Very much disagree. There are specific routes for the watch, so it isn't a matter of any given UPS plane being in the air. When there were no flights last weekend, there was zero movement on orders. When there were a bunch of flights from China to Alaska to Louisville, there were a bunch of charges.
Not many charges went through yesterday...not many planes flying from Anchorage to Louisville today.
What part do you disagree with?
Everyday somebody asks if there are any flights. Weekdays in particular. And there is. UPS77 is a regular Route from Shezhen (Where this forum has largely come to believe watches originate from) to Anchorage and then after redistributing some of it's load it carries on to Ontario, CA. It flies every weekday. http://flightaware.com/live/flight/UPS77/history/20150507/1110Z/ZGSZ/PANC
Everyday there are 4-5 or even more flights from Anchorage to Louisville. Depends on how much freight they have I'm sure.
Finally on any given flight on any given route and on any given day we have no way of knowing if there are or are not any watches.