Blackberry had a huge install base and a good ecosystem and still died because they couldn't deliver decent hardware. They tried to pivot to Android, but got even further lost in "what even is a blackberry?"
Palm/webOS tried to move from handhelds to phones and just couldn't find their place. They probably should have gone the e-ink tablet route, but instead they became a TV OS. Weird, but it works for them.
Microsoft had multiple failed attempts and the most money to throw around at making itself a big player and just gave up. Bill Gates said it was his greatest failure. They bought Nokia to try to make a bigger play and Nokia was doing some cool stuff with cameras at the time that could have made them successful. But Microsoft just didn't win the minds of developers. Not sure where they went wrong.
We hear things about Tizen and HarmonyOS, but I don't know if they will ever be competitive mobile operating systems available globally.
For a third player to enter now, it would have to be a huge investment in money, time, and talent. A crazy hypothetical: DoJ forces Google to sell Chrome (and therefore ChromeOS). OpenAI buys it and begins work on a mobile OS that is still probably largely Android. Five years with no return on investment and nVidia buys OpenAI and then launches a line of mobile phones that combine best-in-class processing with AI. They fail miserably because nVidia can’t make energy-efficient chips. But they did launch a phone. Maybe it was designed by Jony Ive. It will never happen, but it is fun to imagine.
Palm/webOS tried to move from handhelds to phones and just couldn't find their place. They probably should have gone the e-ink tablet route, but instead they became a TV OS. Weird, but it works for them.
Microsoft had multiple failed attempts and the most money to throw around at making itself a big player and just gave up. Bill Gates said it was his greatest failure. They bought Nokia to try to make a bigger play and Nokia was doing some cool stuff with cameras at the time that could have made them successful. But Microsoft just didn't win the minds of developers. Not sure where they went wrong.
We hear things about Tizen and HarmonyOS, but I don't know if they will ever be competitive mobile operating systems available globally.
For a third player to enter now, it would have to be a huge investment in money, time, and talent. A crazy hypothetical: DoJ forces Google to sell Chrome (and therefore ChromeOS). OpenAI buys it and begins work on a mobile OS that is still probably largely Android. Five years with no return on investment and nVidia buys OpenAI and then launches a line of mobile phones that combine best-in-class processing with AI. They fail miserably because nVidia can’t make energy-efficient chips. But they did launch a phone. Maybe it was designed by Jony Ive. It will never happen, but it is fun to imagine.
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