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Since the PowerPC was an ARM chip, and the M series of chips are also ARM, it looks like it’s going pretty well right now.

What Apple has changed is that this isn’t a chip whose purpose is controlled by 3 separate companies with different priorities (IBM, Motorola, Apple) but is instead designed by and for Apple, based upon experience they intentionally acquired by self designing their own smartphone and tablet processors to get that engineering experience.

PowerPC is not ARM.
 
Since the PowerPC was an ARM chip, and the M series of chips are also ARM, it looks like it’s going pretty well right now.

What Apple has changed is that this isn’t a chip whose purpose is controlled by 3 separate companies with different priorities (IBM, Motorola, Apple) but is instead designed by and for Apple, based upon experience they intentionally acquired by self designing their own smartphone and tablet processors to get that engineering experience.
PowerPC was never ARM it was RISC as ARM is but was not ARM
 
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Yeah, this sounds like a CYA excuse to cover up some internal process fail at TSMC.

Just noticed your avatar and I thought I'd post this physical representation:

Screen Shot 2022-08-04 at 4.14.24 PM.png
 
Apple will be fine. You forget how much freaking money apple has. Intel can't buy their way out of apple's deal with TSMC. Other customers might get the shaft, But not apple. Either way, whatever new chips Intel puts out with just be hotter, more power hungry versions of 12th gen. More garbage from intel.

I heard that nVidia wanted to cancel some production and TSMC said that they could push it out but not cancel it. And oil is down to $90. Are we finally see deflation?
 
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So what's the argument against Apple buying TSMC?

1. Apple doesn't have that much money.
TSMC price tag is $400+ B.
Apple cash holding $40B (got another $100 or so tied up in investments. )

2. Apple could borrow but already have ~$200B in debt devoted to stock buyback, dividends and avoiding taxes. The reason why the debt service is so relatively cheap is that they are borrowing money they really already have just not structured conveniently for lowest taxes and distribution. So they are super low risk bonds because they when they already have money. The risk of default and can't grab the cash in the scramble at the end is very , very , very low.

3. Apple could just go deeper into debt ... why? At the point where debt is getting more expensive and already under intense antitrust scrutiny. These additional problems 'buy' what? Mostly little of real material value.
Apple can't buy TSMC and take its production "private". Apple isn't no where near big enough TSMC's only 'customer'. By a huge margin.

So Apple would have to buy TSMC and then service all ( or most) of TSMC current clients. Apple needs that distraction why?????????????


Apple goes from being dependent on Intel to being dependent on TSMC. Granted, Apple has much more control over chip design with TSMC, but still …

Apple avoids buying 100B of fab equipment and solely paying for the R&D for bleeding edge tech. Apple pragmatically makes almost nothing. That is a large contributing reason why their margins are so high. "Boring" , low margin stuff they can inflict on their subcontractors while Apple skims off most of the profit. If Apple soaks up those subcontractors then they have to suck up those lumps also.

The part of the issue is Apple's own making. They sometimes like picking one vendor and then funneling all the money into a single source. Do that too long and there are higher dependency issue. Part of the problem is that Samsung ( and Intel) have kludged their leading edge fab processes. If Samsung "4nm" "3nm" was more on track folks would likely be more spread out.
 
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Wait. Wasn't there a chip shortage anyway? Or was that only man made to drive prices :p
The chip shortage was essentially at medium-complexity nodes, in chips used for things like cars and consumer electronics.
N3 is used by the highest end CPU/SoC chips, but companies cannot change their plans on a dime. If Apple (and AMD, and nVidia, and Qualcomm and so on) knew a year ago what the available capacity would be, they would have made appropriate plans, but they cannot simply restructure the next two years' worth of schedule on a dime.
 
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Stupid analogy, but is that like enjoying an ex-girlfriend/boyfriend after a breakup but before they start dating again?

TMSC has to be outright livid though with all of that lost business/revenue and capacity, seemingly difficult to recover.
Rubbish, I never said I was planning on getting the M2 Pro when it is finally released.
 
Apple has majority marketshare in computers over $1000 (which is really the market they compete in).

Majority marketshare where? Aggregated the Windows PC vendors is still the majority. Apple comes out of the single digits in over $1K. Apple is no where on the top 5 list in the Workstation market. Not the majority there and hefty chunck of those are well over the $1K mark.
 
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Since the PowerPC was an ARM chip, and the M series of chips are also ARM, it looks like it’s going pretty well right now.

What Apple has changed is that this isn’t a chip whose purpose is controlled by 3 separate companies with different priorities (IBM, Motorola, Apple) but is instead designed by and for Apple, based upon experience they intentionally acquired by self designing their own smartphone and tablet processors to get that engineering experience.
PPC isnt ARM, and it's still kicking around as its own ISA...
 
TSMC is in Taiwan, which has very non zero odds of either being taken taken under Chinese control (with any factories they desire) or having their industry destroyed in a war with China. If they do, the US will almost certainly get involved, and the Chinese government will sieze all US assets in their country. It could be an absolutely enormous amount of money for what ends up coming to nothing.

Additionally, I'm not sure the Taiwanese government would allow the sale. It is THE defining industry of the country.

If Apple wanted chip production capacity of their own, better to take advantage of the CHIPS act and build it in the USA. Or, at least, get in bed with a chip maker not in a country that the Chinese have repeatedly stated that they're going to take over, by force if necessary.
The CEO has been very very clear that "TSMC cannot be taken over by force" (his words), it depends on a vary large JIT web of suppliers globally, any takeover of Taiwan by China would completely idle those fabs
 
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it would if Apple knew this 6-7 months ago...they could went 3nm with everything from A16-M2 entire family and so on...but now, its kind late for 2022..so it seems 3nm will be a 2023 thing
Switching from 5nm to 3nm isn’t as simple as just shrinking everything down to that size. It requires complex design changes, not something that can be done it 6-7 months. ;)
 
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Wait, shouldn't this be a good thing? Freeing up TSMC capacity for everyone else?
Problem is no one else except Apple and Intel was looking to use their leading edge nodes this generation, so TSMC was planning their capacity and economy of scale just for them. If Intel pulls out the per unit part cost would rise by quite a bit.
 
Problem is no one else except Apple and Intel was looking to use their leading edge nodes this generation, so TSMC was planning their capacity and economy of scale just for them. If Intel pulls out the per unit part cost would rise by quite a bit.

Here's the chance for AMD and nVidia to step up to the plate to impress the gamers out there with a $4,000 RTX 5999 or Radeon 9999 card.
 
Wait, shouldn't this be a good thing? Freeing up TSMC capacity for everyone else?

An old friend of mine procured the original contract for providing shopping hand-baskets for Safeway (she said she was the first continental USA manufacturer of plastic hand-baskets (c. 1960/70's)), and stated that merely the "mold" cost her over USD 100K

I can only assume that not having guaranteed contracts would certainly cast doubt on the efficacy of such an investment.
 
Little late in the game to hammer on IBM.
Point is, Intel help to bring
Since the PowerPC was an ARM chip, and the M series of chips are also ARM, it looks like it’s going pretty well right now.

What Apple has changed is that this isn’t a chip whose purpose is controlled by 3 separate companies with different priorities (IBM, Motorola, Apple) but is instead designed by and for Apple, based upon experience they intentionally acquired by self designing their own smartphone and tablet processors to get that engineering experience.
So, you are basically dismissing 15 years of investment in Intel which actually brought the Mac mainstream? Just as you would dismiss all the years of PowerPC? You are acting like CPU's never existed before Apple silicon.

Before Apple switched to Intel, the only places I ever saw a Mac was in a printshop or that rare outcast user who happens to have one. I am sure among the over 100 million active Mac users out there, not all of them are running on Apple Silicon yet. Don't be so dismissive. This industry is unpredictable. Whose to tell what could end up happening 15 years from now.

Just as you are claiming Apple Silicon is based on ARM, remember, Apple bought the IP for Intels 5G modem business which they are planning to put in future iPhones and replace those from Qualcomm.
 
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So what's the argument against Apple buying TSMC? Apple goes from being dependent on Intel to being dependent on TSMC. Granted, Apple has much more control over chip design with TSMC, but still …
In addition to the other arguments against this (mostly that Apple would need to supply not just Apple but all TSMC's other customers, and that's far from Apple's core business), TSMC doesn't treat workers in its Asian plants very well (I say Asian because workers in its Western fabs, like those in the US, are much better-protected), which enables them to deliver products for the prices Apple and others need. Apple's somewhat shielded from this because TSMC is a supplier rather than a subsidiary. If Apple bought TSMC, they'd need to improve worker conditions, which would be very expensive, or have a PR nightmare on their hands.
 
While I agree with you from a USA point of view, I suggest that spreading manufacture across several locations might achieve the best resilience. E.g. USA, India, EU, even the UK!

Each country or bloc, and their populations, would then also see benefits to sticking with Apple.
It's actually already happening. The US National Semiconductor Technology Center plans a collaboration with a new Japanese chip research institution (unnamed in these articles) to produce 2 nm chips by (or as early as—I've seen it reported both ways) 2025. This was announced in June 2022.
www.zmescience.com

US and Japan join forces to start factory for tiny 2-nanometer chips

The new chips would offer a much higher performance while using less power. It could also help ease the chip shortage.
www.zmescience.com
www.zmescience.com
asia.nikkei.com

Japan, U.S. to launch R&D for 2-nm chip mass production

Economic and diplomatic chiefs to discuss supply chains at 2+2 meeting Friday
asia.nikkei.com
asia.nikkei.com
www.theregister.com

US 'to help Japan' make leading-edge 2nm chips

Player Four has entered the game
www.theregister.com
www.theregister.com

Last edited: Tuesday at 8:27 PM
 
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