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The Inquirer recently reported that, according to some analysts, the inflection point has been passed for the Windows to Linux migration. Microsoft is in decline.

I'm not sure whether I accept that the point has been passed yet; but it is clear to see that Microsoft has lost mindshare. Web servers, even those running Windows, are switching to Apache. Few people would consider .Net for a new application. Corporations are not adopting Windows XP or Office XP or Windows Server 2003.

The computer marketplace is headed into a new period of flux, similar to that of the early 1980s. Apple will likely benefit from its Unix-based OS. The only thing we can be certain of, however, is that Microsoft's position of dominance will be gone.
 
Originally posted by cubist
The Inquirer recently reported that, according to some analysts, the inflection point has been passed for the Windows to Linux migration. Microsoft is in decline.

I'm not sure whether I accept that the point has been passed yet; but it is clear to see that Microsoft has lost mindshare. Web servers, even those running Windows, are switching to Apache. Few people would consider .Net for a new application. Corporations are not adopting Windows XP or Office XP or Windows Server 2003.

The computer marketplace is headed into a new period of flux, similar to that of the early 1980s. Apple will likely benefit from its Unix-based OS. The only thing we can be certain of, however, is that Microsoft's position of dominance will be gone.

Few people consider .NET? I dont know about that. We use .NET exclusively, both for Windows applications, server apps, and linux server apps running under Mono. I know lots of other companies that do as well. .NET is much better in design than Java..not nessecarly giving MS a ton credit for that, its a lot easier to look at someone elses product and find the faults than creating a product for the first time.
 
Thank you, I was about to say the same thing. .Net is the best web development framework currently available by far and its addoption rate has been increasing steadily and constantly since its introduction.
 
Ok So, what is the scoop with the keynote?
Is it going to be Quicktime streamed?
I am in Canada,, so when would I see this?

Thanks
 
Apple will have the chance to steal some market share while Microsoft struggles to complete Longhorn. From what I heard, Longhorn won't be ready till 2006, and by that time Apple should be out with 10.5

Apple has a good chance to make so inroads as long as they don't screw up.

Their is going to always be room for cheaper computers, but somehow I don't think they will be running Microsoft. The open source community will come to dominate but not completely do away with Microsoft.
 
Apple obviously have the products; they have an inbuilt need to innovate - with or without Jobs; they are now making alliances with mega companies. I think this shows that Steve Jobs has learnt plenty enough about business now to get a killer marketing policy in place that can grow Apple big time while maintaining his ideals for innovation and high standards. If he could get the Third World off on the right foot with bomb proof and fairly costed systems in govt settings and big corporations, he could do worse.
 
I find .NET annoying - maybe because I don't know its full potential. It seems to always steer me toward buying something I don't want.

Personally, I don't want my Operating System to track me as much as it feels like .NET does on XP. Maybe I'm just too paranoid.
 
Re: NO - it aint the same world as it was....

Originally posted by elgruga

Apple is heading down a strange road called 'innovation' and so far it hasnt translated into market share,

If I remember the numbers correctly it has....at least for laptops.
 
Originally posted by JGowan
I'm sorry but saying that a person who is CEO material will ALWAYS have the Midas touch, no matter what, is just ridiculous. I'm certain there are stories, time and time again, where a person takes many business ventures before hitting the right place, product and time for the people. There is a certain amount of luck involved, but you can't fault Jobs because NeXT didn't go over. It just wasn't right. There were people who took on Apple who had been very successful at other corporations but couldn't get Apple into the Black. Are you kicking them in the teeth?

Jobs has shown with Apple and Pixar that he certainly knows how to run a company or two. And not just "recently". Look at both of those companies and tell us that the companies did not do an immediate ABOUT FACE the moment Steve Jobs came on. Right... I didn't think so.

Right. Because we all know that the reason NeXT failed was because the timing was wrong and Steve was running into bad luck. It had nothing to do with marketing a machine for college students at $10K. No, it was timing and luck. Forget a great product turned rotten by mismanagement and lack of clairvoyant vision. It also had little or nothing to do with extreme egomaniacal behavior. He certainly didn't display such traits repeatedly during those days (and even today, sometimes).

Yes, I'm kicking them in the teeth. I didn't kick Steve in the teeth, I simply pointed out his inability to successfully run a company in his youth. But, since you ask, I am kicking Gil Amelio in the teeth. I'm kicking Spindler in the teeth. I'm kicking Scully in the teeth. Those three kicks are just for you.

I really love when someone turns my fact-based post, intended to inform those who haven't followed the story, into an attack on Steve. It was not an attack at all. To repeat: Steve's absence from Apple did not cause their downward spiral. Steve was equally (or more) destructive at NeXT as Scully, Spindler or Amelio were at Apple. This is fact, and can be discovered in a number of books at your local library.

Pixar did NOT do an immediate about face when Steve came on. Steve saw Pixar as a hardware company, not an animation firm. Steve picked up Pixar in 1986, I believe. Trying to sell $135K machines that required $35k Sun machines to run them cost Pixar over $10 million per year. Toy Story was release in 1995. This was the first time Pixar really had anything going for it. Huge turn-around, huh?

Don't take it from me... Said Pam Kerwin, "We were in debt from the start. That was no way to run a business. There were no business brains at Pixar."

Today, Steve's role in Pixar is mostly the silent-investor. This isn't because he isn't interested in Pixar, but because they don't need his input (a case made clear when he tried to interfere with their work in the past). He renegotiated a contract with Disney, following the success of Toy Story, but that's not hands-on leadership. That's watching that you don't get screwed by your partner. He took them public, but that's making a profit. Pixar is mostly self-contained, with Steve backing them financially. Actually, I'm sure they don't even need his money, now that they make a killing in theaters and on DVD.

Apple did, in fact, turn around right away. Hm, couldn't be that Steve was better able to run a company after spending some years being humbled, could it? Why, that was exactly my point in the original post! Who woulda thought?

BTW - Don't ever give me the "Right, I didn't think so," line concerning anything like this. I research before I post. I will come back and prove my point with details.

Dan

PS - I never used the term "Midas." That was in someone else's post. I'd appreciate if you don't attribute anyone else's words to my stated views when you quote me or respond to my posts.
 
even the mention of .net.....

Originally posted by carletonmusic
I find .NET annoying - maybe because I don't know its full potential. It seems to always steer me toward buying something I don't want.

Personally, I don't want my Operating System to track me as much as it feels like .NET does on XP. Maybe I'm just too paranoid.

I dont like to even see the words '.net' on my macrumors screen.

Lets keep it clean , guys, I have just eaten, for cryin out loud!

.....oh, and you are not too paranoid. You cant be too paranoid where Gates is concerned.
 
Originally posted by alset
Apple did, in fact, turn around right away. Hm, couldn't be that Steve was better able to run a company after spending some years being humbled, could it?

Well said.

Steve has learned as he has lived his life - its just like anything. put in the time and the effort, and eventually good things happen.

Lucky for us Apple users that Steve has the ability to overcome his past mistake, eh?
 
I think that Apple is in a great position to succeed in the long term. They are aggressively spending all they can on R&D. I think this is why their profitability is so low. They target to just about break even and while spending all the rest on R&D. Apple's future is to innovate as much as possible.

It is not just that Apple is diversifying into various businesses lately but they have been doing so profitably. The iPod is profitable. iTMS is break even. The brick and mortar stores are break even. The servers seem to be picking up mind share and will probably get a big boost when the G5 X-serves come out.

Five years ago Apple was pretty much just a computer company with some software products. Now they have built an international chain of successful retail stores, they have learned how to successfully sell digital content on-line. They sell a lot of hardware through the on-line Apple store, they have a successful consumer product (iPod) which has taken over as the standard bearer from the Sony Walkman, they main OS has migrated to industrial strength UNIX with a pretty face. Probably some things I missed.

I expect we'll see more of this kind of growth in the near future. The amazing success story of VT's supercomputer using PMs is not a fluke but is based on solid engineering. We'll see more of the same.

I don't know how it will happen but Apple has the potential to break out and become a much larger company in the next five years.

By the way, on the news tonight I heard that according to a new study illegal downloading of songs is down about 50% from a year ago. How is that for being able to change the world!
 
Originally posted by neutrino23
By the way, on the news tonight I heard that according to a new study illegal downloading of songs is down about 50% from a year ago. How is that for being able to change the world!

And of course the RIAA slapping lawsuits around has nothing to do with that.
 
Originally posted by Awimoway
And of course the RIAA slapping lawsuits around has nothing to do with that.

I agree with you to some extent, however, the lawsuits alone would probably not have been as effective if there were no legal alternative.

Actually, I was surprised by the magnitude of the drop. It is not a zero sum issue. More people stopped downloading than started purchasing. I wonder if it was a perception thing. Because there was a simple, legal alternative combined with the threats from the RIAA then people were discouraged from downloading though they weren't quite motivated to purchase music on line. Just a thought.
 
3RU

What do you think the probability of the 3RU G5 X-Raids being some sort of "blade" server? I just don't know how you would keep the things cool. Hmmmm.
 
Re: even the mention of .net.....

Originally posted by elgruga
.....oh, and you are not too paranoid. You cant be too paranoid where Gates is concerned.

So true. I was just explaining to my mother (who is finally learning to use a computer) why her Hotmail account has become more complicated as a result of .Net and MSN. The more M$ tries to incorporate in their Internet "solution," the more they mangle ease-of-use.

Dan
 
Re: 3RU

Originally posted by Scottgfx
What do you think the probability of the 3RU G5 X-Raids being some sort of "blade" server? I just don't know how you would keep the things cool. Hmmmm.


here's a start!

Apple has been listed as one of the early testers...and the time frame for shipment of product is the "end of this year" So sounds to me like we may have a solution for g5 xserves and powerbooks. Combines with the trade-in program expiring at the end of march...those powerbooks should be here soon.
 
Disney responsible for Pixar's success?

Originally posted by rdowns
As for Pixar, everything I've read is that Steve is pretty hands off there. You could argue much of Pixar's success is due to their Disney deal. Will they be able to duplicate the success when that deal expires? Will they re-up with Disney or forge a new partnership or go it alone? Stay iTuned

Okay, you're making me gag here. Do you have any clue what you're talking about? I think you're the only person I've ever heard attribute Pixar's success to Disney. The reverse is in fact true: Pixar is Disney's cash cow at the moment. Disney excels only at marketing and producing plush toys; this is evident from the fact that most of Disney's self-produced movies are lackluster box-office performers. If the Pixar productions were as pedestrian as Disney's, all of Disney's marketing magic wouldn't make a bit of difference.

Regarding the partnership, you obviously aren't aware that Pixar (Steve) is currently in heated negotiations with Disney. The industry clamor is that Pixar will wangle a significantly better deal from Disney, since Pixar is batting .1000 and Disney is batting .016 on a good day.

Yes, Steve appears to be hands-off at Pixar. You apparently think that means Disney is running Pixar. Ever hear of John Lasseter? Andrew Stanton? Lee Unkrich? Pixar has the most awesome creative teams in the business, bar none, and Steve is smart enough to let them do what they do best. Disney's main function is to siphon Pixar's profits into such inspired projects as "Cinderella 2", "Peter Pan 2", "102 Dalmatians", "101 Dalmatians 2", and "Beauty and the Beast 2".

Pixar is the new Disney, and IMHO, are better than Disney ever was. Disney is Pixar's marketing department.
 
Re: Disney responsible for Pixar's success?

Originally posted by splashman
Ever hear of John Lasseter? Andrew Stanton? Lee Unkrich? Pixar has the most awesome creative teams in the business, bar none...

You forgot Ed Catmul. 🙂

There is also talk of Pixar starting a 2D animation department, and Disney closing down their "classic" animation department. How about Pixar just take over Disney?
 
Re: Disney responsible for Pixar's success?

Originally posted by splashman
Yes, Steve appears to be hands-off at Pixar. You apparently think that means Disney is running Pixar. Ever hear of John Lasseter? Andrew Stanton? Lee Unkrich? Pixar has the most awesome creative teams in the business, bar none, and Steve is smart enough to let them do what they do best. Disney's main function is to siphon Pixar's profits into such inspired projects as "Cinderella 2", "Peter Pan 2", "102 Dalmatians", "101 Dalmatians 2", and "Beauty and the Beast 2".

Well maybe the Disney comment was a bit offsides, but ultimately you're helping him make his point--that Jobs' is not the one who is making Pixar a success. Is the fine point worth the harangue?
 
What is it with the Steve trolls? And what is this big mistake he is said to have made?


As far as I can see he started Apple, oversaw the groundbreaking Macintosh and Apple were very successful. He was then forced out by the suits and Apple went into a long decline - a decline that it only started emerging from when steve came back and brought us iMac, iPod, PowerBook, etc. etc. etc. etc.


Clearly without Steve there is no Apple.
 
Re: Disney responsible for Pixar's success?

Originally posted by Awimoway
Well maybe the Disney comment was a bit offsides, but ultimately you're helping him make his point--that Jobs' is not the one who is making Pixar a success. Is the fine point worth the harangue?

Rdowns was responding to the "King Midas" post, and opining that Steve didn't qualify for that label. As examples, he said (a) Apple still isn't making much money, and (b) Steve isn't hands-on at Pixar. He insinuated that Disney was responsible for Pixar's success, which, if true, would definitely refute the King Midas label and support his argument.

First, (a) is ridiculous -- a logical fallacy at best. Regarding (b), I argued the Disney thing, but was also attempting to point out (apparently not very clearly) that Steve's current level of "hands-on" involvement at Pixar is not an indicator of whether or not he has the "Midas touch". King Midas touched something and it turned to gold. He didn't have to run the shipping department at Midas Gold, Inc., and neither does Steve have to sit in on creative reviews for "The Incredibles" to earn such a label.

Prior to his purchase of the company, Pixar was a failing proposition. Steve was instrumental in pulling together a tremendously talented team and re-directing them to viable projects. And less than ten years later, Pixar pulled off the impossible: a bona-fide blockbuster from an industry newcomer. Even if Steve hadn't darkened the doors at Pixar in the last five years, he'd still be a candidate for the King Midas label.

We're all just sharing our opinions, and I'm not claiming I'm right and Rdowns is wrong. I just didn't think his opinions were particularly well supported. If you think the same of mine, feel free to respond . . .
 
Originally posted by desdomg
What is it with the Steve trolls? And what is this big mistake he is said to have made?

The story is far more complex. Read Apple Confidential and The Second Coming of Steve Jobs .

Also, you can gleam a hint at Steve's ousting from the movie, Pirates of Silicon Valley .

You are correct that without Steve there would be no Apple, but there is far more to his role(s) throughout Apple's history.

This isn't Steve trolling --- this is getting the facts straight. Anyone who is passionate about Apple and the vital role Steve has played in it's development will likely enjoy learning the bad along with the good. To be clear: I love my parents, but that doesn't mean I can't see their shortcomings. I love what Steve does, but that doesn't mean I turn a blind eye to his failings. Recognizing these aspects of a person's personality grants deeper appreciation of the highlights.

Dan
 
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Re: Re: OLEDs

Originally posted by Dstreelm
last i heard, OLED's are expected to be included in several cell phones (only in japan probably) by early 2004, so we should expect them sometime maybe late summer in a couple of fhones and random other devices (video ipod??) but i doubt they will make their way into displays because the price and there idint a real need for them in a home display (yet)

there is going to be a Sony Clie in 2004 with an OLED display.
 
Re: Re: OLEDs

Originally posted by mvc
OLED's have a lifespan problem compared to LCD's. The techies are still trying to make them last the many thousands of hours needed for most consumer electronics.

But since cellphones have about the highest obsolescence rate of any consumer electronic item that needs a colour screen they WILL show up there soon.

I read somewhere that Apple could use a B&W OLED screen that lasts as long as the current screen... just to test out the technology for future versions.

current colour OLED's last around the same amount of time as the iPod's battery life expectancy. So i propose, if the cell phone industry is going to be leaping on OLED's this year as predicted, then Apple can probably get these screens at a lower cost than what they are now...

regardless of life expectancy, which is said to be about one or two years, (just like the ipod battery) maybe Apple can replace the screen as well as the battery with Apple care.
 
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