Fact: if one uses logistic regression to predict O-ring damage as a function of air temperature at time of the Challenger launch, using historical data available to the managers then, there was a 99.96% chance of O-ring damage (the odds were >2500:1 of there being damage). Of course O-ring damage had been observed on previous launches without catastrophic failure, but still the mismanagement was monumental. The hubris of the managerial class never ceases to amaze me.After almost 30 years in the computer industry, I went back to school and did an EMBA in the early 2000s. The Challenger disaster was indeed a case study, vividly backed with video of interviews of people involved in the decision to launch. There were several lessons to take away about creating organizations in which information flows and decisions are based on real information and not wishful thinking and desires.
The story coming out of Sonos sounds like a replay.