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Apple is on a trajectory to sell a record-breaking 240-250 million iPhones in the 2021 fiscal year, topping a previous record of 231 million iPhones sold in the 2015 fiscal year, according to Wedbush analyst Dan Ives.

iphone-12-pro-video-colors.jpg

"While the Street is forecasting roughly 220 million iPhone units for FY21, we believe based on this current trajectory and in a bull case Cupertino still has potential to sell north of 240 million units (~250 million could be in the cards - an eye popping figure) which would easily eclipse the previous Apple record of 231 million units sold in FY15," said Ives, in a research note shared with MacRumors today.

Ives estimates that 350 million iPhone users worldwide are currently "in the window of an upgrade opportunity," which he believes is "translating into an unprecedented supercycle upgrade cycle" for Apple this year.

If this forecast proves to be accurate, the iPhone 12 lineup could prove to be the most popular since the iPhone 6 and iPhone 6 Plus, which saw strong demand following their September 2014 launch due to their larger screen sizes. Samsung already offered multiple smartphones with screen sizes at or beyond the 5-inch mark at the time.

Article Link: Apple Forecasted to Sell Record-Breaking 240+ Million iPhones in 2021
 

im2fast4u

macrumors member
May 9, 2012
46
206
Is this a cause or an effect phenomena: every time Apple changes the form factor (shape) they get a super-cycle? or the other way round?
 
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Cosmosent

macrumors 68000
Apr 20, 2016
1,739
1,893
La Jolla, CA
Ives is an "AAPL Cheerleader" masquerading as a so-called Pro Stock Analyst, nothing more, nothing less.

CNBC should make him wear a Cheerleader "skirt" whenever he comes on their show.

BTW, Ives has been saying it's gonna be a Supercycle for years now !
 
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Manzanito

macrumors 6502a
Apr 9, 2010
644
888
Thought I read somewhere that Samsung was losing a bit of market share to iPhone.
Could be, but not necessarily. As stated in the article, lots of current iphone owners are upgrading this year, those won’t change the market share. Of course people will switch from ios to android and vice versa, so we’ll see.
 
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GrumpyMom

macrumors G3
Sep 11, 2014
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Get your passport ready folks!. Get ready to pre-order this September. 5 months to ago...
I will upgrade my Mini if the battery is getting a significant boost. I’m really loving it on hikes now that the weather is good. I even got some really nice photos from it. It’s just about perfect and lasts me through a typical winter day so far, but who doesn’t appreciate a bit extra battery capacity. The little phone is going to get more of a workout as I get out there biking and hiking.

I’m not using the ultra wide angle lens on my 12 Pro Max enough to justify an upgrade if that’s the only significant change on the Pro series. I honestly use my Samsung S21 Ultra more for photos because it can do macros and has a crazy zoom capability and Android is pretty good on it. I’m definitely keeping my eye on the rumors and may just hold out for the “periscope zoom” on next year’s model.
 
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IIGS User

macrumors 6502
Feb 24, 2019
429
1,042
The 12/12Pro is an excellent product that combined a significant positive change in form factor with an upgrade in capabilities. No wonder it's a big seller.

Add in all the extra money some people have sitting around the house, no commuting, eating in, getting free money from the government, and it's gotta go SOMEWHERE.

I'm one of those people who got 3 checks from the government the past year, kept my job, got a half decent raise (due to longevity increases build into a CBA), and worked a nice chunk of OT that wouldn't have been there not for 'Rona.

I got the 'Rona, didn't really get sick (I got sick to my stomach when I saw the positive test the morning I woke up, but otherwise I was fine) but my time off was paid. My wife missed a few days pay due to procedural that came about due to her work status, but other than that, we faired pretty well.

I've been fully vaccinated since March. She got her second shot last Saturday. Had Pfizer arm for about 2 days (I got Moderna and had almost no side effects).

BTW, when the 5G UW works (down the beach, and in certain parts of the city) it's blazing fast. The DE and MD beaches have widespread 5G UW coverage now...
 
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AmazeSE

macrumors member
Oct 30, 2017
74
292
I will upgrade my Mini if the battery is getting a significant boost. I’m really loving it on hikes now that the weather is good. I even got some really nice photos from it. It’s just about perfect and lasts me through a typical winter day so far, but who doesn’t appreciate a bit extra battery capacity. The little phone is going to get more of a workout as I get out there biking and hiking.

I’m not using the ultra wide angle lens on my 12 Pro Max enough to justify an upgrade if that’s the only significant change on the Pro series. I honestly use my Samsung S21 Ultra more for photos because it can do macros and has a crazy zoom capability and Android is pretty good on it. I’m definitely keeping my eye on the rumors and may just hold out for the “periscope zoom” on next year’s model.
How much phones do you have? 😮
 
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I7guy

macrumors Penryn
Nov 30, 2013
25,624
13,778
Gotta be in it to win it
Ives is an "AAPL Cheerleader" masquerading as a so-called Pro Stock Analyst, nothing more, nothing less.

CNBC should make him wear a Cheerleader "skirt" whenever he comes on their show.

BTW, Ives has been saying it's gonna be a Supercycle for years now !
Not sure what is being said...
- The analyst is an apple cheerleader masquerading as a stock analyst?
- The analyst doesn't know what he is talking about and therefore the estimate is not credible?
- You actually can't believe then record breaking number of iphones and therefore are seeking to discredit the report?
- Apple is not failing by any measure and it's grating on people who believe Apple needs to be knocked down a peg or two?
 
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Aeronauts

macrumors 6502
Feb 5, 2021
296
403
Not sure what is being said...
- The analyst is an apple cheerleader masquerading as a stock analyst?
- The analyst doesn't know what he is talking about and therefore the estimate is not credible?
- You actually can't believe then record breaking number of iphones and therefore are seeking to discredit the report?
- Apple is not failing by any measure and it's grating on people who believe Apple needs to be knocked down a peg or two?
Dan Ives is well known for over valuing stocks with bullish projections compared to the consensus amongst other analysts.
 
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Aeronauts

macrumors 6502
Feb 5, 2021
296
403
I don't following him, but the question I would ask (and I'm not asking for a answer from this forum) is what are his forecasts vs actuals like in past years?
According to TipRanks his success rate was 69% between Feb 2020 and Feb 2021 which sounds high but bear in mind he is focused on tech stocks and they have boomed in the past year due to the pandemic. Whether that will continue is not certain. Many commentators are predicting a crash as they see a tech stocks bubble with over inflated valuations on stocks with little or no history of making a profit.
 
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sdreamer07

macrumors member
Sep 10, 2018
31
104
Too bad, only 5% of that is the iPhone 12 Mini. I guess selling 13 million devices (i.e. 5%) is such a failure when so many other devices barely reach that volume.
 
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