I've decided it's about time to buy my first iPad, but these are confusing times. I would look real hard at the Mini with a Retina. Without it, I'll pass. You know that the Mini WILL have retina next year so why buy something with a screen that's a throwback to the pre-iPhone 4 days?
I also didn't choose the rebooted iPad 3 because this is just way way too close to the March iPad 4 debut. I would feel like a chump to plunk down $500+ on a revised 3 just to watch a glorious 4 come out for the same price 3 months later. Of course, the question becomes: would a revised iPad 3 mean there IS no iPad 4 in March? See? Confusing. Since this is a lot of money to me, I feel it's best to just hold off and realize that this may be an expensive toy I don't need. All their secrecy and mixed signals is making a lot of us stay away altogether.
[P.S. I find it amusing that at the bottom of this page is a big old Microsoft Surface banner ad. LOL!]