there're several smartphones selling as well as iphone, some even better. eg, research in motion sold twice as many smartphones during holiday season as apple. outside the us (and to certain extend the uk), iphone hasn't really been all that successful. lots of talk yes, but mediocre or slow sales. apple really needs to deliver something special with the next model, otherwise they are going to loose momentum. tweaking looks a bit, adding 3.2mpix cam and increasing memory won't be sufficient.
I would certainly call the iPhone successful. You have to consider a number of factors when analysing if it's successful from a business point of view:
- Apple has only been in the market for two years. Many volume customers have significant inertia and don't switch unless the platform has been established for some time.
- Apple has one model at one price point. Other manufacturers have several. This is related to the point above. As Apple spends more time in the market, they'll release more product lines to appeal to more people at more price points.
- Regardless of the amount of sales, Apple's sales have been increasing dramatically. They have upwards momentum, which from a business perspective, is crucially important.
- Apple have removed many of the competitive advantages of their rivals. WinMo's software superiority, built up over about a decade, has vanished in one year, and the iPhone is now
the mobile platform to develop for. Developers are making lots of money from the AppStore, which is going to attract more people to the platform. Again, upwards momentum.
I would love to agree with you by the truth is, I work fir a high end tech firm, mostly mac and while some of us have iPhone's, we all have sprint htc or touch. What hasn't happened and is about to happen is smart phones with features that apple doesn't have and if they do with 3.0, it's due to all the newer smart phones coming out. Heck even apple stores use windows mobile for ez pay but the point is, mobile 6.5 looks a lot like iPhone and this is from msft. There are many news smart phones coming, everyone will have an app store with many developers that were shut out fromApple going to android.
WinMo 6.5 may look like the iPhone's OS, but it isn't nearly as good as the iPhone's OS. It doesn't work as well, not all the software uses the touch interface, it only supports resistive touch and 65K colours...etc. It may have a new look, but to paraphrase Bertrand Serlet, it's still WinMo. Oh, and as I mentioned above, 3rd party software, which used to be the big advantage of WinMo, has now disappeared. The iPhone has more apps, more developer support, and a better store. Also, all apps on the iPhone were built to take maximum advantage of the large touch screen. The iPod touch has the same OS, meaning that apps developed for the iPhone are accessible from 30 million devices. That's impressive even if you compare it to WinMo's established market share.
Oh, and everyone's running away from WinMo. Palm, Sony Ericsson, LG, Samsung, HTC...etc are all moving away from the WinMo-exclusive business models they used to have. Instead, they're adopting OSes such as Symbian or Android (or for Palm, WebOS). WinMo is haemorrhaging manufacturing partners.
Sure the iPhone is king but the smart phone, android, palm, msft os are in it's infancy and we know from apples business model, they fear flash, Voip, video conferencing and mlions hate AT&T. It will take I or two good smart phones and open source app development too damage apple and that's bad for apple, not to mention DRM and iTunes, plus songs going to $1.29, as apples bread and butter is consumer phones and iPods. Even I think msft new mobile os looks good and can only imagine what palm will be like. You have millions of iPhone users with 2 year contracts about to expire.
Search the net, everyone is developing app stores, phones are geting better, the browsing, more refined, you can't use old last years models and apple will only open up so much wheras other providers will go for video conference, streaming TV ( apple won't do , apple tv), flash=hulu, voip, non AT&T, this ISA really big year for non iPhone developers
Actually, you got that the wrong way around. Apple is the new kid.
Also, whilst your argument might make sense to somebody focussed on technical details, it doesn't happen like that in reality. iTunes was outselling Amazon even though Amazon was DRM free. Phones have had features like copy and paste for ages, but that didn't stop the iPhone's explosive growth.
Lots of those competitors I mentioned were technically 'better' than the iPhone when they were released. The people who buy the devices obviously don't care. They feel that the iPhone offers them more.