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I love my 13 Mini—the thing just disppears into my front pocket in a way no larger phone does. Plus I like its relatively light weight.

I'm not constantly consuming content on my phone, so I don't need a large screen. For me, the main inconvenience of phones is finding a comfortable place to carry them, so the Mini serves me well.

Thus if Apple does release a foldable I hope that, in addition to an expected large foldable (Z-Fold size, prioritizing screen space), they also release a Z-Flip size, which prioritizes portability. That might be a decent replacement for my Mini—I'd need to try putting it in my pocket. [Haven't had a chance to do that with the Z-Flip, but it does look pocketable.]

Dimension and weight comparision (dimensions in mm):

Z-Fold 6, folded: 153.5 x 68.1 x 12.1, 239 g
iPhone 16 Pro: 149.6 x 71.5 x 8.25, 199 g

Z-Flip 6, folded: 85.1 x 71.9 x 14.9, 187 g
iPhone 13 Mini: 131.5 x 64.2 x 7.65, 141 g
While I’d want the larger version, it makes sense for them to test the waters with the smaller one first. I’d still expect it to be $999 minimum for the small one, maybe as much as $1299.
 
I love my 13 Mini—the thing just disppears into my front pocket in a way no larger phone does. Plus I like its relatively light weight.

I'm not constantly consuming content on my phone, so I don't need a large screen. For me, the main inconvenience of phones is finding a comfortable place to carry them, so the Mini serves me well.

Thus if Apple does release a foldable I hope that, in addition to an expected large foldable (Z-Fold size, prioritizing screen space), they also release a Z-Flip size, which prioritizes portability. That might be a decent replacement for my Mini—I'd need to try putting it in my pocket. [Haven't had a chance to do that with the Z-Flip, but it does look pocketable.]

Dimension and weight comparision (dimensions in mm):

Z-Fold 6, folded: 153.5 x 68.1 x 12.1, 239 g
iPhone 16 Pro: 149.6 x 71.5 x 8.25, 199 g

Z-Flip 6, folded: 85.1 x 71.9 x 14.9, 187 g
iPhone 13 Mini: 131.5 x 64.2 x 7.65, 141 g
As someone who carried a caseless Z Flip4 for over two years, I can tell you you'll love the "iPhone flip" form factor and how it feels in the pocket. And it will open to a bigger screen than the Mini, which you'll also appreciate.
 
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Now iPhone Air makes sense. A testing ground for a Fold model that, when closed, will give us something close to today's regular models.
 
Static curved screens - yes, there are possibilities like larger, wrap-around displays on watches. Folding screen? No thanks. The creases are criminally ugly and would be a worse distraction that a cluster of dead pixels.
 
While I’d want the larger version, it makes sense for them to test the waters with the smaller one first. I’d still expect it to be $999 minimum for the small one, maybe as much as $1299.
Samsung's first foldable-screen phone was the Galaxy Fold (2019). They didn't release the Flip until a year later (2020). And IIRC, when other companies have introduced their first foldables, they were tablet-sized as well.

So the industry trend, at least, has been to test the market with a big one—probably because that's what most people, like yourself, want. Plus Apple has progressively been moving towards larger screens. That's why I expect they will lead with a Z-Fold sized phone, but am hoping they also include a Z-Flip in their lineup.

And yes, I'd also expect even a smaller foldable to be pricey, since the BOM (bill of materials) is going to be determined by its unfolded size. The Z-Flip 6 is 6.7", close to the 6.9" of the iPhone 16 Pro Max. So if Apple makes a Z-Flip-sized iPhone, I'd expect it to start at around the same price as the contemporaneous Pro Max (currently $1200).
 
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I loved the form factor of my Z Flip4, but the overall experience was midrange at a flagship price. If Apple's foldable features all the good bits from the Pro-level iPhone, I would gladly pay the price they're asking for one.
Apple are not magicians. They might come with a cleaver hinge solution so the folding mechanism could work slightly better and be a bit more reliable than the competition, but don't expect any jaw-dropping innovation here. The state of the technology is what is it. It is a bit more mature that the first foldable displays that were put on the market, but still have important downsides and those who decide to use this type of devices should accept it.
 
Apple are not magicians. They might come with a cleaver hinge solution so the folding mechanism could work slightly better and be a bit more reliable than the competition, but don't expect any jaw-dropping innovation here. The state of the technology is what is it. It is a bit more mature that the first foldable displays that were put on the market, but still have important downsides and those who decide to use this type of devices should accept it.
Except if Apple were willing to produce a foldable with only midrange performance, they would have done so already.

Apple's repeatedly said they've held off releasing a foldable because the tech is not yet there to meet their standards.

So maybe by the time they do release a foldable, the tech will have advanced sufficiently (not just for Apple, but for everyone, since Apple will probably source their screens from someone like Samsung) that foldables can be true premium products.

Of course, there is a possibility Apple could surprise us by releasing tech more advanced than everyone else's, as they did when they introduced the Apple Silicon Macs. Though I think that's less likely to happen with foldables.
 
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Except if Apple were willing to produce a foldable with only midrange performance, they would have done so already.

Apple's repeatedly said they've held off releasing a foldable because the tech is not yet there to meet their standards.

So maybe by the time they do release a foldable, the tech will have advanced sufficiently (not just for Apple, but for everyone, since Apple will probably source their screens from someone like Samsung) that foldables can be true premium products.

Of course, there is a possibility Apple could surprise us by releasing tech more advanced than everyone else's, as they did when they introduced the Apple Silicon Macs. Though I think that's less likely to happen with foldables.
I wouldn't hold by breath really. We saw what happened with Vision Pro. A better product than the competition in terms of overall package and execution but nothing groundbreaking. I also still remember when the first Apple Watch was about to be announced and all these crazy concepts and rumors were circulating all over the internet. The final product was well below the insane expectation that many had (e.g. curved super-thin display that wraps around your wrist). Well, that wasn't possible at that time and still isn't. Same applies for the downsides that foldable smartphones currently have (durability and visible mark where the screen bends). Apple is definitely capable to show better, smarter and more innovative solution but they cannot do miracles.
 
Hard to have a "next generation" without a first.
There was a first generation, a second, a third, etc. Of course Apple didn’t sell it, Samsung did. This folding iPhone will be the end result of all of those years Apple secretly purchased folding phones from other manufacturers including Samsung to test in their labs.
 
In short, Apple finally has seen enough improvements in foldable display technology be incorporated into an iPhone. Given the issues of foldable displays historically, no wonder Apple stay out while everyone else worked out the various issues with such displays.
I hope they figured out how to deal with the crease.
 
The thinnest foldable phone today is the Honor Magic V3 at 9.2 mm folded while the iPhone 16 Pro Max is 8.25 mm. I would agree that the early days of Samsung Z Fold were thick at 15+ mm. Having used the OnePlus Open, I can say even the 11.7 mm was comfortable despite my small hands. The "twice as thick" is no longer true, and the Oppo Find N5 is getting even thinner than the 9.2 mm.
Oh! That doesn't sound bad at all, I could easily handle another 1mm (indeed I've often said I wish they'd make iPhones as thick as the camera so they don't need a bump).
 
A horizontally foldable phone that thin folded loses no functionality over a regular phone, it only has added function design unfolded + thinner and easier to use than a regular phone unfolded towards the value proposition of asking more and being pursued in the first place!
do you remember the illustration used for this post? it was showing a flip-folded phone with no external display.
I measured my pro with an apple case, it was 11mm thick, that's about 0.43.
so it is indeed thicker than the pixel 9 fold - according to the specs is 0.4" which is 10.16mm - by less than a mm.
the iPhone w/o the case is 0.31", so 7.8mm - so 2mm thinner than the pixel.

I'm not a fan of overly thin personal devices as they need some level of rigidity, and I believe that the pixel 9 fold is not too bulky either. but it is a brick if you consider it's weight: 257g which is more than half a pound.

there's no free lunch. and people put cases on their phones for a reason, or at least I do it for a reason. you don't put any case on the fold 9, because it is not possible. whether you think it is a limitation, I don't know, but I sort of believe this makes the device more vulnerable. same goes for debris getting between the folding screens - I would say this is not ideal, but that's just my personal opinion. maybe it will never happen to many.

still, the fold 9 has at least some practical use with the 3rd screen, it can be used as a normal smartphone without being forced to open it every single time. but please remember: my rant was primarily targeting the flip-style foldable devices, which is just a dumb idea capitalising the novelty factor without truly considering actual impacts on user experience.

and I have my own concerns about the screen aspect ratio of the horizontally folding devices too, but that's more like a matter of tastes: you seem to like it, while I don't - and I won't start no war about it ;)
 
do you remember the illustration used for this post? it was showing a flip-folded phone with no external display.
I measured my pro with an apple case, it was 11mm thick, that's about 0.43.
so it is indeed thicker than the pixel 9 fold - according to the specs is 0.4" which is 10.16mm - by less than a mm.
the iPhone w/o the case is 0.31", so 7.8mm - so 2mm thinner than the pixel.

I'm not a fan of overly thin personal devices as they need some level of rigidity, and I believe that the pixel 9 fold is not too bulky either. but it is a brick if you consider it's weight: 257g which is more than half a pound.

there's no free lunch. and people put cases on their phones for a reason, or at least I do it for a reason. you don't put any case on the fold 9, because it is not possible. whether you think it is a limitation, I don't know, but I sort of believe this makes the device more vulnerable. same goes for debris getting between the folding screens - I would say this is not ideal, but that's just my personal opinion. maybe it will never happen to many.

still, the fold 9 has at least some practical use with the 3rd screen, it can be used as a normal smartphone without being forced to open it every single time. but please remember: my rant was primarily targeting the flip-style foldable devices, which is just a dumb idea capitalising the novelty factor without truly considering actual impacts on user experience.

and I have my own concerns about the screen aspect ratio of the horizontally folding devices too, but that's more like a matter of tastes: you seem to like it, while I don't - and I won't start no war about it ;)
…There are absolutely cases for the Pixel 9 Fold. Also my iPhone 16 Pro Max is absolutely heavier (expanded) or negligible (folded) between the two using them both daily.

Noted though what kind of foldable phone you’re most concerned with.
 
Apple are not magicians. They might come with a cleaver hinge solution so the folding mechanism could work slightly better and be a bit more reliable than the competition, but don't expect any jaw-dropping innovation here. The state of the technology is what is it. It is a bit more mature that the first foldable displays that were put on the market, but still have important downsides and those who decide to use this type of devices should accept it.
If they make it an Ultra Retina XDR foldable screen, it automatically is a huge improvement over existing options and being particularly exciting for prosumers.

If it is a horizontal folding phone meant to be a mini tablet when unfolded of course.
 
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