Only a few days left -- time to place your final wagers.
Here's mine. Patsy does not get found by Phil's guys, he calls them. A small plot element at the beginning of a season a few years ago had Tony bumping off Patsy's brother. Tony denied it of course, but Patsy probably never completely believed him. His loyalty has been an issue ever since. Patsy knows where Tony is holed up, information he's willing to exchange for his life.
Tony is now without his most loyal captains. He's down to a handful of lower-level guys, and the unreliable Paulie. Tony knows he can't win, but he can still take Phil down with him, by calling his friend at the FBI, the one who warned him about what was coming down. In fact the FBI may in some ways be behind all of this. They've always been portrayed as a sort of alternative mob.
As for Paulie, I think he dies, at Tony's hand. He's had it coming for a long time.