Penalties are part of that game. So are corner kicks luck as well? Or free kicks in dangerous areas?
I'm curious, where do you draw the line between skill and luck?
Well, I don't think I've ever seen a team win on either skill or luck alone.
Take Pavard's incredible volley against Argentina. It takes a lot of skill to strike a ball like that, and Pavard is obviously a very skillful player - it is clear that he
meant to do what he was doing. On the other hand, if you could build a machine that could repeatedly serve Pavard that same ball, how many times would he manage
that sweet of a shot??? There are elements of both luck and skill in that moment.
When a player takes any action during a match - dribbling, making a pass, taking up a certain position, anticipating an opponent's move, even taking a dive - it is the result of a rapid series of choices based on a combination of conscious thought and instinct, both of which are seasoned by experience. They never do it exactly the same way either. Football can be a game of seconds, or inches, and those tiny variations can make a big difference in outcomes. This is most obvious at the elite level, where all the players are skilled, and therefore the difference in skill between players is pretty small. The margin of victory is generally making the right choices, and maybe getting a tiny little boost from good fortune on top of that. Pavard meant to strike that volley, but in this case he happened to strike the ball
perfectly - something even elite-evel footballers can't do every time.
There is also the question of
exploiting luck to its full potential - if you are skillful, you are better placed to capitalize on a piece of good fortune (a lucky bounce, a loose ball, an opponent out of position).
What I am building up to here is to say that the answer to this debate over luck versus is....yes, it's both. Skill alone won't take you to a World Cup final, but skill reduces your reliance on luck for success. Penalty kicks level the playing field somewhat compared with open play, increasing the influence of chance perhaps, but there is still a tremendous amount of skill involved - especially at the World Cup level. There is no doubt in my mind that skill, experience, and planning can make all the difference in a penalty shootout.