Yeah, I think they can for a while.
You call this "hyping it so much?" The TV commercials haven't even started yet.
No. It only has to meet Apple's sales expectations. You're hedging now, so that if it's a modest success, or a solid success, you can say "See, I was right! It's not the biggest selling product of all time, so it's really a failure."
Nothing will squash the "Apple can't innovate without Steve" talk. Apple could become the biggest company in the world (as it did), and people would say it's not enough. Steve Jobs could rise from the grave and there'd be people saying he wasn't as good as the old Steve. You may take that talk seriously, but I don't take you seriously when you do. There was the same kind of talk about Steve himself when he was fully in charge. If you're hoping for something to squash the naysayers, you're not going to have a happy life.
Oh, I fully expect the hype to build. No doubt. But you're wrong about it only needing to meet Apple's sales expectations. On some level, sure, but in reality it needs to meet the market expectations too. While that might be totally unfair (ridiculous even), if the watch doesn't sell well, it will be egg all over Apple's face. I'm sure they'll still sell a lot of iPhones, but the public perception of the company as an innovator will be harmed.
And please don't put words in my mouth. First, I have no personal stake in whether it sells well or not. As an investor, I'm concerned that it isn't going to be a big success and that will negatively effect my investment. I'm also going to hazard a guess here that I've supported Apple a lot longer than most of the people here and have spent a lot more money on their products. I've earned my living for decades using Apple products. I have build custom apps for Apple products. I have converted several businesses to Apple products. I have no interest in gloating over a product failure. But I'm also allowed to believe that Apple is about to release their first flop since the return of Steve. I'll be happy to be proved wrong.
As for Apple can't innovate without Steve...one blockbuster product without Steve's fingerprints all over it would most certainly stop that talk. They've already positioned Apple Watch as that product, making a big deal over how it was developed after he died, he knew nothing about it, etc. They're trying to change the narrative. So, obviously, if you don't take me seriously for making the point, you must not take Tim or Jony seriously either.
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If you are going to demean people by telling them to work on their "reading comprehension," then you should know what an "ad hominem attack" is. Yes, telling someone they have poor reading comprension is a knock on their intelligence. (Not to worry, I was not insulted given the source, and understand it comes from the person making the attack not having any facts to support his/her own point.). But, just so you know, by definition it was an ad hominem attack.
And yes, Apple will give financial guidance tomorrow as always, not on the product (it's not categorized independently anyway) but overall revenue. From there one only needs to do a little match to figure out an approximate % of what Apple attributes to the Apple Watch.
Anyway, you still never answered my original question after all this. Do you have one?
I have an English degree from an Ivy League. I don't need you to define words for me, thank you.
You wrote:
"Not sure what one has to do with the other. Or are you saying because YOU don't "get it," it's ill fated launch is already written?"
Is that the question you so badly want answered? Like I said, BRUSH UP ON YOUR READING COMPREHENSION. Nowhere did I say that MY personal opinion is somehow the deciding factor in whether or not the watch sells well.
Do I really need to spell this out for you? I guess so.
I said I'd been a customer for 32 years. I said this is the first product I don't understand and that I don't believe it will sell well. I did NOT say that the REASON it won't sell well is because *I* don't understand it.
GET IT???