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Survey: 35% of U.S. Consumers Planning to Purchase Next-Generation iPhone
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Do you have a source for how this survey was conducted? Something doesn't seem quite right. Do you really think more than 107 million Americans are going to buy the iPhone 5 when total worldwide sales of all iPhones to this point are 129 million?http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:IPhone_sales_per_quarter_simple.svg
Hang on. 35% of Americans?
Only 35% of Americans with cell phones have a smart phone to begin with.
That just doesn't pass the smell test.
First off, ~85% of american Adults have a cell phone right now.
That would mean that more than 40% of those are planning on getting an iPhone 5?!
Right now 25% of smart phones in use are iPhones. That means right now less than 9% of Americans with a cell phone have some form of iPhone.
A huge number, but even if iPhone use among smartphone users doubled, AND smartphone use in general doubled, you still wouldn't get to 35% of Americans using an iPhone, and that assumes that EVERYONE with any previous iPhone would replace it with an iPhone 5.
I know a lot of people with iPhones, but a lot of those are still 3GS models, or even 3G models. One guy in my office still has his original iPhone that he bought on day 1. He is going to get an iPhone4 when the 5 comes out.
That 35% number is just not adding up.
Only 35% of Americans with cell phones have a smart phone to begin with.
That just doesn't pass the smell test.
First off, ~85% of american Adults have a cell phone right now.
That would mean that more than 40% of those are planning on getting an iPhone 5?!
Right now 25% of smart phones in use are iPhones. That means right now less than 9% of Americans with a cell phone have some form of iPhone.
A huge number, but even if iPhone use among smartphone users doubled, AND smartphone use in general doubled, you still wouldn't get to 35% of Americans using an iPhone, and that assumes that EVERYONE with any previous iPhone would replace it with an iPhone 5.
I know a lot of people with iPhones, but a lot of those are still 3GS models, or even 3G models. One guy in my office still has his original iPhone that he bought on day 1. He is going to get an iPhone4 when the 5 comes out.
That 35% number is just not adding up.
Drunken Master
macrumors 65816
It's probably smart to let others get the 5 and see if there are any gripes with it. I have a 3GS and am personally skipping the 4 in favor of either the 5 or 6 when they fix some of the 4's issues that made it "fall out of favor" with the head honchos at Apple.
I'm kind of hoping they bring back a rounded back instead of the rectangular feel of the 4.
MH01
Suspended
Pointless
These surveys are a waste of time.
Its a well know fact that "Apple consumers" accept to purchase a product that they know nothing about, no matter how slight the upgrade they must have it as soon as it is released. I would actually agree that 30-40% of Apple fanboys will buy whatever is released, within a few days of the product being made available - though they do not need it as an upgrade from iPhone 4.
They need to run a survey for people who do not own a current smartphone to get some realistic results. Cause that gets more realistic especially when people consider features v price.
These surveys are a waste of time.
Its a well know fact that "Apple consumers" accept to purchase a product that they know nothing about, no matter how slight the upgrade they must have it as soon as it is released. I would actually agree that 30-40% of Apple fanboys will buy whatever is released, within a few days of the product being made available - though they do not need it as an upgrade from iPhone 4.
They need to run a survey for people who do not own a current smartphone to get some realistic results. Cause that gets more realistic especially when people consider features v price.
What phone gets better battery life and takes better pics from around the same release date as ip4? Not many. I am looking forward to iOS 5 and the current phone looks sexy, but they can and will do better with the next one. I just hope they fix the antenna and remove shatter from my vocabulary.
thelonelylimo
macrumors 6502
Juan007
macrumors 6502a
It's not a waste of time and it's not a survey of people who own smartphones. It's a fair unbiased sample of people who are buying stuff online. Now you may argue that people who buy stuff online aren't a fair sample... fine. But you're flat out lying if you claim that only smartphone owners were surveyed.
Apple could sell 100 million units in the US next year. There is a general perception among everyone you talk to from tech geeks to grandma in rural Kentucky that iPhone is the best phone on the market.
so a percentage of smartphone users who make up a percentage of mobile phone users participated in a survey which concluded a percentage of those participants will be buying the next iPhone...?
Shocker.
Shocker.
AppleScruff1
macrumors G4
I can't understand why this figure isn't higher. You would think that it would be closer to 90% or so.
MonkeySee....
macrumors 68040
Wirelessly posted (Mozilla/5.0 (iPod; U; CPU iPhone OS 4_3_4 like Mac OS X; en-us) AppleWebKit/533.17.9 (KHTML, like Gecko) Version/5.0.2 Mobile/8K2 Safari/6533.18.5)
First id like to point out that there isnt a contradiction between people thinking 4g should be in the next phone and a large percentage already believing they have 4g. If you think you currently have 4g why would you not think its necessary for the next iphone?
Also when did hspa+ go from a wish list item to being "expected" on the ip5?
First id like to point out that there isnt a contradiction between people thinking 4g should be in the next phone and a large percentage already believing they have 4g. If you think you currently have 4g why would you not think its necessary for the next iphone?
Also when did hspa+ go from a wish list item to being "expected" on the ip5?
*LTD*
macrumors G4
It's all in the trends. They point to trends. Trends that have a good chance of becoming the established norm. Surveys are invaluable if conducted correctly.
Is it?
It's also a well-known fact that the average MR member has little to no understanding of consumers and market realities.
Over 200 million iOS users, not counting Mac users. Both set to grow at an incredible rate over the next few years. That's a helluva lot of "fanboys." Have you even seen Apple's recent numbers? Staggering.
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Will wait in line at nearest Apple Store and buy it. 3GS wants upgrading. Gnashed teeth when it was shown new would not come out in June.
Lloooooong wait!
Lloooooong wait!
Why? Our leaders just raise the limit we can borrow, pushing us further in to debt (let the next generation deal with the problem). Problem solved!
Schizoid
macrumors 65816
I love statistics
...35% of people who are either less than 40% satisfied with their current smartphone or over 50% satisfied, are considering upgrading within the next few months.
Of the 50% that are satisfied, 25% said they planned to upgrade if the tariffs were reduced by at least 10% or their service was improved by 15%...
Can I get a job as an 'analyst' now...
...35% of people who are either less than 40% satisfied with their current smartphone or over 50% satisfied, are considering upgrading within the next few months.
Of the 50% that are satisfied, 25% said they planned to upgrade if the tariffs were reduced by at least 10% or their service was improved by 15%...
Can I get a job as an 'analyst' now...
The people that said they would buy it the first week are counted also in the 'would buy before the end of the year' option. Each option that is further out includes the timelines before it.
How many carriers around the world are using LTE right now? A few at best. How widespread is LTE in the US... It's in a few cities on Verizion.