Well just to let you know I have an enterprise account with AT&T since 2007 have never paid over $100 a month for service and have been early upgraded every year when the new iPhone comes out. You seem pretty sure about your self in the above post do you work for AT&T or is that post just what you think is going to happen.
No I am talking about two different things.
1. You used to be able to get a 12 month upgrade if your primary line was $99 (voice/data excludes texting and excludes secondary lines). You could have gotten whatever phone you wanted every 12 months Ina 24 month contract.
2. AT&T made special exceptions from 2008-2010 on iPhones for upgrades.
A. 2008 (anyone with current iPhone 2007 was eligible for an upgrade at full subside price $199). I had just upgrade to an HTC windows phone in May 2008 full subsidize price. I put sim and reactivated iPhone 2007 in June. Bam I got another upgrade in July 2008 for the iPhone 3G $199/299 price.
B. 2009. For the 3GS AT&T moved up your eligibility date by up to 3 months. So those who would have been eligible in September 2009 got to upgrade in June 2009 for the 3GS
C. 2010. Because AT&T knew their exclusive contract with Apple was ending in the USA they made anyone who would have been eligible up until Dec 31st 2010. Those people got their upgrades moved all the way up to June 2010 so AT&T could lock you into another 2 year contract.
I have been with AT&T (Cingular) for almost 8 years. I know all the ins and outs of almost everything they have to offer.
I post a lot over on Howard forums the past 7 years so have also learned a lot of those guys/gals.
FYI. In the spring 2011 AT&T changed their 12 month upgrade policy. They are not giving people 12 month upgrades any more (again this 12 month upgrade is a totally different exclusive different unwritten policy with the iPhone). Now you have to wait 18-21 months.
The reason people don't know about this chance is because most people on the 12 month upgrade cycle were waiting for what Apple had to offer. For the few who used their upgrade with the 12 month cycle (mainly android users upgrading to Atrix/Infuse 4G/HTCa Inspire. Those people did post over on Howard forums how even after 3-4 months after using their upgrade they no longer got their usual 12 month upgrade.
AT&T has done away with 12 month upgrades. Verizon did the same. Sprint is getting rid of their Sprint premiere 12 month upgrades also.
The cell phone carriers (at least the big 3) are all following each other. ETFs $325-350. Sprint was last hold out. But even sprint increased their ETF in September from $200 to $350.