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gpat

macrumors 68000
Mar 1, 2011
1,872
5,049
Italy
TSMC is self sabotaging themself with their insane new wafer prices, even Apple is reducing their order sizes (the company with the largest product margins ever).

Intel Macs used to be $300 for the CPU alone and TSMC is probably still cheaper at this point.
But yeah, they are almost monopolists for their market segment, so we can expect prices to rise.
 
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TheNewLou

macrumors regular
May 24, 2016
113
185
The report suggests TSMC's 3nm process output may be reduced to 50,000-60,000 wafers monthly in the fourth quarter, down from the 80,000-100,000 units previously anticipated, due to a cutback in Apple's orders
Is this because non-Pro iPhones now feature last-generation chips?
 

anakin44011

macrumors regular
Jan 6, 2004
211
788
Alternatively Intel must be thinking to themselves that TSMC are such an unreliable manufacturer. TSMC failed to deliver on their promises for 3nm both in terms of time and quality.
So true...especially when all those other chip foundries have been just killing it in the 3nm space. :rolleyes:

Making these things (at enormous scale, no less) is about as close to magic as you'll find outside the team of nerds trying to make nuclear fusion work. They are spending $15-$25 billion for each new foundry...all based on the premise that the extremely advanced chip designs and the one-of-a-kind equipment will work as planned.

If it were easy...China would be doing it.
 

lkrupp

macrumors 68000
Jul 24, 2004
1,896
3,923
Intel Macs used to be $300 for the CPU alone and TSMC is probably still cheaper at this point.
But yeah, they are almost monopolists for their market segment, so we can expect prices to rise.
Just stop with the 'monopolist' drivel. You don't know what the word even means.
 

blazerunner

macrumors 65816
Nov 16, 2020
1,032
3,694
Apple's done this before when Samsung made Apple's market monopoly possible with MP3 players when they swallowed up nearly all NAND memory for their iPods.

Greed is celebrated from Apple supporters, it's evident even in THIS THREAD RIGHT NOW.
 
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mdriftmeyer

macrumors 68040
Feb 2, 2004
3,812
1,988
Pacific Northwest
There won't be 0nm. The last posible node will be 1nm as that is the size of the atom. Unfortunately 3nm node isn't actually 3nm in size so it will be decades until we get true forms of it

First of all the process isn't even 3nm. That's the size of the FinFET. And with post silicon designs will be discussion picometer designs. Of course those will be in the hundreds of picometer in size. For example, 999 pm, not to be confused withy evening time. Or we'll continue to see .999nm, all the way .990nm over the course of a few decades. After all, we'll soon be dealing with 3D stacked designs.
 

gpat

macrumors 68000
Mar 1, 2011
1,872
5,049
Italy
Just stop with the 'monopolist' drivel. You don't know what the word even means.

Chances are that you browse MacRumors from a TSMC-powered device, and have no option for seeking an equivalent without TSMC.
That sums up pretty clearly the meaning of "monopolist".
 

Someyoungguy

macrumors 6502a
Oct 28, 2012
537
931
The new marketing term will be picometers. The challenge for the marketing team will be what number to add in front of "pm". Too small a number will make it sound like a clock time. Too big a number and people will think there is a backwards step.

After all, if you're at "3nm", who wants to go back to, say, "100pm" when "3nm" is clearly smaller than "100pm", eh?
I think the intersection of people who care about the process node of their phone chips, and the people who cannot distinguish pico-meters from nanometers, will be vanishingly small.
 

Someyoungguy

macrumors 6502a
Oct 28, 2012
537
931
Apple's done this before when Samsung made Apple's market monopoly possible with MP3 players when they swallowed up nearly all NAND memory for their iPods.

Greed is celebrated from Apple supporters, it's evident even in THIS THREAD RIGHT NOW.

That’s not what this story says. It did not say Apple is consuming all the capacity for 3nm chips. In fact, Apple’s order is actually reduced. It’s actually a confusingly written article that plays chicken and egg with orders and capacity, but I read it as Intel and apple both reducing orders and therefore output and capacity will be reduced with the new process on the horizon.
 
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Useless Touchbar

macrumors regular
Jan 25, 2020
216
405
Intel Macs used to be $300 for the CPU alone and TSMC is probably still cheaper at this point.
But yeah, they are almost monopolists for their market segment, so we can expect prices to rise.
This whole market is made out of monopolies.

ASML - monopoly
TSMC - near monopoly

And now Apple has monopoly on TSMC 3nm chips
 
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GuruZac

macrumors 68040
Sep 9, 2015
3,601
11,492
⛰️🏕️🏔️
It would seem odd for consumers to celebrate monopolies.
Is Apple buying up all 3nm to prevent other companies from utilizing those chips, or is Apple buying up all 3nm chips because they truly see the demand for their own products? As far as I was aware I didn't think any of the other brands had need for 3nm this year. I could be wrong.
 

blazerunner

macrumors 65816
Nov 16, 2020
1,032
3,694
Is Apple buying up all 3nm to prevent other companies from utilizing those chips, or is Apple buying up all 3nm chips because they truly see the demand for their own products? As far as I was aware I didn't think any of the other brands had need for 3nm this year. I could be wrong.
It's a monopoly regardless of their needs. The real loser here is YOU, the consumer. Stop excusing the lack of competition and choice, we're not in a communist state.
 

deconstruct60

macrumors G5
Mar 10, 2009
12,309
3,902
Apple really said I’ll take your entire stock 💀

Did you even read the lead article summary of the thread ????

" ... The report suggests TSMC's 3nm process output may be reduced to 50,000-60,000 wafers monthly in the fourth quarter, down from the 80,000-100,000 units previously anticipated, due to a cutback in Apple's orders. The current monthly output of TSMC's 3nm process is estimated at approximately 65,000 wafers, the outlet's sources said ..."

There is a 30-40K wafer capacity gap that is just laying fallow ( or more likely just isn't applied to N3B . Which is what Apple is likely buying). Apple isn't buy 'everything' , they are just the only buyer. There is really a big difference between those two states. TSMC has capacity if someone else wanted to buy; just about everybody is skipping N3B. That the more concrete issue here. Not Apple capacity hoarding.

Many indications out there that there is far more widespread demand for N3E and that the wafer starts for N3E by other folks will rise pretty fast in 2023... the wafers largely just won't finish coming out of the multiple month processing and recognize revenue for TSMC in a significant amount until 2024 as started.
 

NT1440

macrumors G5
May 18, 2008
14,708
21,308
This whole market is made out of monopolies.

ASML - monopoly
TSMC - near monopoly

And now Apple has monopoly on TSMC 3nm chips
Apple has had an order on N3 for well over a year, other OEMs have pulled their orders to wait for N3E as the first N3 variant isn’t going to exist anymore next year.

That’s not a monopoly.
 
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deconstruct60

macrumors G5
Mar 10, 2009
12,309
3,902
Man, TSMC must be thinking to themselves that Intel are such an unreliable customer. This is not the first time they've cancelled an order with TSMC.

Errr, this is basically the same story being regurgitated ... Intel hasn't really cancelled anything recently on N3. It is just that the impacts of the earlier cancellations are just more visible now.

TSMC doesn't really trust Intel more so because as soon as Intel gets their own foundry act together TSMC knows the order flow will drop. This is mainly a 'stop gap' for Intel. For the next couple of years Intel can't move high EUV fab production to their own stuff because they just don't even have enough machines to do it ( regardless of whether the Intel 4,3, or 20A is working well or not. Just don't have wafer volume period to cover most of their product line up. )
 
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