I think you have me confused with someone else. I never claimed there would be a massive spike in cases right after opening, and I agree with you that there hasn’t been one. I only joined in to mock your method of plotting trend lines and show you what a real one looks like.
I posted the second chart, because I thought the spike was a funny and timely illustration of how silly your analysis was. Why didn’t you immediately retract your ‘downward trend’ in light of the new peak? Probably because you spotted a different downward trend in the middle of my chart and thought you’d run with that one for a while.
The fact is Georgia doesn’t have a massive spike, but it’s no victory for anyone. Cases are trending up again, with a shallow exponential curve, and political will to fight it is trending downwards. Mobility data shows Georgians on the move again, but not using public transport. Maybe the population will beat the spread with their own voluntary piecemeal decisions to distance, which is I guess the American way, but if so that would be a validation of what some people call the ‘fearmongering’, because if people weren’t concerned they wouldn’t do anything.
I'll post one more chart for you. Again the blue lines are trend lines adjusted by the amount of testing. You can clearly see that something turned around the speed of the disease pretty dramatically, but whatever it was, it lost its power in some places a few weeks ago. Now you could argue its was voluntary public social distancing in response to the disease, or it was imposed lockdowns. The timing suggests to me it might be the former actually, but that doesn't mean all the silly anti-lockdown, ant-science posturing and sophistry is justified and it also doesn't mean its all over. Public concern is fading as the Covid headlines turn stale, and that's going to kill people in some states. The situation is bad, it might still get worse, so look out for your neighbours and don't make it worse.
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You can see all 50 states and the more interesting Rt numbers at rt.live