive analysis in the post I quote below.
I don't know if economy of scale would kick in unless they were using the exact same panel between machines, and I don't expect that to be the case (at the very least it seems lower end MacBooks will lack ProMotion, even if they get mini LED).

Both the fact the 16" Pro is now bigger and heavier than at any time since the 15" unibody, and that 15" computers are now a massive sweet spot between portability and display area makes me think Apple could do with a 15.0-15.6" thin and light model. The Dell XPS 15 (15.6" 16:10) is only a little larger in footprint to the 13.3" MacBook Air from 2017!
 
I don't know if economy of scale would kick in unless they were using the exact same panel between machines,

At that volume they are long past that.

The overall volume of displays may still matter or how much waste is left behind when cutting down the "mother" down may still have a small effect.
 
It seems to me that a 15 or 16 inch MacBook Air offers Apple the opportunity to upsell people who have money to spend on a bigger/better laptop, but fall into the chasm between Air and (M1 Pro/Max) Pro pricing and end up with the Air.

In the UK it's £1,249 for the high-end Air vs £1,899 for the low-end 14 inch MBP. That's a massive £650 gap - half the price of the high-end Air!

I think might be leaving £200 to £300 on the table for those aren't willing to stretch to spending an extra £650 for the 14 inch Pro, but could be tempted by a meaningful improvement on the Air.

The legacy 13 inch Pro currently occupies this mid-point, but I don't see that as having a future once M2 Airs drop. A larger Air makes much more sense.

All that said... I actually think Apple will go a different route and replace the M1 13 inch MBP with a budget 14 inch MBP. Basic M2 processor, cheaper screen, cut out the legacy ports, worse mic/speakers, 8GB RAM, 256GB SSD, etc.

It's not a product I would want, but it would follow Apple's approach of selling high-end laptop chassis with meagre specs as an entry-level offering to the range.
 
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