Surest sign yet that Microsoft is worried about iPad catching on in a very big way.
I don't think Microsoft cares one way or the other whether the iPad takes off. Sure, they're developing Courier, but for those who've truly taken the time to look at the information on Courier and the tech demo videos, it's essentially targeted at a different market (such as enterprise environments, and maybe even professional artists/etc).
The iPad is first and foremost a consumer media consumption device. It's not targeted towards the enterprise sector. Does that mean enterprises won't incorporate it in some way? Of course not. But I remember people proclaiming how well the MacBook Air would fit into enterprise scenarios, and that just didn't ultimately happen.
Office suite is their biggest piece of leverage when it comes to a different platform. If business users are debating between a MS product (Courier/laptop/netbook/whatever) and an iPhone OS product, and one product has full Office support and the other doesn't... business users will go with the Office-sanctioned product.
Yep. And realistically, Courier would probably do Office functionality easier than the iPad anyway. Courier has two screens to the iPad's one. Thus, for exmaple, you could use one screen for a touchscreen keyboard, and the other a full Excel window, for example. The iPad, by comparison, would either require that half the screen essentially go towards the keyboard (thus reducing the available screen space for Excel), or you would need to get an external keyboard. But, in that scenario, you could also argue that you could use an external keyboard with Courier, and then have two screens dedicated to whatever you want. Either way, it's win-win for Courier (in this regard).
At least that's how it is supposed to work. This smells like the kind of hardball Apple is playing with Flash. Difference is, Apple has done a very good job of framing that debate to the point where Flash is the problem (I agree with them, but that's neither here nor there).
Well, let's be realistic: it's more that Steve Jobs has a new target in his sights (Flash), and wants it eliminated. People here tend to decry Flash because of generally much-lower performance in OS X (and it's relatively true), but there is absolutely no reason for that lower performance outside of the on-going dislike that Apple and Adobe have for each other. Flash performance in Windows is fine, and I honestly doubt there's any technical reason preventing it from being fine in OS X as well. To me, it's the result of Apple and Adobe not getting along.
That having been said, Apple may designate the way when it comes to smart phones, and may have a majority of the expensive PC market, but ultimately they're still just a small part of the overall computer industry. Thus, Flash isn't going anywhere anytime soon, no matter how much Steve Jobs wishes it so. It would essentially require Microsoft also turn against it, and given that Microsoft embraces it, as has Google now, yeah... many more years for Flash to come, lol.
This debate is something different. If iPad owners are many, and Office is not available, Microsoft will either have to acquiesce.. or Office-compatible alternatives will take hold. If the latter happens, Office no longer has control of the mindshare.
People have been championing the "Office-compatible alternatives will take hold" mantra for over a decade now, usually due to either the new release of software that was Office-compatible, or for whatever reason. And yet, Office continues to dominate. The reality is, whether it's Open Office, iWork, etc., nothing so far can match the complete functionality of MS Office. People often say "Well, for most people's needs, basic compatibility is more than adequate", and that's true to a small extent. But Office is the standard by which all others are compared.
When people are considering whatever applications to use, they'll almost always go with the one that offers the greatest number of features, irregardless of whether or not they'll use them. It's the "I'd prefer to have it just in case for the future, than not have it at all" philosophy, and it works really, really well when it comes to selling products. Thus, Office isn't going anywhere. People will use whatever app provides the basic functionality they need with the iPad (opening, viewing, slight editing), and leave the heavy usage to a desktop or laptop, where major editing and such is much, much easier. Do you really foresee a lot of people writing dozens of pages on the iPad, using the onscreen keyboard? I don't...