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Good time to buy if you follow the age old advice of "Buy low, sell high". Look how much analysts opinion has power. Those silly lemmings... I am planning on buying at least three Apple products in the next 90 days: upgrading my iPhone, getting my son a new iPod Touch, and most likely the new MBP in October. Besides, Apple is not a discount gadget maker. They make sexy devices that people stand in line for days no matter what the price.
 
Odd, isn't it?

The company which is doing disproportionally well in the real world is doing disproportionally badly on Wall St.

If Apple's sales this quarter turn out as rosy as originally predicted, how will the market react? Indifference? Continue to slide, just because.. ?

SJ hinted at market manipulation in a recent interview (or as well as he could without getting into trouble for making accusations without evidence).

The last economic downturn (2000) saw Apple aggressively invest and innovate in portable technologies, particularly with their Notebooks. It is a golden opportunity while competition is cutting back and laying off jobs.

I expect them to do exactly the same this time round, considering how richly it paid off for them last time round.
 
Apple's fall is the market's fall, nothing else.

The U.S. financial system is a joke, and only now countries around the world are realizing it, given the U.S. gigantic deficit financed through other countries and the fact that trust in the dollar is gonna vaporize in a not so far future...so yep, you may expect a lot more tumbles to come unless Apple almost completely shifts its sales to foreign markets; this is just the beginning.

Thanks for the input on OUR financial system
 
Does any note the irony of a company in serious financial failure downgrading a company in the strongest financial position in it's history.

How can Morgan Stanley who had a 42% drop in shares just this month requiring a massive bail-out seriously downgrade Apple, and people take these downgrade seriously?

If anyone in the US needs to see why their share-market is a little screwy. This is hilarious. If I had Apple shares and Morgan Stanley came out with that statement, I'd be buying Apple stock.
 
PC OEMs need to sell the latest, greatest parts for the smallest margins possible because they have no other way of differentiating themselves. Apple has other ways of differentiating themselves (with the notable exception of Sony, who can sell their VAIO range at a premium thanks to their industrial design expertise).

You do realise that regardless of the economic downturn, Apple will ship more Macs this year than any other year in their 32 year history? You do also realise that for every $3 spent on Laptops in the US, $1 went to Apple?. This fact is on the MacRumors front page.

So it doesn't matter whether you think “most of the public” won't buy Macs or Apple is “not with the program”, because your opinions are so frightfully out of touch with reality it is alarming.




Yes, you're correct. Many PC OEM's need to sell the latest and greatest as low as possible.

Yes, you're correct, Apple will probably ship more Macs this year than ever before.

First of all, I never said Apple wasn't doing great. I think they are, and they can do better. Unlike people such as yourself, I am able to recognize where a company could also be doing better.

I'm not suggesting Apple cut their prices to match Dell's margins.

You do realize that the cost for computer parts are falling? Apple has the ability to lower the price and maintain high margins, and attract others to the brand. (maybe even drop margins a bit more to bring over as many as possible?)

You do realize that I'm not the only one who sees these downfalls? I know many on this board constantly speak bad about analysts and what they say, but you do realize that many of the times they are correct? Apple doesn't have to give up their business strategy and pricing to gain a much larger market share. They do need to stop with the events over-hyping everything. My interest in Apple doesn't go back 32 years or however long, but I am smart enough to realize that Apple has some qualities that could be improved on.

As I said in my post, I think this downgrading could've been prevented if Apple would've released the laptops earlier. But then again, as you said I don't make those decisions. You're right. I'm sure stockholders are very happy with whoever is doing that job and how the downgrading occurred on the same day as another huge loss.


--Edit--
I know I'm getting off topic and apologize. I'm just trying to say I understand why they are downgrading. Not that I want it or am asking for it...I just can't argue with it and am suprised that people speak badly of these guys when they are proabably correct. That is all.
 
Thanks for the input on OUR financial system

Elaborate? BRlawyer is correct in what he's said. Foreign people can and do understand markets abroad; that comment is entirely baseless.

Other countries most likely shouldn't have exposed themselves so heavily to the US, and the fault there lies with those countries. But the problems did begin in the US. There's no need to be defensive about it, however.

While wikipedia wouldn't be top of the list for quotations, it does explain how this came about in simple terms


The downturn in the U.S. housing market, risky lending and borrowing practices, and excessive individual and corporate debt levels have caused multiple adverse effects on the world economy. The crisis has passed through various stages, exposing pervasive weaknesses in the global financial system and regulatory framework.

It started in the US, and carried on abroad, ostensibly.
 
um newbie or not....he has a point

Newbies make me lol. :p

steve jobs is a *bleep* and um notebooks need to be upgraded they are behind. please steve...i can get a 1600 buck notebook to waste you mbp...but i want a mbp so hurry up and upgrade allready
 
Does any note the irony of a company in serious financial failure downgrading a company in the strongest financial position in it's history.

How can Morgan Stanley who had a 42% drop in shares just this month requiring a massive bail-out seriously downgrade Apple, and people take these downgrade seriously?

If anyone in the US needs to see why their share-market is a little screwy. This is hilarious. If I had Apple shares and Morgan Stanley came out with that statement, I'd be buying Apple stock.

MoStan was hoping they could help themselves to discounted servings of APPL pie.
 
Suppose AAPL stock drops down to zero. Does that mean that all iPods that everyone has will suddenly go POOF and turn into pumpkins, just like in the Cinderella story?
 
The entire market is tanking today, that should be considered when viewing this large dive for AAPL.

MSFT, CSCO, IBM off in the 4-8% range

AAPL off around 20%

GOOG off around 33%

Maybe it is just the market correcting the pricing of over priced/hyped stocks. During times like this people tend to look harder into the stocks to find value. Not suggesting in any way that Apple itself is performing badly but the stock market goes all giddy over them and the stock skyrockets, now the market is realizing that they kinda sorta over did it a bit. Same goes for Google.

One of the issues being sites in some of the reports I did see was Apple's lack of products in the sub $1000 computer market. People aren't going to go and buy luxury goods at times like now unlike when the economy is booming and money is flowing easily.

If money is tight and you have to get a new computer, Apple is not a small outlay of cash, especially in a market where the computer you buy today was technically obsolete yesterday. People will lean more towards the lower cost products now and look to replace them in two years or so when things are (hopefully) much better.

Dollars and (common) sense (cents) will rule for a while, Johnny can wait a while to get a new iPod and make better use of the features, ie he doesnt need 15,000 songs with him every moment of the day when 7,000 is more than enough of a selection. Susie can keep using the lapto we got her last year for school work and just be more patient of some programs loading slow. As for Billy, we have to get a pc at home for his school work but we will need to keep the cost down for now.

Apple will still produce great products and desirable ones too, the question will be whether or not people are willing to open up their wallets. Sony is in the same boat when it comes to their laptop line, very little in the lowend price ranges and most of the products above $1000.
 
Is it just me or has Apple been affected the worst out of the other OEM's?

Dell down 8%
HP down 5%
Apple down 18% and counting.
 
Why do you some of you take it so personally when an analyst thinks negatively of Apple's future? Tthe immediate knee-jerk reaction is to dimiss their work as ludicrous because their employer isn't doing well? I'd rather take the advice of an experienced analysts than a bunch of fanatic shareholders.

There are several variables to consider here:

1.) Apple having to lower their prices to stay competitive has many estimating lower profits.

2.) No new blockbuster products that will compel consumers to shop during a downturn

3.) Apple is considered a boutique computer retailer. Pricey retailers are all taking a hit. People will be less inclined to spend the extra on comparative products

4.) Apple is doing well now but their guidance coupled with troubled economy doesn't spell optimism for the future
 
MSFT, CSCO, IBM off in the 4-8% range

AAPL off around 20%

GOOG off around 33%

Maybe it is just the market correcting the pricing of over priced/hyped stocks. During times like this people tend to look harder into the stocks to find value. Not suggesting in any way that Apple itself is performing badly but the stock market goes all giddy over them and the stock skyrockets, now the market is realizing that they kinda sorta over did it a bit. Same goes for Google.

One of the issues being sites in some of the reports I did see was Apple's lack of products in the sub $1000 computer market. People aren't going to go and buy luxury goods at times like now unlike when the economy is booming and money is flowing easily.

If money is tight and you have to get a new computer, Apple is not a small outlay of cash, especially in a market where the computer you buy today was technically obsolete yesterday. People will lean more towards the lower cost products now and look to replace them in two years or so when things are (hopefully) much better.

Dollars and (common) sense (cents) will rule for a while, Johnny can wait a while to get a new iPod and make better use of the features, ie he doesnt need 15,000 songs with him every moment of the day when 7,000 is more than enough of a selection. Susie can keep using the lapto we got her last year for school work and just be more patient of some programs loading slow. As for Billy, we have to get a pc at home for his school work but we will need to keep the cost down for now.

Apple will still produce great products and desirable ones too, the question will be whether or not people are willing to open up their wallets. Sony is in the same boat when it comes to their laptop line, very little in the lowend price ranges and most of the products above $1000.

Interesting post; is it possible, though, given Apple's customer demographic and product pricing, that it'll suffer less because many of its customers are fairly affluent?

As an analogy, you'll find the Bentley and Princess dealerships have barely registered a credit crisis, because their target market are affluent enough that it won't affect them. Obviously, that's an extreme, but you get the idea - a percentage of Apple' customers won't be affected, or will be affected much less than other companies putting out lower priced alternatives. Of course, the higher price - and lower number of units sold - could offset any potential benefit.

Just a thought?
 
I think it is a pretty good reduction based on my personal opinion of apple's year.

With the massive bugs, problems with the iPhone, quality of products and the lackluster release "events".

If they can get their products back up to the quality standards their customers expect, they may do better.


Not to mention price the MBP's even slightly within range of its hardware.
 
The DOW is currently down 6%. NASDAQ and S&P are down 8%. AAPL is down over 15%. So AAPL is still having a disproportionately bad day.

Since this is a liquidity crisis, what happens is investors are forced to sell their strong holdings (AAPL has kept most of its value), to cover margin calls on stocks that have lost most of thir value.

Accumulate AAPL. Buy 50-100% more puts than stock you have.

Rocketman
 
I too was unhappy with what I saw today (in my portfolio), but I decided to pick up a few more in the $106 range, Apple isn't going away anytime soon. I chose to keep the faith, Apple will be getting a few more grand out of me before Christmas. ;)

BTW, I have NEVER sold an AAPL, I buy in long... :cool: :apple:
 
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