I felt like a good flame today, which is why I came to trusty MR forums. This troll will suffice.
Ignoring the plainly false, eg. iPad can't support flash, and the rhetorical drivel eg. "very revealing indeed" (huh ?!), the OP's real argument can be summarised simply:
Flash remains popular, and as other tablets that support it become available and popular, iPad will ultimately fail- unless Apple gets a new CEO without the arrogant anti-Adobe stance.
At first glance, not a bad argument. The problem is, it assumes too much. The following are some of the prerequisites for this argument to be proven:
1.
Flash will continue to be popular. We have already seen that HTML5 and native apps have severely weakened Flash's grip on the web. We shall see if this continues. But I could just as easily argue that it's "high time" we got a new, (tablet friendly) open standard rather than relying on cruft from one vendor, to drive the "full" web.
2.
Other tablets are competitive with iPad in other areas, including price. Sure, it will happen, but progress is glacial. Xoom is very expensive. And Honeycomb, well lets just say it has
a lot of catching up to do. So there's no need for Apple to panic. However, I agree that having well implemented flash on an otherwise competitive product will tip the scales for some people, regardless of current market share.
3.
Steve Jobs never changes direction. He never has a plan B. I won't go over the list of examples again. But we all know that Jobs can argue passionately for/against something one day and reverse his stance the next. Jobs is more passionate about iPad's success than he is about keeping Flash off iPad. If it was really necessary, Apple would go ahead and do it. So why are you so worried?