I suspect that iTunes downloads will tank as soon as Apple Music launches. By tank I mean a sudden drop off of sales by 20%, maybe more. Also other services, like Spotify which is paying them per stream of music will probably see their traffic drop dramatically. Let's say Spotify also see's 20% less usage during this trial period (many iOS users will load Apple Music and try it out for at least a few weeks, maybe switch over permanently or at least until trial period ends). It seems that some of the indie labels are so cash flow constrained that they can't afford to lose that revenue for three months even if there will be streaming revenue coming (which will probably take another month or two for Apple to collect and distribute). They can opt out of Apple Music and their content won't be on it. But their customers will be listening to Apple Music and decreasing their purchase of songs on iTunes and their use of Spotify, Pandora, etc.
Until the revenue from Apple Music kicks in (and it will as the terms are just as good as the other services), this is going to be a huge issue to bridge. I guess the Indies don't have the capital to make it through the Summer.
Until the revenue from Apple Music kicks in (and it will as the terms are just as good as the other services), this is going to be a huge issue to bridge. I guess the Indies don't have the capital to make it through the Summer.