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Real scenario, too. But i always try imagine a worst case. When you goes for a long time, firstly you think about to eliminate the risks

Good luck eliminating risk when investing in equities!

It's not a bad mental exercise to imagine worst-case scenarios, especially when you're seeing what looks like too many overly enthusiastic blue-sky scenarios. The difficult part is knowing which prognostication is actionable.
 
Good luck eliminating risk when investing in equities!

It's not a bad mental exercise to imagine worst-case scenarios, especially when you're seeing what looks like too many overly enthusiastic blue-sky scenarios. The difficult part is knowing which prognostication is actionable.

At the case with AAPL it's pretty hard to do. Too much depends on Mr. Jobs.
Tomorrow he reinvents hamburger, and stock will jump 20%. Or he could lose to Sisco and it'll go down 10%.
 
At the case with AAPL it's pretty hard to do. Too much depends on Mr. Jobs.
Tomorrow he reinvents hamburger, and stock will jump 20%. Or he could lose to Sisco and it'll go down 10%.

So I have remarked many times in the past. Apple needs to demonstrate that they've got leadership depth.

It's "Cisco" btw, unless you were referring to the food services company, in which case it's "Sysco." ;)
 
The name has not really changed! It is still "Apple" (as we all know them to be). This year is a huge time for them to expand thier products further and define the company name to reflect that they make more then great computers and the best OS. IMHO, where they are heading is a consumer electronics company with a "pro" division in each segment. This means great growth potential for Apple and ultimately us. An adjustment to the name is NOT GOING TO negatively affect anything!

Imagine if you will, "breakthrough" digital camera's, game players and an ultra cool, large flatscreen HD collabration with a company like Sony (with built in computing by Apple of course). Is this not where we share holders really want them to go? To me this is great news and Steve has my trust with his vision of Apple's future growth decisions. If it really hurts you, sell your stock!

"Think Alike... BE Different!"

I wasn't saying it was a bad thing and doesn't hurt me at all. I completely agree. All I'm saying is that when there is a big decision to be made that could potentially affect the value of the stock, shareholders should have some say.

Now, I agree with you that taking the Computer from the name isn't the biggest deal in the world, but it could affect some shareholders view of Apple and maybe they don't like the direction the company is going.

And again, this doesn't hurt me one bit. I actually like the direction they're going and to answer why a stock split would matter to me is because I, and presumably many others, would be able to buy more stock. That's usually one of the main reasons in splitting a stock.
 
Simmer....

The 100 calls went nuts yesterday, suggesting that the stock will break that level.

From my checks, AAPL will report monstrous Macbook and absolutely ridiculous iPod shipments - but the stock has come so far in such a short time, I would almost expect a sell-the-news reaction.

Thanks to the iPhone though, there is a floor under the share price at least.

Should be a wild ride starting at 430....
 
That would be the typical pattern, unless they beat consensus EPS by 10% or better (meaning, they report earnings north of $0.85/share). Guidance for Q2 will also have an impact, probably.

Guidance for Q2 worries me. With only the AppleTV and no other announced new revenue stream (Leopard, iLife), Apple will likely offer their typical low estimate.
 
Guidance for Q2 worries me. With only the AppleTV and no other announced new revenue stream (Leopard, iLife), Apple will likely offer their typical low estimate.

The company setting low targets that can easily be exceeded is part of the game. Looking between the lines is the part of the game played by the analysts.

Isn't Leopard scheduled for release in Q2? During these conference calls, Apple also typically alludes to other "great products" in the pipeline, while refusing to offer specifics.
 
Nice!!

PR Newswire 4:30 pm January 17, 2007

Apple(R) today announced financial results for its fiscal 2007 first quarter ended December 30, 2006. The Company posted record revenue of $7.1 billion and record net quarterly profit of $1.0 billion, or $1.14 per diluted share. These results compare to revenue of $5.7 billion and net quarterly profit of $565 million, or $.65 per diluted share, in the year-ago quarter. Gross margin was 31.2 percent, up from 27.2 percent in the year-ago quarter. International sales accounted for 42 percent of the quarter's revenue.

Apple shipped 1,606,000 Macintosh(R) computers and 21,066,000 iPods during the quarter, representing 28 percent growth in Macs and 50 percent growth in iPods over the year-ago quarter.

"We are incredibly pleased to report record quarterly revenue of over $7 billion and record earnings of $1 billion," said Steve Jobs, Apple's CEO. "We've just kicked off what is going to be a very strong new product year for Apple by launching Apple TV and the revolutionary iPhone."

"We generated over $1.75 billion in cash during the quarter to end with $11.9 billion," said Peter Oppenheimer, Apple's CFO. "Looking ahead to the second fiscal quarter of 2007, we expect revenue of $4.8 to $4.9 billion and earnings per diluted share of $.54 to $.56."

Apple will provide live streaming of its Q1 2007 financial results conference call utilizing QuickTime(R), Apple's standards-based technology for live and on-demand audio and video streaming. The live webcast will begin at 2:00 p.m. PST on Wednesday, January 17, 2007 at www.apple.com/quicktime/qtv/earningsq107/ and will also be available for replay. The QuickTime player is available free for Macintosh and Windows users at www.apple.com/quicktime.
 
Any predictions on how many iPods were sold last quarter?

I am guessing 21 million.

One of the rare occasions when I guessed right.:D

The AppleTV is the number #1 pre-order seller on the Apple Store.
 
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