Now, I by no means want this to sound disrespectful, but are you prepared to visit this thread next year to reflect on this post?
Absolutely.
Now, I by no means want this to sound disrespectful, but are you prepared to visit this thread next year to reflect on this post?
Tablets never caught on until Apple made one
Smartphones never caught on until Apple made one
MP3 Music Players never caught on until Apple made one.
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No, it won't. That's a niche market. Features like that mean nothing to the majority of Apple's customers. Think of the "Your Verse" ads; people can do a lot of cool stuff with the iPad too, but you're not going to see most people writing orchestras on their iPads.
Will the iWatch be successful? Absolutely. There's very little Apple could sell that would not be successful. But it won't make the big splash that everybody is expecting. It will end up a hobby like the Apple TV was when it first came to market.
If you truly believe this is going to be the next big thing, I have some bridges I'd like to sell to you.
Absolutely.![]()
This is sounding more and more like a device for hypochondriacs. Perhaps they should re-name it the iWorry? I'm starting to seriously wonder about the responsibility/ethics of using health to sell gadgets.
Most people simply don't need to measure these things, beyond (maybe) annual screenings (...and there are already some concerns over the unintended consequences of mass screening).
Even people with relevant medical conditions don't necessarily need 24/7 monitoring.
Its great that the research is going on - I'm sure that there are diabetics out there who would be delighted not to have to do finger-prick tests half a dozen times a day - but that's not even most diabetics. For those that do need constant monitoring, their lives depend on it - that's not a job for a bit of mass-market consumer electronics.
Sports? Do you really want to encourage amateurs to start redlining it on heart rate and BP without medical supervision?
...meanwhile, will those of us who just want to see text messages and calandar alerts on their wrists have to pay the premium for a medically certified device (all that liability insurance in case an iWatch fails to spot someone going hypo)?
You don't even know what it is, how it'll work, what it'll look like, do or cost. All you know is that you don't want one?This is my personal opinion but I am not sold on iWatch or whatever they will call it.
I just don't know what to think anymore. The rumors are kind of all over the place.Based on what I have read so far, I have a feeling that the iWatch will look more like a traditional watch, being its primary goal to gather health data from the user. I don't expect it to have a large colorful display with a lot of functions in it, as it would primarily work as an accessory for the iPhone.
I work as a technology consultant for a company that develops both wearables and diagnostics products. Most companies that we work with in wearables are now investing in marrying wearables with diagnostics. The reason is that diagnostics are becoming mature technologies and cheaper and easier to integrate. Consumers now want to have more control over their fitness, which is exemplified by the success of Fitbit and others. Just like it is now common to monitor heart rate, it will be normal in the not too distant future to monitor a host of other metrics, including metrics that are medically relevant. We are at the start of a development where diagnostics will start to play an ever more prominent role in many people's lives.
One of the most important lesson that my corporate strategy professor taught me is to not focus on where the market is, but to look what developments are shaping the future market.
This is a very good example of Wayne Gretzky's quote "I skate to where the puck is going to be, not where it has been.". I think we all know who used that quote a few years ago.
You said that this is not going to be the next big thing. We need to define big in this regard. It might not be a product that will generate the same revenues as iPhone or iPad in the short term. However in terms of importance this will be the biggest product that will be introduced in the entire consumer electronics market since the iPad.
If they truly had a way to give non-invasive glucose readings, that'd be a big thing: Lots of people have an increased risk of developing diabetes due to lifestyle and/or family history. There's definitely a market for something that could conveniently and reliably(!) alert you to the early warning signs.
Then again, most people commenting on this seem to agree that there's currently no technology for measuring glucose levels in that way, so I'n not holding my breath for that one.
If it can measure blood glucose accurately, no more questions, I'm in.
Implanted devices that deliver insulin to diabetic patients making them seem diabetes free are now being tested. This will eliminate the need for any glucose monitoring device such as this. This concept is going to be leapfrogged fairly quickly.
FDA allows 20% error on glucose strips, which is a pretty wide margin. Too wide for comfort, but I doubt any glucose monitoring tech could be approved if they only allowed, say, a 5% margin of error. I don't think any of the non-invasive methods are anywhere near 20%, reliably.
Basically you have to give diabetics something, even at 20% error, or they'd be totally screwed. For those who take insulin, administering it without a glucose reading would be suicide, either because they take too much and suffer a potentially fatal case of hypoglycemia, or too little and start losing eyes and kidneys.
One thing we're waiting to see is what software Apple will make available to support this health/fitness effort. Diabetes software for OSX and IOS is generally rather terrible. Poorly designed, hard to use, not iOS/OSX transferable, and without important calculations like HbA1c.
You work in a tech sector that involves wearables. It's very easy to lose sight of the bigger picture when, as you mentioned, this could have a fairly substantial impact on your surroundings.
I think this will be a big product in the short term. It will sell millions in its first few months because customers love Apple. But it will not be a revolution. And it won't see the same level of success as the iPhone, iPad, or Mac in the long term if this is truly a health-focused device. It's possible that the iWatch will have more to offerafter all, Health was supposedly a big part of iOS 8 and it was only briefly mentioned in the keynotebut if it's just a sensor-filled bracelet that lets you answer phone calls, it's going to be a hard sell.
This does not work with health or fitness. If you want a lower glucose level, 30 punds less or a faster marathon time, you cannot simply purchase it on the iTunes store.
For many people the data about health or fitness on the watch will not be enjoyable at all.
If Apple is able to motivate more people to do something for health, great! But I doubt.
Shino Yamanaka of Kyoto University in Japan was a shoo-in for the 2012 Nobel Prize in Medicine. But in a surprising twist, he shared it with a researcher who did his award-winning work 50 years ago.
In 2007 Yamanaka discovered that all human cells have a set of genetic switches, four points on the genome, that can be tweaked to create pluripotent stem cells. These can create all other types of cells, potentially allowing a scientist to make skin grafts or whole organs out of a patients own cells, eliminating the risk of tissue rejection. Going into the 2012 Nobel week he was one of the favorites to take the medicine prize.
Yamanaka shares the Nobel Prize with John Gurdon for work Gurdon did at the University of Oxford. The British scientist first theorized in 1962 that cell specialization could be reversed, and that a mature cell of any kind, a skin cell, for example, was not doomed to die a skin cell. He replaced the nucleus of a frog egg cell with a nucleus from an adult frogs intestinal cell and found that a normal tadpole developed all the genetic information needed to form a whole animal was still contained in the specialized adult cell.
Successful reprogramming of differentiated human somatic cells into a pluripotent state would allow creation of patient- and disease-specific stem cells. We previously reported generation of induced pluripotent stem (iPS) cells, capable of germline transmission, from mouse somatic cells by transduction of four defined transcription factors. Here, we demonstrate the generation of iPS cells from adult human dermal fibroblasts with the same four factors: Oct3/4, Sox2, Klf4, and c-Myc. Human iPS cells were similar to human embryonic stem (ES) cells in morphology, proliferation, surface antigens, gene expression, epigenetic status of pluripotent cell-specific genes, and telomerase activity. Furthermore, these cells could differentiate into cell types of the three germ layers in vitro and in teratomas. These findings demonstrate that iPS cells can be generated from adult human fibroblasts.
How would the swear sensor work? What would it be looking for?
I just hope Cook is not trying to save humanity with this watch, because that is not what Apple is about. Solar panels are great, but digging into medical hardware?
You don't know what it looks like. What features it has. What capability it has. What the price is.This is my personal opinion but I am not sold on iWatch or whatever they will call it.
but if it's just an over-sized iPhone that doesn't even let you answer phone calls, it's going to be a hard sell.You work in a tech sector that involves wearables. It's very easy to lose sight of the bigger picture when, as you mentioned, this could have a fairly substantial impact on your surroundings.
I think this will be a big product in the short term. It will sell millions in its first few months because customers love Apple. But it will not be a revolution. And it won't see the same level of success as the iPhone, iPad, or Mac in the long term if this is truly a health-focused device. It's possible that the iWatch will have more to offerafter all, Health was supposedly a big part of iOS 8 and it was only briefly mentioned in the keynotebut if it's just a sensor-filled bracelet that lets you answer phone calls, it's going to be a hard sell.
Placing it in FDA approved "medical device land" is not as mysterious and scary as you try to make it seem. Apple has the staff to manage this. Additionally, its absolutely necessary in order to have it as a component of the dialog between patient and doctor that Apple and Mayoclinic are establishing with Health/Healthkit.Will never, ever happen as this article describes.
Sweat sensors? Possible.
Heart rate monitor? Probable.
Non invasive glucose monitoring? Nope.
Besides the fact that there isn't reliable tech out there yet (induced Raman is still quite messy, and isn't portable), such a move would firmly plant the iWatch in medical device land, which is a major bag of hurt. Every iteration would have to go through the FDA, and reliability and accuracy would become key factors for its approval. Not to mention this would open Apple to a whole new realm of litigation, and software updates would really, really suck.
iWatch will change the game for wearable device industry![]()
How would the swear sensor work? What would it be looking for?
My guess is the sweat sensor would be looking for salt concentration in order to assess hydration levels?