Originally posted by Phinius
Apple is not going to put all their eggs in one basket and only using IBM processors would limit them to only one basket to choose from. That would not be a wise strategy.
As we've just seen, it isn't a wise strategy, because you mind end up with that one supplier utterly stagnating. Like Motorola.
Apple may choose, say, AMD as another supplier. But Motorola only wants the embedded sector. They haven't been doing well with computers and they don't want to bother with it. So a second supplier is a feasible strategy. Motorola is not.
Originally posted by Phinius
You seem to be getting your information from rumor sites. Intel is the leader in getting a new process technology to market. Intel will have the Prescott version of the Pentium on a 90-nm process in the fourth quarter of 2003. IBM will likely have the 970 moved to a 90-nm process months into 2004 and not in January. Apple could have a 130-nm 970 processor in a PowerBook by the end of January however.
Doubtful, unless Apple chooses not to release a new PowerBook G4. The 130nm 970 is already, at low frequencies, comparable with the heat and power of the G4. However, at 90 nm, heat and power necessities will be reduced even more, making it more feasible to build a truly high-speed PowerBook that befits the name.
The 970 at this point requires a very large heat sink that would ruin the sleek design of the PowerBook. 90nm is, essentially, a necessity.
Originally posted by Phinius
If what you say is true and judging from your previous responses you probably got that information from rumors, then Motorola might have decided to not have a dual-core earlier due to the die size being too cost prohibitive.
I suppose that's the same reason it stayed at 500 MHz for a year, it would be too cost prohibitive to design a faster chip.
Originally posted by Phinius
If there are two 2+ GHz G4 processors on one chip, then Apple could use the same PowerMac G4 motherboard and use 2 of these chips, which would be 4 G4 processors. I'd hardly call 4 G4 processors running at 2+ GHz 'half a computer'.
By today's standards, it would be impressive. By the standards of the end of 2004, it might contend with anything, except a dual G5.
Originally posted by Phinius
Your wildly overestimating the speed advantage of the G5 over a G4 processor. It's very unlikely that a year from now a 3 GHz 970 processor would have double the performance of a dual-core 2 GHz G4 chip. In fact IBM estimated that a 970 running at 1.8 GHz would have a SPECint score of 937 and Motorola states that a single PowerMac G4 running at 1.25 GHz has a SPECint score of 500.
IBM *estimated* that? Well! How convienient! Now my suspicion that you don't keep up with the news is confirmed.
Convieniently, there have been two recent benchmark tests of the G5. One of them, an independent test done for Apple, gives the G5 a SPECint of 800, and a SPECfp of 840.
NASA benchmarks rate the 2 GHz G5 at 254 MFLOPS and the 1.25 GHz G4 at 129 MFLOPS, scalar. Vector benchmarks are 2755 and 1612, respectively.
Originally posted by Phinius
Since Motorola intends to put two G4s on a chip, then that reduces the odds that a topend 970 processor will have double the performance of a topend G4 chip.
I suggest you look up "hyperbole". The G5 will still outperform your pathetic 2.4 GHz dual-G4 significantly. Especially if Motorola's past history is any indication. A dual G4 can't keep up with a single Pentium. A single G5 is near parity with a single Pentium and will quickly overtake it. So why do you think a dual G4 after another year of IBM innovation and Motorola's lack thereof will be even close to the G5?
Originally posted by Phinius
What year is this, 1997 or 2003? Times change.
Motorola hasn't changed. If you read the news, you'd know that Motorola is the one responsible for Apple falling behind since the glory days of the G3.
Originally posted by Phinius
The G5 is meant to be the topend chip for Apple that competes against the desktop Pentium processors. But Apple still has to compete against the Celerons and Pentium M processors and a smaller, cheaper to produce processor like the G3 or G4 would be much better suited in that market than the bigger and costlier G5 processors.
Why do you insist on believing that the G5 will replace all the G4 processors when the G4 did not eliminate the G3 in Macs?
The G4's only real advantage over the G3 was AltiVec. There was no cost effectiveness in putting it in all products at once. The G3, however, did immediately replace the 604e and 603e. Why? It was so much faster that it was cost-effective to!
Come 90nm, the G5 will, or should, replace the G4 and G3 entirely. Motorola's unreliability and the advantage of the G5 design necessitate it.