And yet grocery stores have been doing this for 70 years. Odd that food prices haven't collapsed.
Or maybe your crackpot theory is just wrong. Amazon selling ~40 books slightly below cost (that's all it is) is not going to lead to the collapse of the book industry. It's amazing to me that so many people have no problem with clearly illegal collusion between publishers that almost immediately led to price increases of $2-$5 on bestsellers...but believe it's the end of the world if Amazon sells a bestseller for $1 below cost.
When books are selling for $2 a pop (and combined with the general decline in reading interest), you'll all be complaining that all the books that are coming out at pulp trash, and you'll have nobody but yourself to blame as the sustainability of the author job will have bottomed out.[/QUOTE]
The is complete nonsense. You can already buy books at $2 a pop...90% of which are pulp trash. But this hasn't stopped the vast majority of people from happily paying much more for professionally edited books from major publishers.
The effect of the proposed settlement will be to *increase* the attractiveness of the professionally edited books because it will decrease the price differential between the self published book and the professionally published book.
I.e., in situation A, the consumer can buy an indie book for $2 or a publisher book for $15. In situation B, the consumer can buy an indie book for $2 or a publisher book for $10. Obviously, more consumers are going to buy publisher books for $10, which is better for the authors, since they are paid the same amount regardless of whether the book retails at $10 or at $15.
Likewise, the publishers get the same wholesale price from the retailer, regardless of whether the retailer sells above his cost or below it.[/QUOTE]
The grocery industry is not a great comparison mostly because no single chain has a great majority of the market force, nor do they consistently use a single industry to benefit the rest of the goods. For instance, were Giant to always use oranges as their loss leader, do you not think the perception of orange pricing would be devalued? If oranges are always at $0.05 each at Giant, people will eventually come to expect oranges to cost that much and blame other chains for jacking up prices. This could very well lead to other chains either stopping the sale of oranges or of the grocery industry as a whole demanding cheaper oranges from producers, which leads to crappier oranges for the consumers.
Additionally, perhaps you haven't heard, but a lot of people complain about the quality of cheap, devalued grocery foods, saying they aren't as tasty or healthy as they used to be. This decrease in quality eventually lead to a new market niche developing, and now people spend more money on supposedly better "organic" etc type foods. None of these are as good as direct from farmer goods, but that's also a necessary evil of a nationwide (or even global) distribution of fresh foods. Now we pay more for the same quality we used to have before competition drove down the prices in the name of homogenization (see the apple industry, and how a few high demand varieties like golden delicious have almost crushed other types and put the entire industry at risk should some form of disease develop). It is certainly arguable that we aren't better off paying less for less and paying more for the same, but as I stated, it's not a great comparison.
Back to Amazon, they are selling all books at a loss because they make more money on A) Kindle sales and B)locking in customers to their sales ecosystem. Consistently riding a single industry to your own benefit will inevitably detriment that industry in the long run. Now whether Amazon is doing this only looking for short term cash gains or more nefariously doing this also looking at long term taking-over-the-publishing-industry gains, it's not debatable that Amazon is using its market power for gain at someone else's expense.
People can talk all they want about how authors should self-publish, but that strategy is currently only articulated in an environment that co-exists with the publishers. In a world without publishers, all books get equal exposure and the ability to sift through crap is required. Someone will undoubtedly come in to fill that void, but it will not be for free. The inability of great authors to be selected from the multitudes by publishers (say what you want about publishers' selection process, but they do pick gems like David Foster Wallace) will certainly make it harder for these great authors to find an audience and thus continue writing, whereas there will be tons of idiot authors who will waste no time churning out crappy books, happy to sell it cheap. And that's where my worry comes from: not the inevitability, but what I see as the strong possibility of tons of cheap, crappy books.
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In any event, I'd say that Sturgeon's Law applies whether the publishers are the gates-keepers or not. With the opening of the independent self-publishing world to just about anyone, the universe of crap just got larger. I suspect the proportions of worthy material to crap within that universe probably hasn't changed a great deal.
I'd argue that the proportion of crappy material produced might not change, the proportion of crappy material that the general populace is exposed to is vastly increased. It used to be that crappy books would die at a publishing house desk, passed on by some A&R (or whatever this is called in the publishing industry) who realized that it truly stunk. Now, crappy authors can turn to self-publishing to extol the virtues of their book, exposing it's crappiness to the masses.
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I'll also add that I'm not in favor of much of what the publishers do as well, but they aren't necessarily a bigger evil than Amazon. If only the publishers wouldn't skim so much profit from the sales channels and gave more to the authors, they'd definitely be the best option, but that's all hearts and rainbows thinking.