AI will replace all of them, as well as lawyers and doctors. In the case of Doctors, IBM's Watson can diagnose Cancer at 90% accuracy rate - a human doctor 50%. When you go in for a hip or knee replacement, it is done by a robot - the doctor is just there in case something goes wrong.
Fast food joints can be fully automated. We are half way there now with the ability to order & pay via our phones. A robot can make the food in the back and bring it forward. The only person working there would be the stocker/janitor.
Think business won't go for that? Not only would they not have to pay workers, their replacements never get tired, call in sick, or expect to get paid. On top of that - the franchise owner would get a massive set of tax breaks on new machinery.
Of course, nothing will be done to address these issues until it starts to hit the lackeys of the 1%. The "professional" classes will get a taste of what the blue collar folks have been dealing with over the last 40 years.
UBI (Universal Basic Income) is coming.
Unfortunately, yes this is going happen.
There is so many paths of discussion (philosophical discussions) that can come from this topic(article), and you can read through the comments and see the opposing views on the various points. I try to help people understand that truth isn't a singular thing; it has different existences.
Someone says Americans don't want this kind of work, another says we do. I think both of these statement are true. BUT, as a generalization, I don't believe people would choose to have a job where they assembled some portion of a phone or computer, day in and day out. I don't believe the Chinese workers would choose it they had another choice.
The NYT times ran an article back in 2012 talking about iPhone manufacturing in China (lot's of similar points).
https://www.nytimes.com/2012/01/22/...d-a-squeezed-middle-class.html?pagewanted=all
The same observation then, we don't have the manpower with technical knowledge as China has.
Could we? We put a man on the moon, so we must be able to, right? The moon statement is true - of course we could if wanted. But, at what cost literally and figuratively. The same argument applies to closing the border, gun confiscation, universal healthcare, or any topic "du jour". We spent and consumed so much in resources to achieve the goal (one I very much believed in) to go to the moon.
Are we going suspend the labor rights/quality of life rights that we have in this country? Are we going to spend a part of someone's life for the training for this...only to disregard them when it isn't necessary anymore? What do we do with then?
To circle back, I don't know what the world will look like, good or bad, but I absolutely believe to my core that the time is coming (quicker than I suspect most people think) when we have no jobs because everything will be replaced by machines and AI. Data and analytics from data, are driving us to be robots...before the actual robots are even here. Medicine is all protocol based; the same formulaic idea applies to any industry and best practices.
I believe as a society, we have a credibility problem by telling students to learn for a better job and better future, when that future is going to vanish. (To be clear, I love learning, and am not saying people shouldn't learn.) What jobs will they have? The manufacturing jobs are an example of a much larger problem. What will we all do, when it isn't necessary for us to do? I think the idleness of mankind will show some awful realities of civilization.