a rebuttal...
Not sure I agree here. S60 has moved through a number of iterations the current one being S60v3 FP2 and S60v5 (there's no S60v4 as 4 is considered an unlucky number in some of Nokia's key Asian markets). I also remember people talking about the N95's specs when it came out - it was branded as a multimedia computer in Europe - although I appreciate Nokia don't really have a presence in the US so it's probably different there.
I've never really specs before the iPhone. Yes, they would talk about camera lens, MP and what it can do but never about processors and RAM.
I think a more pertinent question is "will Android survive against Symbian?". Certainly sales of the G1 in Europe were very poor and with Symbian's move to open source I'm not sure there's a great deal of desire for Android at the moment outside of the US.
That's kind of an illusion - open source developers are developing for Android because there are far fewer apps for it than Symbian which has thousands of mature and stable apps for it. It's the same reason that the iPhone mushroomed - not so much developers leaving platforms as the emergence of a totally new platform with the revenue possibilities that meant.
While Android does have it's work cut out for it, Google has the money to stay around in the long run. Nokia has the advantage in selling phones outside the U.S. with a extremely large user base, it just posted a really bad quarter and a lot of the phones they sell are "throwaway" phones and not smartphones. Nokia is primarily a hardware manufacturer and it wouldn't be out of the realm of possibility of running Android in 5-10 yrs. Remember, Android has only been out for a little more than half a year.
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I posted three articles which are good reads:
Om Malik:
For Some App Developers Palm & Nokia Are No-Gos
http://gigaom.com/2009/04/08/for-some-app-developers-palm-nokia-are-no-gos/
"When asked if they would re-write their applications for a platform other than the one they currently support, nearly 56 percent said yes. Googles Android ranks highest in terms of interest a whopping 58 percent of non-Android developers plan to port to that platform, while 40 percent of non-iPhone developers plan to port an app to the iPhone platform. In comparison, 26 percent will port to RIM and 20 percent to Windows Mobile. When it comes to the platforms of Palm and Nokias Symbian, however, those numbers drop to just 8 percent and 9 percent, respectively"
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VentureBeat:
iPhone devotion blinds Silicon Valley app developers
http://venturebeat.com/2009/04/11/iphone-devotion-blinds-silicon-valley-app-developers/
"MacLeod asked a panel of developers if theyre focused on the Ovi Store, which is projected to reach 400 million supported handsets by the end of 2010. (By comparison, Apple has sold 30 million combined iPhones and iPod Touches and is estimated to have a base of 15 million mobile users based in the U.S.). The response? Crickets chirping in the night. Of four iPhone developer rock stars, as MacLeod described them, only Alan Wells of Zynga said his company was thinking about creating products for the Ovi Store. The other panelists Ben Lewis, founder of TapJoy; Jonathan Zweig, CEO of Jirbo; and Mike Kerns, CEO of Citizen Sports expressed no interest."
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VentureBeat:
Mobile app developers fire back: Nokia sucks!
http://venturebeat.com/2009/04/12/mobile-app-developers-fire-back-nokia-sucks/
These are some developers:
"Is the Nokia store supposed to challenge Apple? Or Microsoft supposed to? Or RIM? You know what folks, you had your chances. If you want to impress me, if you want me to start developing for your platforms again, get your houses in order. Once things change, once you get your stores developed, released, and proven as a good commercial channels to end users then we can talk again. Until then were all just going to keep laughing at you and developing for iPhone.
Mike Rowehl on his blog This Is Mobility.
"Nokia and Blackberrys hardware and carrier focus has thus far led to lack of investment/interest/capability in software SDK design & developer support.
Diesel McFadden in response to my story.
Its time to foster your own counter-cult or get out of the way.
Jon Bell in response to Rowehls post
As of now, Ovi is not a very developer-friendly place. Developers should get the VERY expensive Java certified status for each app (a certificate that cost a decent list of devices could easily run up to $60k+). Nokia wont do the app-verification process. Without doing anything to verify the app, Nokia takes a 30 percent cut on apps sold. Nokia is like the most tip-demanding waiter in a self service restaurant.
Rapidmortal in response to my story.
. . . Developing for Symbian is extremely painful. The tool chain is cr*p on Windows platforms and even worse on Mac.
Jim in response to my story.
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It is impossible to say which platforms will be around in 10 years but right now there are way too many. As more customers devote time and money to a platform, they are more than likely hooked into it unless another OS has a major paradigm shift (possible with Palm and the Pre). A decent example would be Howard Stern. Palm gave him a early release of the Pre for him to review. He said he liked it but chose not to use it. Why? Because it didn't have Lotus Notes. He was so attached to the software, he refused to switch platforms. So he chose a Blackberry instead.