As a platform, Android will be the winner due to Google's ability to drive network effects. Clearly, the number of manufacturers making devices for Android far exceeds the what Apple can dream to achieve.
More devices and choices will in turn encourage consumers and businesses to adopt Android thereby kicking network effects into gear. Of course, the developers making apps are a key as well.
This reminds me of the Windows vs. Mac OS battle in the 80's/90's. It's likely to play out in a similar fashion.
Apple's end-to-end approach might once again leave them behind in term of adoption and market share despite a far superior user experience.
Same here. If anyone I know is using an android they are hiding it. Almost everyone uses RIM and a smaller percentage use Apple, that I know.
As it happens, I hadn't noticed anyone with an Android phone until yesterday. A work colleague just got one (she walked into the store expecting to get an iPhone I think, but that's sales people for ya!) Anyway, she is pretty happy with it and was showing it off. We were comparing notes, you know… 'Oh, my phone does this…', 'Yeah, so does mine…', and that's pretty much how it went. Conclusion: They're both amazing devices. Pick one. Enjoy it.
As for me, well I'm waiting for iPhone 5. 🙂
iPhone users have more sex. That's all that matters.
I Love to hear how the RDF at Apple and Fanbois here spin this.
If Steve really cares about his new "baby" the iPhone 4 as he said at WWDC X then Apple will Open the iPhone up to Verizon or Sprint (Both use CDMA) and t-Mobile.
Im an Apple fan, but if Apple cares about competing for Share in the Mobile Space, they'll need more carriers.
Fans who like to look at large marketshare numbers?What do they win?
more like their crazy app store policies. with android market share growing a lot of devs are already releasing on android first or releasing new features of apps on android first.
Android is clearly the winner here as far as marketshare, but apple is king when profits are concerned.
Figure the number a few years from now. Nokia continues to lose share, its MeeGo OS is going to be a failure in the smartphone arena. BB will continue to have corporate customers, but will continue to lose the consumer market. Andoid (with dozens of vendors) will continue to rise. Apple will diversify to different carriers, but will stagnate in the overall marketshare arena.
Is this a problem? Probably not. Apple makes money on every stage of the game... hardware, wireless / data revenue, iTunes, App Store, licensing "made for iPhone", accessories, iAds, etc. Google currently gives its OS away... in the future they may charge for it, but even then it is a once only sale. Sure, they make money in search and ads, but they have nowhere near the revenue stream of the iPhone ecosystem.
So apple has a future of 15-20% of the market. Great. They will continue to make money hand over fist, continue to please their shareholders, and continue to innovate and bring new products to market. Google will do great, but they will not make anywhere near the revenue from Android that apple will.
MS hopefully will make some headway with WM7... I'd hate to only have 2 viable OS choices in the mobile platform.
Right.. The locked down ecosystem with draconian App Store policies is what will spell the ultimate demise of iPhone. Or perhaps if "demise" is too strong of a word - relegation to niche status.
62 silver dollars...What do they win?
Exactly what I think of when I read comparisons like this. of COURSE Symbian and Android have more market share, there are MANy different manufacturers who make hardware, and use that OS. A more fair comparison would be Apple/iOS to RIM/Blackberry or any other manufacturer who only makes 1 set of hardware to run their OS.Well, it would make sense that Android will capture a larger market share given the sheer number of manufacturers making devices.
However, I have yet to meet a single person who uses an Android based handset. Not that *my* social circle counts for anything, but the smartphones that I personally see in people's hands are either RIM or Apple devices... so far.
My department here at work is about 75% Android users. We have 3 iPhone users (I just switched to Android) and the of the 3 iPhones 2 are switching to Androids in the next week or two. Company wide its a good mix of iPhone and Blackberry but with Android 2.2 released and our company supporting Android now the demand has sky rocketed.
We have a few people at our place using Android - but most have an iPhone. Don't see what people like about the Android platform. Seems very clunky in comparison.