The idea is that people that are already on contract could also benefit from extending their contract longer. You don't seem to understand that the iphone isn't just and apple product. Decisions by apple are dependent on the phone companies as well. Name me one other apple product dependent on another company's choices, more than the iphone. If any benefits are given to early iphone owners, who wish to upgrade, it will likely be out of At&t's pocket.
The iPhone is solely an Apple product, that's why I don't seem to understand that it isn't. Apple sells them to AT&T and gets a cut of the contract in addition. End of story. Original iPhone owners who want a new phone will have to do what any other AT&T customer has to do to get a new phone. You don't seem to understand that AT&T is in the business of making money. Any way they can nickel and dime you they will. If they can sell you a phone at $400 they will until they can't push them anymore.
Yes the iphone is selling well. But it is still losing. The iphone is supposed to sell 10 million units in America in 2008. It has only sold 1/5 of that. It is still in high demand, however it would be higher at a lower price point. You may have 400 bucks (or more) to get an iphone, but average consumers don't. The iphone can sell 3 times as much as its selling now, if the price is lowered.
Understand that that is Apple's stated goal,
not AT&Ts. AT&T doesn't care how many are sold in a year, as long as they're moving the stock. Considering that the first shipment is rumored to be 3 million units they will surely sell them all out, even at $400 eachregardless of Apple's goal.
Average consumers just got a $600 check they didn't count on. Some people will hoard itmost actuallywhile some will spend it. I probably could afford it without the checknot that I'm making gobs of money after finishing college, buying a house, getting married, and keeping up with my car payment and bills.
There are people still willing to spend that money and I reiterate that it would be
stupid for AT&T to subsidize the phone and lose out on that money until that money stops coming in. I'm not saying it won't happen, I'm saying that it's a dumb business move. I think you're not listening to this point.
Right now the iphone is being beaten by blackberry (you can quote me on that.) I know a lot of people who just bought blackberry's cause they could get them so much cheaper than an iphone, and couldn't make sense of paying a few hundred more since they already had ipods. Apple branding and great features make for an automatic top selling product. Those two things alongside a very reasonable price result in a product that owns the market.
Again, this is an AT&T call. It makes no difference to them as long as both are selling. I'm sure they're rather sell the iPhone over the Blackberry though, as they're not paying that extra subsidy. The iPhone is perfect for cell companies actually. There's no subsidy but there's still a contract lock-in, plus you're required to keep the data-plan.
You did hit one thing straight on the head, though. Apple products make for a top selling product. You only left out that they also command a high price, that people are willing to pay. The only reason they need to drop the price is when the iPhone ceases to sell or the stock is too high and selling at a low rate. Then they might wish to branch out to target the lower demographic.
Also, understand that AT&T subsidizing the iphone is a minimal loss, that enables them to make tons more money in the future. The monthly plans are huge moneymakers for the cell companies. The iphone very well may be selling "enough" units. AT&T and Apple are not interested in the iphone just selling "enough." They want the iphone to hijack individuals from all of their other carriers to jump on the the opportunity to have the newest coolest gadget. AT&T would be more than interesting in subsidizing the iphone, in order to move more people to AT&T.
The monthly plans are huge moneymakers. This is true as it's their primary source of income. As far as contracts go, I'm sure if someone conducted a study they'd find that people generally stick with their carriers even when out of contract. It's familiar and people like to stick with familiarity. Besides, it's a pain in the ass to deal with switching over to another company, even with number portability. I've been with AT&T for about ten years and I've only had four phones thus far. I know people exist that change carriers, but I don't think it's as big of a problem as these cell phone companies think.
If you can make money without spending money, you should take that route until it stops being feasible. Otherwise, you made a stupid decision. Now, for Apple, that makes sense because their goal is not only to sell units, but to also have the most popular unit. They're competing against other phone manufacturers. AT&T is competing against other telecoms. If you want a Blackberry you can get it from AT&T, if you want an iPhone you can get it from AT&T. To them it doesn't matter. They need to only worry about their phone plans.
The only way I can see AT&T subsidizing the iPhone is if Apple pressures them to do it. That might happen. And AT&T might refuse.