Universities is one angle to see what computer languages would survive or not. However, they've taught a lot of languages, as their main, that quickly cease to be used everywhere. They used to all teach uniformly, the C programming language. However, even graduating from that, you'd be hard pressed to find much employment that actually used C programming save a select few fields. C++ as well. It took until they eventually migrated to Java before they had one that stuck for a number of programming fields. Problem is, a good number of people had their entire college program done during the C days before Java was even introduced to the curriculum. Oh well.
Still, I see flash sticking around for a while, but HTML5 will continue to grow. Easy authoring tools are the biggest advantage flash has, right now. Remember, it's not the love of Flash that got its fame, it's really the authoring tools. If Flash didn't have a suite that is *programming for dummies*, it wouldn't have gotten such support in the first place.
Still, I see flash sticking around for a while, but HTML5 will continue to grow. Easy authoring tools are the biggest advantage flash has, right now. Remember, it's not the love of Flash that got its fame, it's really the authoring tools. If Flash didn't have a suite that is *programming for dummies*, it wouldn't have gotten such support in the first place.