Become a MacRumors Supporter for $50/year with no ads, ability to filter front page stories, and private forums.
You are not the arbiter of what is essential and what is not. For many people, the Apple Store is far more essential than many so-called essential operations that never shut down. If the Apple Store is open, folks can choose if it's essential on their own. That's the great thing about freedom.

yeah and what about the workers who don’t have a choice? If the apple store is open and employees forced to come into work where is their “freedom”?
 
The ridiculous death rate models, the panic induced by the media, the massive lock downs is what I assume he is referring to. The virus is real, just like the one that killed over 80,000 Americans a few years ago, the one we have a vaccine for.
I've been treating COVID patients and even I think they blew their "best case scenarios" out of proportion a bit. Can't even tell you how many times I've heard my coworkers say the media needs to shut up. That being said though...this thing is still nasty and nothing to mess with. But the media does need to lay off the fear a bit.

I think it is GREAT news that Chicago is removing 2000 of the 3000 beds at the setup at McCormick Place. It's great that we don't need that much. As a healthcare worker...I found a huge sense of relief hearing that news.
But the general public will see it as straight proof of blowing things out of proportion.
 
  • Like
Reactions: Rocko99991
Initial models were off by such a large magnitude it's disgusting. We need to question the people still pushing for extended or indefinite lock downs.

You do realize that being under those models is a good thing. That's the purpose of the lockdown, so it doesn't reach those numbers.

I question the people who don't believe science experts and health professionals.
 
yeah and what about the workers who don’t have a choice? If the apple store is open and employees forced to come into work where is their “freedom”?

You are not the appointed representative of Apple Store employees and you have no idea whether they want to return to work or not. In any case, nobody will ever be forced to come into work in the United States of America for any job, so unless you intended your post to apply to a communist dictatorship such as North Korea, you have zero valid points.

Personally I am eager to get back to work and help to rebuild America. Speaking for MYSELF only, I do not claim to speak for Apple Store employees or anyone else.
 
  • Like
Reactions: Rocko99991
You are not the appointed representative of Apple Store employees and you have no idea whether they want to return to work or not. In any case, nobody will ever be forced to come into work in the United States of America for any job, so unless you intended your post to apply to a communist dictatorship such as North Korea, you have zero valid points.

Personally I am eager to get back to work and help to rebuild America. Speaking for MYSELF only, I do not claim to speak for Apple Store employees or anyone else.
I have to give credit to those who haven’t gone crazy being out of work this whole time. I’ve been out since Friday and I’m losing my sh*t already 😂 12 days to go!!!
 
Awesome to hear! Time to start reopening everything or let businesses decide if they wish to reopen. For people living in fear, it is your right to choose if you we wish to go to those businesses or you can also choose to stay home.

This is the USA and we have the freedom to choose. We are not a socialistic company! And some of us, like me will not be living in fear!

Crazy that people don’t believe in the above. If you don’t, think it is time for you to move to Russia or China, as you obviously don’t believe in what our founding fathers fought for. I served in the Military and fought for freedom of choice, religion, etc.... For those of you don’t agree with any of that, please leave.
 
What would I propose we do? Wait until cases are MUCH lower (not thousands dead each month), testing capacity is much higher, and contact tracing teams trained and in place. Many other places (NZ, Taiwan, HK, etc.) have managed to achieve some combination of these with fewer resources and in shorter time. It’s mind blowing to me that the US is still stumbling in the dark with the body count only growing higher and so many are perfectly fine with reopening for business.

NZ, Taiwan and HK are all small countries with populations lower than a single US state. "Contact tracing teams trained and in place" on a scale of a US-sized country is a pipe dream. Completely unrealistic in a foreseeable future.

I will put this simply to you. Unless there is a miracle and a vaccine is available in less than a year time (basically not possible) - vast majority of us are going to get COVID. Millions of us had already had COVID and recovered without even knowing it. It's just the matter of when. What draconian shelter-in-place and extreme social distancing rules do is prevent us from quickly developing herd immunity, which is the ONLY practical way to stop the virus in the absence of the vaccine.

Yes we need to keep the number of new COVID cases under control, and at a level where our medical system can deal with treating the sick. But in the the long run - we are better off letting the virus burn through the healthy population and developing herd immunity. This is why extreme social distancing for an indefinite period of time is a wrong answer, both in terms of economic and long term health impact.
 
Last edited:
Don't say that... the media keeps telling us everyone that gets it is as good as dead! lol.

Forget the media. Current death rates from this one virus are trending higher than the historical worst annual death rates from all flu strains combined despite unprecedented measures. And we haven’t even reached the end of year flu season yet.

From your prior posts I understand that preventable mass death is of no concern to you and possibly provides you some pleasure. But your bias towards outright dismissal, seemingly based on an anti-media knee-jerk instinct, is puzzling because you’ve actually quoted some facts. In any case you’re entitled to believe your position even if it is a false alternative to an original misrepresentation.

Your posts on covid are the nexus of narcissistic, uneducated, and one-dimensional thinking.
 
  • Like
Reactions: Jax44
Forget the media. Current death rates from this one virus are trending higher than the historical worst annual death rates from all flu strains combined despite unprecedented measures. And we haven’t even reached the end of year flu season yet.

From your prior posts I understand that preventable mass death is of no concern to you and possibly provides you some pleasure. But your bias towards outright dismissal, seemingly based on an anti-media knee-jerk instinct, is puzzling because you’ve actually quoted some facts. In any case you’re entitled to believe your position even if it is a false alternative to an original misrepresentation.

Your posts on covid are the nexus of narcissistic, uneducated, and one-dimensional thinking.
You're wrong. Actually, the % of the people that dies goes down. More and more studies are showing far more people have this than first thought. They will never get tested and count against the % that dies because they never needed to be tested to begin with. Every single study points to a .1 to .3% chance of dying. Hardly worth shutting anything down for. But feel free to hide in your safe space forever. Let the sane people get back to our lives.
[automerge]1588106870[/automerge]
Apparently you don't know anyone affected by the virus to say that. Would it be a scam if someone you loved contracted the virus and died? I've known several. There are additionally several thousand people who would probably disagree that it's a scam. Have you actually visited an ICU in an area that's been affected by Covid? Doubtful.
I'd say that no matter who has gotten or died from it. The people dying are already sick to the point of it not taking much to kill them. 95+% have at least one major preexisting condition. 85+% have 2 or more, with 3 being the median.
 
Apparently you don't know anyone affected by the virus to say that. Would it be a scam if someone you loved contracted the virus and died? I've known several. There are additionally several thousand people who would probably disagree that it's a scam. Have you actually visited an ICU in an area that's been affected by Covid? Doubtful.
“Scam” was probably not the best word choice by the author of that post but the content was correct nonetheless. This virus is real. It has a lethality somewhere around that of the flu. The signature feature being that it spreads very effectively exactly because it often has mild to no symptoms. People that died from it were unfortunately always going to. Lockdown, social distancing, and other isolation measures were never intended to prevent those losses.
 
  • Like
Reactions: Ghost31
You actually can’t verify that. There are counter examples. I think people like to think they are in control of everything, but too many factors exist to be completely sure.

I see a lot of quarantine supporters taking credit for “saving millions” of lives...but you’re relying on likely a garbage model that predicted 2.2M deaths in the US, relying on linear math from early numbers. The analysis was wrong from the start, so you don’t get to take full credit for saving lives that you guessed would be lost.

1) You’ll never know what doing nothing, ignoring it, and/or limiting the quarantine would have done with any precision.

2) You could make up any number and say you saved those lives. I could build a model that said 10M people would die without quarantine...doesn’t mean it’s right.

3) The quarantine may have played some part, but so did other things that are out of our control. Weather, antibodies, an imperfect virus, many showing no symptoms, mild cases, undiagnosed cases, people just not becoming infected, bad data, etc.

I could say the numbers were better because people had more time to pray. Am I right?

The whole “would have been worse” argument is flimsy.

No you’re not right. The science is pretty clear that social distancing reduces transmission you can pretend this is all made up if you want but that’s all you’re doing. Less contact equals less transmission, if you’re at home you can’t catch it.
 
Because social distancing is pointless on an individual level. Individuals can’t stay isolated forever but communities can reduce risk for everyone.

So how does the community develop ‘herd immunity’ if everyone is isolated from the virus for a long period of time. One’s body has to become infected in order for the immune system to respond. With all this lockdown and social distancing we’ll all still be sitting ducks for the virus. It’s not going to just fade away. This would imply that lockdowns and social distancing must continue indefinitely until a vaccine is found. Society simply can’t function in that state and the population will not stand for it.
 
  • Like
Reactions: iOS Geek
Crazy that people don’t believe in the above. If you don’t, think it is time for you to move to Russia or China, as you obviously don’t believe in what our founding fathers fought for. I served in the Military and fought for freedom of choice, religion, etc.... For those of you don’t agree with any of that, please leave.
You’re actually not in charge of who gets to stay here.
 
  • Like
Reactions: citysnaps
yeah and what about the workers who don’t have a choice? If the apple store is open and employees forced to come into work where is their “freedom”?

They are perfectly free to find other work. Apple cannot force them to come into work. It’s their choice, their job or their feeling of safety. They are free to remain in their homes and hope the government will feed them and pay their rent.
 
So how does the community develop ‘herd immunity’ if everyone is isolated from the virus for a long period of time. One’s body has to become infected in order for the immune system to respond. With all this lockdown and social distancing we’ll all still be sitting ducks for the virus. It’s not going to just fade away. This would imply that lockdowns and social distancing must continue indefinitely until a vaccine is found. Society simply can’t function in that state and the population will not stand for it.
There’s as of yet no evidence that herd immunity even works for this virus. (For example, how far does herd immunity get you with the common cold?)
 
Unless the virus automagically disappears, there will always be a “second wave”. I don’t know about you, but I learned immunology in medical school. Until enough people have immunity, someone somewhere will become infected and pass it on to other people. With that in mind, what purpose does it serve to keep everything shut down for another two, three, six, 12 months? Again, the concern was that this new virus was poorly understood. Expectations based on limited understanding but ample caution yielded the “flatten the curve” measures. These measures were only intended to slow the rate of infection in expectation that waves of critically ill individuals would inundate the hospitals. This has not been observed in most areas. Curiously, in nations with no special lockdowns (eg, Sweden), the trends closely match nations in lockdown. This should lead to questions about how effective lockdowns have been.

In my opinion, now that this virus is better understood, it would be better to cease isolation. Drawing this out until winter with a large uninflected population will be far worse. Data now shows that CV19 is infectious by nature of longer than average viability outside host and it is much less lethal than its cousins (SARS / MERS). Although fortunately this virus has a slow mutation rate for a retrovirus, the longer we give it a foothold, the more time it has to mutate. Holding out for a vaccine is foolish and frankly, given the very low mortality rate, unnecessary for most.
Surely the concern is the second wave then overwhelming the health care system. How do you ensure that doesn’t happen?
 
Surely the concern is the second wave then overwhelming the health care system. How do you ensure that doesn’t happen?
Good question. Data shows the vast majority of people are not at significant risk and would not contribute greatly to heathcare system burden. People that feel they are at risk should stay home. The current methodology is also not sustainable.
[automerge]1588113776[/automerge]
There’s as of yet no evidence that herd immunity even works for this virus. (For example, how far does herd immunity get you with the common cold?)
Again, common cold mutates quickly. CV19 does not.
[automerge]1588114000[/automerge]
No you’re not right. The science is pretty clear that social distancing reduces transmission you can pretend this is all made up if you want but that’s all you’re doing. Less contact equals less transmission, if you’re at home you can’t catch it.
Social distancing reduces the rate but the virus will still be present somewhere in your life. It might be on that banana you are eating or in the letter you just got in the mail or in the dirt your dog just licked on your face. Unless you live on a private island in complete isolation, the virus has a chance to infect.
 
Last edited:
Surely the concern is the second wave then overwhelming the health care system. How do you ensure that doesn’t happen?

Second wave is the panic the media is pushing as the numbers drop. It's the same with droughts. No matter how many years we have record rainfall, how full the reservoirs are, how many feet of snowpack we have, we are 'never out of the woods'. Living a fear based life is a miserable choice.
 
Again, common cold mutates quickly. CV19 does not.
[automerge]1588114000[/automerge]

We don’t know the mutation rate. And, in any event, for a given strain, common cold confers 6 months immunity vs. 2 years for a flu virus. We don’t know whether someone who has had CV19 has *any* immunity yet.
 
So how does the community develop ‘herd immunity’ if everyone is isolated from the virus for a long period of time. One’s body has to become infected in order for the immune system to respond. With all this lockdown and social distancing we’ll all still be sitting ducks for the virus. It’s not going to just fade away. This would imply that lockdowns and social distancing must continue indefinitely until a vaccine is found. Society simply can’t function in that state and the population will not stand for it.

There’s no evidence yet to say heard immunity is even possible with this thing. NZ have managed to eradicate the disease from their shores with a mega lockdown. Now with sealed borders and increased testing for the citizens allowed back in they can in theory effectively keep it that way and have a fairly normal lifestyle going forward.

Good question. Data shows the vast majority of people are not at significant risk and would not contribute greatly to heathcare system burden. People that feel they are at risk should stay home. The current methodology is also not sustainable.
[automerge]1588113776[/automerge]

Again, common cold mutates quickly. CV19 does not.
[automerge]1588114000[/automerge]

Social distancing reduces the rate but the virus will still be present somewhere in your life. It might be on that banana you are eating or in the letter you just got in the mail or in the dirt your dog just licked on your face. Unless you live on a private island in complete isolation, the virus has a chance to infect.

Nobody is claiming social distancing eliminates the risk so no idea why you felt the need to quote this at me.

Second wave is the panic the media is pushing as the numbers drop. It's the same with droughts. No matter how many years we have record rainfall, how full the reservoirs are, how many feet of snowpack we have, we are 'never out of the woods'. Living a fear based life is a miserable choice.

I think you will find the media are reporting what epidemiologists are saying about a second wave. Are you an epidemiologist that is countering the opinions of pretty much all your peers? If so I would love to read the paper you’ve presumably written on the subject.
 
I think you will find the media are reporting what epidemiologists are saying about a second wave. Are you an epidemiologist that is countering the opinions of pretty much all your peers? If so I would love to read the paper you’ve presumably written on the subject.
Ah, the appeal to authority approach? I prefer to rely on evidence and logic.

Anyways, as I said before, yes there will be a second wave. There always will be a second wave. I rather it occur during the summer (when the dry hot air and long days kill the virus) than pushing it back until winter (when people are even more trapped with nothing to do and nowhere to go and the cold air/ice will keep the virus nice and viable).
 
Last edited:
  • Like
Reactions: Rocko99991
Ah, the appeal to authority approach? I prefer to rely on evidence and logic.

Anyways, as I said before, yes there will be a second wave. There always will be a second wave. I rather it occur during the summer than pushing it back until winter.

So you’re saying epidemiologists don’t apply evidence or logic?
 
So you’re saying epidemiologists don’t apply evidence or logic?
What are you trying to argue? I am not disagreeing that there will be a second wave. Stretch this out long enough and we’ll have a third wave if it mutates. Is it in regards to immunity? Studies seem to have reached a consensus that CV19 does not mutate quickly, ergo herd based immunity is possible.

As for “authority”, I am a doctor and have taught at both Harvard Medical School and Oxford but more about the brain and not so much the bugs.
 
Last edited:
We don’t know the mutation rate. And, in any event, for a given strain, common cold confers 6 months immunity vs. 2 years for a flu virus. We don’t know whether someone who has had CV19 has *any* immunity yet.

We do know about previous strains of corona viruses - immunity is real and it lasts as long as 2 years. Of course COVID-19 hasn’t yet been around long enough to definitively say now immunity behaves long term. But it’s not likely to be different from other known corona viruses.
 
  • Like
Reactions: Baymowe335
No you’re not right. The science is pretty clear that social distancing reduces transmission you can pretend this is all made up if you want but that’s all you’re doing. Less contact equals less transmission, if you’re at home you can’t catch it.
Can you think of a downside to always being indoors? I’m talking about the longer term...you can’t hide inside forever and there are negatives to that both medically and economically.

Further, you can’t calculate the impact of mandating staying home with any precision. It may have helped transmission 10% or 50% or 5% or 105%. It also had many downsides which could ultimately impact lives.

However, what we are discussing isn’t the short term distancing but if it makes sense to continue it over a longer term.

My contention was that you don’t get to claim credit for saving lives based on a fake model that predicted 2.2M deaths in America and you certainly don’t get to completely credit the estimated lives saved to quarantine alone.

Quarantines, particularly long ones, also have many negative effects, which are much harder to measure but are also very real.
[automerge]1588119405[/automerge]
The ridiculous death rate models, the panic induced by the media, the massive lock downs is what I assume he is referring to. The virus is real, just like the one that killed over 80,000 Americans a few years ago, the one we have a vaccine for.
Accurate assessment. The media has been incredibly bad for this entire process and now it’s that much harder to change sentiment because many have been brainwashed.
[automerge]1588119764[/automerge]
You do realize that being under those models is a good thing. That's the purpose of the lockdown, so it doesn't reach those numbers.

I question the people who don't believe science experts and health professionals.
Health professionals aren’t good modelers, evidentlybecause the 2.2M American deaths was INCREDIBLY STUPID and based on a linear application of early numbers.

Health professionals shouldn’t make policy either because they aren’t thinking big picture. All they think about is saving every life, which is fine and their job, but is not how anything works. If we wanted to save every life, we would never fly in planes or drive cars or take any risk for greater benefit.

I love and respect our health professionals, but they aren’t good at modeling and really no one is for this type of thing. WAY too many variables, so any modeling should be prefaced as a guess and not credible. We can’t base policy off modeling that I said from the beginning was garbage.

I manage a team that does modeling at a Fortune 10 company. We all said it was stupid from the start. We made a huge mistake publishing it.

So quarantine didn’t save 2.2M lives...don’t believe it. 2.2M Americans were NEVER going to die from this. That was either published for political or agenda driven reasons...not in the interest of protecting anyone.
 
Last edited:
  • Like
Reactions: OdT22
Register on MacRumors! This sidebar will go away, and you'll see fewer ads.