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If it's NOT a leading-edge ereader (therefore serving a different market from the main iPad); if it does NOT contain innovative screen technologies (like haptic feedback or so); and if it's NOT priced right between the iPod Touch and the normal iPad, IT WILL FLOP.

Noting the similarity to the predictions of the iPad's failure from so many quarters just a couple of years ago. It was "just a big iPod" and could not possibly succeed. Remember that one?

I know quite a few people who are anxious for a smaller form-factor iPad. It doesn't have to be ground-breaking, just smaller (and less expensive).
 
This is a totally different situation - back then, the iPod controlled a whole market, and the iPod Mini served a sizeable portion of that market with a clearly innovative product, the first compact iPod model, as well as the by-then-novel availability of brushed aluminum and several colors.

Again: Apple launched the iPod Mini as a daring concept in a market it already controlled. On the other hand, the rumored iPad Mini, if what pundits say is true, will just represent a dumbed-down, smaller iPad to serve as a RESPONSE to a market already dominated by Amazon and, to a lesser extent, Google.

Worse: it will canibalize normal iPad sales with a cheaper, weaker product and virtually ZERO innovation apart from its smaller size.

If it's NOT a leading-edge ereader (therefore serving a different market from the main iPad); if it does NOT contain innovative screen technologies (like haptic feedback or so); and if it's NOT priced right between the iPod Touch and the normal iPad, IT WILL FLOP.

I would answer you point by point if I had more time, since I think you're grossly exaggerating the difference between the two scenarios.

However, I think it may be more efficient and effective to simply repeat your last assertion, just so your (lack of) predictive skills are crystal clear when this product turns out to be an astonishing success (as the iPod mini was before it):

...IT WILL FLOP.
 
That would be nice but I would say... not a snowballs chance... not as long as the new iPod Touch starts at $299. I predict an entry price of $349.

iPod touch is a completely different product and has no bearing on the iPad Air's price.
 
I wish people would quit calling it iPad Air. That's such an unrealistic name. Just iPad or iPad Mini make much more sense.
 
I don't mean to be trollish here, so I apologize in advance, but is there really such a high demand for a mini iPad? I mean if you care about size get an iPhone, it's small. If you want to read books well on a beautiful screen, get a full sized iPad.

I just don't see this as being all that useful - with the exception of the business applications as previously mentioned. Are people really clammoring up for this?
 
If Apple could make the iPad Mini with a Retina display, but had to charge $459 for it, or give it a four hour battery life, they may as well not do it at all.

Did they make a retina iPod Touch and not have to charge $459 or give it a 4-hour battery life? Why does retina for a modestly larger screen have to come with a price almost as much as a full-sized iPad and/or significant battery tradeoffs compared to iPod touch or iPad?

I know we think it won't have retina so we want to start building up our "Apple is always right" rationale points for not including it, but, other than that, if a big focus of this thing is reading iBooks, I'd think retina might matter more here than in iPod Touch and iPhone.

Next year, Apple will release a new iPad Mini, and it will be measurably better than the first one. People will say "This is the iPad Mini Apple should have released in the first place." Those people will deserve our scorn.

Why do those people deserve our scorn? Do we work for Apple? Is there something in them seeking what they want that hurts us in some way? If next year's mini is the one that Apple "should've, could've" built this year, they should roll it out this year. That whole "holding back" concept is- IMO- dumb (from the "delighting consumers" point of view). There will always be "cool" and "magical" new things to build into a next generation. (note: of course, I understand the monetary rationale of the "holding back" issue, so I won't be negatively surprised when some important thing probably in all of the other iDevices is left out of this one).
 
iPod touch is a completely different product and has no bearing on the iPad Air's price.

I agree and disagree. If you want something small and handheld then you may be willing to pay a premium for the iPod (which I think is a little overpriced actually). But they are essentially the same product. Why pay more for the smaller version that runs phone apps instead of full-sized apps? Unless you want/need something pocketable. Bottom line, this is Apple we're talking about. There's no way they will price the iPad Mini under $300. Not in a million years. They will still slaughter the competition with a starting price of $349.
 
Again: Apple launched the iPod Mini as a daring concept in a market it already controlled. On the other hand, the rumored iPad Mini, if what pundits say is true, will just represent a dumbed-down, smaller iPad to serve as a RESPONSE to a market already dominated by Amazon and, to a lesser extent, Google.
I disagree, there were a gazillion MP3 players that were 256 / 512 MB in size and significantly smaller than the original iPod. Apple released the mini to cover this market gap; smaller and cheaper.
 
I don't mean to be trollish here, so I apologize in advance, but is there really such a high demand for a mini iPad? I mean if you care about size get an iPhone, it's small. If you want to read books well on a beautiful screen, get a full sized iPad.

I just don't see this as being all that useful - with the exception of the business applications as previously mentioned. Are people really clammoring up for this?

A 6-8in device is much easier to hold and read on. It's more the size of a paperback to a hardback novel, and will weigh considerably less. Yes, the full-sized iPad can be used for reading, but try reading for an extended period of time in bed with the iPad. I'd rather something smaller and lighter for that. Also think about kids playing games or using the iPad for whatever purpose.. a smaller iPad would be perfect for families. the iPhone is too small to use as an everyday novel reading device (for me, and for many others, although the iPhone 5's screen size increase likely helps a little in that regard.. I have an iPhone 4), iPad is great for reading pdf work docs but it is still heavy and unwieldy for novel reading, or even picking up really quick to do small tasks (again, for me. scoff if you like!).
 
There's no way they will price the iPad Mini under $300. Not in a million years. They will still slaughter the competition with a starting price of $349.

Why? Because the iPod Touch is priced at $299?

Again please note the prices of the even larger screen, 32GB and 64GB iPad with cellular vs. an unlocked 32GB and 64GB iPhone. The bigger screen with retina and cellular hardware costs less than the similarly-speced iPhone.

Don't use the iPod Touch pricing as the absolute floor. For some, iPod Touch's smaller size is a valuable plus. Some people want an iDevice that fits in a pocket but doesn't come with a couple of thousand dollars in additional costs via cellular tolls... just like some choose the iPhone over an iPad with cellular (even though the former costs more unlocked and much more with a plan factored in).

It's easy for me to imagine Apple aiming for a price under $300. Especially if the push is Apple's answer to book readers, there's a lot of interesting competition under $300... even well below $300. If I was betting, I'd bet at least one model at $249 and I might take a long-shot bet on one at $199. We'll see soon enough.
 
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8gig $229.99
16gig $329.99
32gig $429.99
64gig $529.99

C'mon! It can't be cheaper than the new Touch 4".
The Touch is 299 (32Gb) and 399 (64Gb). Whereas the old Touch is 199 (16 Gb)-249 (32 Gb).

My guesses for iPad Mini is that there will be 16-32-64 Gig versions, wifi only.
Priced at 399-499-599.
 
Every point on the screen will be 20% smaller anyway. So if you change the font size in an eBook to be the same as on your iPad 2, the quality will be 25% better. Retina display costs power, power needs bigger battery, and an iPad mini doesn't have any space for a bigger battery. Therefore, no chance of a Retina display.

Wouldn't an IZGO screen remedy a lot of that even with Retina quality, though?
 
I can't wait for the iPad Mini or whatever it shall be named.
I haven't had an iPad since the first one, selling it right before iPad 2 was released. Having a MacBook Air 11" and traveling either working or on my motorbike more than I'm home I just couldn't rationalize carrying both after having both.
For me the added portability is what makes it most attractive, I could care less about the price. Even a maxed out iPMini should cost less than an entry level iPad.


64GB, 4G/LTE, retina display in white please, charge me what you need Apple. :D
 
I'm sold If the price is $199-249.. Otherwise why not just get a Nexus 7..
 
Apple will sell millions of iPad mini's even without a Retina display.

I expect you're probably right, on all counts. That means I'll wait to the next revision before buying, if at all. If I am not their demographic, then so be it.
 
C'mon! It can't be cheaper than the new Touch 4".
The Touch is 299 (32Gb) and 399 (64Gb). Whereas the old Touch is 199 (16 Gb)-249 (32 Gb).

My guesses for iPad Mini is that there will be 16-32-64 Gig versions, wifi only.
Priced at 399-499-599.

By your same argument why would they sell a "smaller" iPad for the same price as an iPad 2???

As many have said, I don't think you can base the price of the iPad mini based on other products that Apple sells. I think the price will be based on the Market they're attempting to gain !
 
Yeah I can't see the 8GB working. With most Apps now containing Retina graphics, which have ballooned the average size of an App, 8GB just isn't gonna cut it. I believe the minimum is going to be 16GB. My bet on spec is

A5X
1GB RAM (although I could squint my eyes and see it being 512MB)

16Gb - $250
32GB - $299
64GB - $350

I sure hope those prices are right... I think if they can roll with those prices this thing is going to fly off shelves!

If the iPod Touch can have a retina display screen so can the iPad Mini.

There isn't going to be a retina display on this model, because of cost to build vs retail pricing. They can do anything they want, but retina isn't going to happen, though with the smaller screen and specs it will be very close to retina.

They can price these iPad's a bit lower than the iPod Touch because of the retina display.. which cost them more.

I'm sold If the price is $199-249.. Otherwise why not just get a Nexus 7..

I have a Nexus 7 and I have it up for sale, been there and done that... It feels like its a void because everything else I own is connected to Apple's ecosystem and the Nexus 7 is the red headed step child of all my toys. I want an iPad Mini that will be part of the ecosystem.
 
LOL if the starting price is $399 and what you get is basically a smaller iPad 2 you can write FAIL all over it. This has nothing to do with the iPod touch so why are people comparing the two? Just because its bigger doesn't mean it has to be more expensive.
 
iPad mini = The beginning of another John Sculley era ?

Wow, you can't be serious.
Everybody that wants an eReader will probably buy an iPad Mini.
My father, a pilot, said the iPhone is too small for his apps and the iPad is too big for the cockpit. The Mini would be the perfect tool.
That's only 2 examples. It's going to be successful. You guys fail to see the amplitude of users.
 
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