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Sorry scaplers, but this won't be your year for iPad's

J

jp700p

macrumors 6502
Original poster
Jun 28, 2010
252
40
We are now into the 2nd day, and Apple.com still shows all models with launch day delivery.

I tried to place a mock order (Didn't click confirm) and the website operated smooth and fast.

Apple obviously made plenty of iPads to go around this year and/or the demand for iPad 3 is lower.
 
Last edited:
jp700p said:
We are now into the 2nd day, and Apple.com still shows all models with launch day delivery. I did see the AT&T models ship on the 19th, but they are now back at the 16th. But i'm guessing it was either inventory error, or the scalpers were cancelling their orders.

I tried to place a mock order (Didn't click confirm) and the website operated smooth and fast.

Apple obviously made plenty of iPads to go around this year.
Click to expand...

Site still says White 16gb and 64gb At&T models are to ship on the 19th. At the moment, we don't know why there are still plenty of ipads available. Very well could be the demand is not there.
 
jbrady3324 said:
Site still says White 16gb and 64gb At&T models are to ship on the 19th. At the moment, we don't know why there are still plenty of ipads available. Very well could be the demand is not there.
Click to expand...

Ah, my browser (Firefox) still shows 16th, probably because I didn't clear the cache.
 
I think the biggest telltale sign that resellers will barely break even is the fact that they are launching the new iPad worldwide in a week's span. No shortage this year.
 
It's the first day after the announcement. You realize there's still 8 days to go before launch and it could very well sell out before then right? And out come the lines/scalpers when the only way to get one launch day is to line up.
 
vincenz said:
It's the first day after the announcement. You realize there's still 8 days to go before launch and it could very well sell out before then right? And out come the lines/scalpers when the only way to get one launch day is to line up.
Click to expand...

Yup, once dates start getting pushed back, people start panicking and stop waiting to put in their orders.
 
jbrady3324 said:
At the moment, we don't know why there are still plenty of ipads available. Very well could be the demand is not there.
Click to expand...

Demand is there. It took the Apple site a few hours to get it's sea legs back yesterday when the event was over due to everyone trying to preorder at the same time.

Apple is launching in the U.S. and multiple other countries this year simultaneous. That is a first. Then another launch round the following week so it seems clear to me they built enough to survive at least a few days online + launch day everywhere.
 
jp700p said:
Ah, my browser (Firefox) still shows 16th, probably because I didn't clear the cache.
Click to expand...

Given the lack hardware enhancements and design changes to the New iPad, Apple probably began building the new ipads many months ago. And most of the parts being used are already on hand for apple as they are shared with other devices. My gut says this is a combination of lower demand and apple being prepared this time around (no overseas part shortages either to deal with).
 
jp700p said:
We are now into the 2nd day, and Apple.com still shows all models with launch day delivery.

I tried to place a mock order (Didn't click confirm) and the website operated smooth and fast.

Apple obviously made plenty of iPads to go around this year and/or the demand for iPad 3 is lower.
Click to expand...

Actually, we arent even passed the first day yet. iPad has been on sale for around 18 hours in the US, and 16 hours in the UK/Europe.

End of thread.
 
It'll be interesting to see. You might be right, you might be a bit premature.

You can't really draw a parallel between last year and this year.

Preorders haven't sold out yet - but we're less than 24 hours post-announcement instead of eight days post-announcement. The mass media hasn't really run with it yet, and I expect there's not as much general knowledge of the release yet.

jp700p - why don't you come back to this thread on Thursday afternoon next week and let's see what the expected delivery times are for all models. Then we'll have a sense of what to expect.
 
I think the Japan Tsunami last year played a role in shortages for Ipad 2. It was launched at the same time that the Tsunami hit
 
I cancelled my 2nd order. To break even on say the 32GB 4G, you have to sell at $100 above list price JUST to break even on eBay. (and that is with a low 5.1% tax rate) And then if other sellers offer free shipping, that adds even more to the break even point.
 
i see no hurt in trying to buy extra and resell for a small profit ($75 so one doesn't have to stand in line?)...you can easily return to apple on the 14th day without any risk...
 
Less than 24 hours

It's less than 24 hours and delivery times are slipping already. This thing is a MUST upgrade for people who love their iPads and convincing some of us to dive in for the first time.

That said, is it worth it to sell at a premium if we already ordered just to rebuy one-two months later (and therefore get a $200-$300 'discount')
 
jp700p said:
We are now into the 2nd day, and Apple.com still shows all models with launch day delivery.

I tried to place a mock order (Didn't click confirm) and the website operated smooth and fast.

Apple obviously made plenty of iPads to go around this year and/or the demand for iPad 3 is lower.
Click to expand...

The ship dates are already starting to slip. Obviously they planned better than last time. But I predict that shortly after launch day, new iPads will be rarer than hen's teeth.
 
China

china has a very high demand and they are not being released there anytime soon. There will be scalpers and long lines at the Apple store come launch day lol as usual.
 
jp700p said:
We are now into the 2nd day, and Apple.com still shows all models with launch day delivery.

I tried to place a mock order (Didn't click confirm) and the website operated smooth and fast.

Apple obviously made plenty of iPads to go around this year and/or the demand for iPad 3 is lower.
Click to expand...

People always wait till the last minute. Maybe it's different this time, but I'm betting scalpers will still make money.
 
Even if they had made a ton more it really doesn't matter much since in about two years they sold 55 million ipads and are expected to sell 55 million in ones years time from now and must have stock for all the other countries that they are releasing it to a on launch day and then a couple days later.
 
Sirmausalot said:
It's less than 24 hours and delivery times are slipping already. This thing is a MUST upgrade for people who love their iPads and convincing some of us to dive in for the first time.

That said, is it worth it to sell at a premium if we already ordered just to rebuy one-two months later (and therefore get a $200-$300 'discount')
Click to expand...

24 hours? On 2 models? The iPad 2 delivery times slipped within a few hours in the middle of the night.
 
jbrady3324 said:
Given the lack hardware enhancements and design changes to the New iPad, Apple probably began building the new ipads many months ago. And most of the parts being used are already on hand for apple as they are shared with other devices. My gut says this is a combination of lower demand and apple being prepared this time around (no overseas part shortages either to deal with).
Click to expand...

I don't think that's true considering
+ new screen with yield issue rumors
+ new design
+ new camera
+ new batteries
 
jreuschl said:
24 hours? On 2 models? The iPad 2 delivery times slipped within a few hours in the middle of the night.
Click to expand...

You forgot: last time orders didn't start until eight and a half days after it was announced, so there potentially was pent up demand that didn't exist for the current preorder.

Let's see where we stand this time next week.
 
I sold my iPad 1st Gen 16GB WiFi for $300 a few weeks ago and plan to pick up a similar iPad 2 on craigslist for my young son. People are CL are asking ridiculous prices for iPad 2's right now. I assumed the price would plummet. Maybe after launch day?
 
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