Today is a good day for laughing at all the Sony haters.
Today HD DVD has fallen. Next year it will be the turn of the Xbox 360.
Can I ask a question here that's been bugging me for some time? Why, in the name of $Deity, do people get so fanatical about a frickin' MEDIA FORMAT!?!
Okay, I can kinda get the whole Apple/Microsoft thing that some people indulge in (even if it does seem stupid and pointless, but I digress) but the topic of which shiny silver discs will be triumphant has generated more wasted pixels than Britney Spears latest trauma. And the really weird thing is, in my opinion of course, those people celebrating the death of HD-DVD don't actually have a finished product to buy yet.
Oh sure, you can get a PS3 which will be firmware upgradeable to profile 2 when it finally gets released but unless you've got an amp that takes HDMI input forget about getting true HD sound out of the thing. All of the standalone players not only cost a pretty big chunk of dosh but you're going to be stuck with a profile 1.1 or even 1.0 machine so you won't get the full benefit out of discs in less than a years time. And, of course, media prices are currently... what's the word... oh yes, INSANE!
Granted I'm looking at this from a UK perspective which means we get bent over the desk and screwed on a regular basis anyway but as a price comparison here a new release on DVD tends to be around £10 - £12 in the high street on week of release. The same blu-ray or HD-DVD film goes for £20 - £30! And for what, a jump in picture quality and maybe an exclusive extra or two? Without the market pressure of a rival format I don't see that price dropping much for a while either.
Let's be honest here, the 'war' being over is a good thing for the consumer in that there's no need to choose a format and hope movies you want to see are released for that format but that's where the good news ends. Cost of entry just trippled from £100 to £300 (ED-30 HD-DVD to PS3), stand-alone players that are worth buying won't be here until late in the year at best, any future profile updates are still likely to screw you unless the standard is changed to insist on upgradable players and media costs are through the roof, up the chimney and reaching for the stars. The better outcome would have been for all studios to go multi-platform but oh well, such is life I suppose.
And as for assuming that Blu-Ray will be the standard HD media format for years to come, I wouldn't be so sure. That price point of £300 is important because it brings a player in at almost exactly the same cost as a HD satellite box and a years HD subscription. In a worst-case scenario it'll cost £20 to subscribe to the movie package which give you 2 HD channels currently and possibly three in the near future. No, it's not quite the same picture quality as Blu-Ray can offer but for most it'll be more than good enough. Yes, Blu-Ray will get cheaper as time goes on but the number of ways of getting HD content are increasing all the time. Apple TV is one example but it seems everyone and their dog are trying out video on-demand services right now. And remember that the VAST majority of users either a) don't have a 1080p set anyway or b) have a 1080p set but sit far enough away for the screen size that any extra detail is lost. To get the full benefit of 1080p from a normal viewing distance in the typical living room (say,what, 10 feet?) you'd need to be looking at a 70 inch screen at the least. To even start to notice the benefit you'd need a 50 inch screen.
One other thing, have a serious think about what got the majority of people to switch to DVD. Yes, picture and sound improvements were a big plus but what was the one thing all of your non-techie friends latched on to the first time they used it? In my case, and I suspect many others, it was the fact you didn't have to mess about with rewinding tapes and could jump instantly to a scene. A small thing but a major jump forward in useability. HD media doesn't really offer that (no, an in-movie menu bar doesn't count) but on-line distribution does. The great unwashed may well decide that having instant access to 720p versions of thousands of movies (preferably for a flat rate subscription fee but that's a different topic) is better than having to either buy or physically rent the same movie with slightly better picture and sound quality.
Sorry for the rant, guess I just had to get that out of my system.