As someone who consciously doesn't use my phone to fill idle time, all I expect out of the Watch is a more convenient interface. I think it's naive to expect people who are troubled by idleness to stop screen sucking just because they have another interface. Hopefully I'm wrong.
I agree. I think most people are being disingenuous with their use estimates. The fact is, if they weren't using their phone that much before, they won't be using it any differently with the watch, other than checking it less for notifications. And let's face it, that seems to be the sole way people are reportedly using the Watch in this thread. How else is the watch allowing people to use their iPhone less?
Anyone who engages in regular private texting conversations will not likely want to do it on the watch. Anybody who is absorbed by social media, will still be whether they are reading constant updates on the phone or the watch. Honestly what is the difference if someone is engaged in the tiny screen on their wrist, whether texting, (which arguably will take longer, and be more difficult and/or conspicuous to do) or reading news stories, e-mails, Facebook updates, tweets, etc., versus doing it on their iPhone already?
It's hard to imagine people using their phones to view the latest cat videos on YouTube, or catching up on a novel on iBooks while eating lunch, are going to stop doing that on their iPhones just because they may have the ability to do it on their watches.
I'm with you. The only people I see the watch benefitting from not having to take their iPhones out of their pockets all the time, are those who have notifications turned on for everything from phone calls, to e-mails, and texts, to stock alerts, and news updates, who truly aren't interested in 90% of those notifications. Right now, my personal use of notifications with e-mail alone, requires me to respond to those e-mails 80% of the time for work, and that requires me to pull out my iPhone to easily respond to what are often complicated replies. I do respond to 90% of every text I receive, and its far easier and more private to do it on my iPhone, since they usually aren't one or two word replies, but relaying specific details. I do receive news updates from NPR, because they seem to know only what I think are truly important updates, but considering the frequency with which I am using my phone, I tend to see them within an hour of when they were sent, so unless it's about some impending threat to my personal safety, being notified the moment they are sent is not really necessary. Glancing at the weather, time and date is certainly more convenient on the watch. But I find that having to initiate an inquiry about anything else not immediately available on the home screen would be just as easily served by pulling out my phone, in which case I can also get more detailed information far more easily, if I want it.