No you’re not right. The science is pretty clear that social distancing reduces transmission you can pretend this is all made up if you want but that’s all you’re doing. Less contact equals less transmission, if you’re at home you can’t catch it.
Can you think of a downside to always being indoors? I’m talking about the longer term...you can’t hide inside forever and there are negatives to that both medically and economically.
Further, you can’t calculate the impact of mandating staying home with any precision. It may have helped transmission 10% or 50% or 5% or 105%. It also had many downsides which could ultimately impact lives.
However, what we are discussing isn’t the short term distancing but if it makes sense to continue it over a longer term.
My contention was that you don’t get to claim credit for saving lives based on a fake model that predicted 2.2M deaths in America and you certainly don’t get to completely credit the estimated lives saved to quarantine alone.
Quarantines, particularly long ones, also have many negative effects, which are much harder to measure but are also very real.
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The ridiculous death rate models, the panic induced by the media, the massive lock downs is what I assume he is referring to. The virus is real, just like the one that killed over 80,000 Americans a few years ago, the one we have a vaccine for.
Accurate assessment. The media has been incredibly bad for this entire process and now it’s that much harder to change sentiment because many have been brainwashed.
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You do realize that being under those models is a good thing. That's the purpose of the lockdown, so it doesn't reach those numbers.
I question the people who don't believe science experts and health professionals.
Health professionals aren’t good modelers, evidentlybecause the 2.2M American deaths was INCREDIBLY STUPID and based on a linear application of early numbers.
Health professionals shouldn’t make policy either because they aren’t thinking big picture. All they think about is saving every life, which is fine and their job, but is not how anything works. If we wanted to save every life, we would never fly in planes or drive cars or take any risk for greater benefit.
I love and respect our health professionals, but they aren’t good at modeling and really no one is for this type of thing. WAY too many variables, so any modeling should be prefaced as a guess and not credible. We can’t base policy off modeling that I said from the beginning was garbage.
I manage a team that does modeling at a Fortune 10 company. We all said it was stupid from the start. We made a huge mistake publishing it.
So quarantine didn’t save 2.2M lives...don’t believe it. 2.2M Americans were NEVER going to die from this. That was either published for political or agenda driven reasons...not in the interest of protecting anyone.