Originally posted by Phil Of Mac
As we've just seen, it isn't a wise strategy, because you mind end up with that one supplier utterly stagnating. Like Motorola.
You have been blind to the fact that Motorola moved the G4 up to 1.4 GHz on a 180-nm process while IBM only has gotten the G3 up to 900 MHz on the smaller 130-nm process size.
Motorola will get the G4 up to 1.8 GHz on the 130-nm process and IBM will only get the 750GX up to 1.1 GHz on the same process size.
Apple may choose, say, AMD as another supplier.
No they can't. Apple is dependent on two suppliers for PowerPC processors. It would not be economically feasible for AMD to attempt to keep up with Intel with PowerPC manufacturing. In fact IBM is helping AMD out with manufacturing Opteron chips.
All the chip manufacturers are in the same boat of having great difficulties trying to keep up the pace of development from Intel.
But Motorola only wants the embedded sector. They haven't been doing well with computers and they don't want to bother with it. So a second supplier is a feasible strategy. Motorola is not.If Motorola only wanted the embedded sector, then they would have stopped manufacturing chips for Apple awhile back. That's obviously not the case.
The 970 at this point requires a very large heat sink that would ruin the sleek design of the PowerBook. 90nm is, essentially, a necessity.
At this point the problem with getting a G5 in a PowerBook maybe that Apple does not have the motherboard ready yet.
I suppose that's the same reason it stayed at 500 MHz for a year, it would be too cost prohibitive to design a faster chip.
You have failed to mention that IBM has not yet reached 1 GHz with the 750FX after 1 1/2 years. Could it be that both IBM and Motorola have the same problem of not enough money to develop the G3 or G4 at a faster pace?
By today's standards, it would be impressive. By the standards of the end of 2004, it might contend with anything, except a dual G5.
The G4 is not meant to equal or outperform the topend G5 or Pentium chips. It will be positioned in the low to mid range Macs. The G5 is likely to stay in the high priced Macs for quite some time.
I suggest you look up "hyperbole". The G5 will still outperform your pathetic 2.4 GHz dual-G4 significantly. Especially if Motorola's past history is any indication.
A dual G4 can't keep up with a single Pentium.[/quote
A rough estimate would be that a topend dual core G4 would have at least the equivilant performance of a current 3.2 GHz Pentium 4, which is beyond what the G5 is at right now.
A single G5 is near parity with a single Pentium and will quickly overtake it. So why do you think a dual G4 after another year of IBM innovation and Motorola's lack thereof will be even close to the G5?
The G4 will be positioned below the G5 in much the same way that the G3 is below the G4. By the way, Apple uses both the G3 and the G4, even though the G4 with Altivec is much faster than the G3.
Motorola is working with two other major chip manufacturers to quickly move to faster chip processes. Motorola is already has test chips at the 90-nm process level and plans to manufacture a PowerPC chip next year with it. Motorola is not going it alone, they have partners to enable them to speed up development.
Motorola hasn't changed. If you read the news, you'd know that Motorola is the one responsible for Apple falling behind since the glory days of the G3.
No, Apple shot themselves in the foot according to Steve Jobs. The company decided to only make the Mac themselves and sell it at a premium price. Apple's marketshare has been falling for years, well before Motorola could be blamed for it.
It's simple economics why both Motorola and IBM were not able to keep up with Intel in processors used in desktop computers. For every dollar that Motorola or IBM was taking in from Apple in the last few years Intel would get thirty or forty. Over time Intel simply was able to build chip plants faster and pump more money into research and development. To expect Motorola to pull off a miracle and keep up with Intel's pace of chip development is unrealistic.
IBM has a better chance of keeping up with Intel in the short term due to IBM being able to charge $10,000 or more per Power chip. If Motorola could charge that much to Apple and still sell them 2 million processors a year, then Motorola could keep up with Intel also. Apple simply doesn't have the marketshare for Motorola to keep up with Intel in personal computer processor development.
The G4's only real advantage over the G3 was AltiVec. There was no cost effectiveness in putting it in all products at once.
The same is true for the G4 compared to the G5. The G4 is a smaller chip than the G5 and so therefore should be less expensive to manufacture.
Come 90nm, the G5 will, or should, replace the G4 and G3 entirely. Motorola's unreliability and the advantage of the G5 design necessitate it.
The upcoming 750GX, with 1 MB of cache, is less than 1/2 the size of the 970. It's lower cost to manufacturer and Intel using chips of the same performance level tells me that Apple could have a place for it in some product in the future. If IBM adds Altivec to it, then it could extend the 750s life even further in a Apple product. By the mere fact that IBM is doubling the cache of the 750 G3 in December strongly indicates that Apple may have a plan for its use in a Apple computer.