I hope you're right, but I think you're wrong. A think a refresh is at least a couple of months off, and it will most likely only be a Penryn speed bump. When that happens we'll all say "WTF, I'll just wait a couple of more months for the complete redesign, bound to happen at Apple Developer Conference ". Unfortunately, experience tells me that we'll not see a complete redesign until sometime in the Fall, well after all the college kids who had been waiting for the totally new MBP cry "I can't wait any longer -- need a laptop for school now!", bite the bullet and buy the "old" one (plus the obligatory free nano), thus relieving Apple of all unsold inventory right before Apple introduces the MBP we all really wanted.