The Blu-Ray vs HD-DVD competition could be avoided entirely by a download service. Broadband continues to get faster and faster, downloadable games and music are already a reality thanks to steam and itunes. Add this trend to the fact that most people are happy with the quality of their current DVDs, and iTV already makes a lot of sense.
It's only a matter of time until iTunes offers HD movie downloads, why take a risk on HDDVD or Blu-Ray when you can stick with the extremely well established iTunes? You can download music and HD movies cheaply and easily.
Storage may become an issue, but harddrives have come down in price considerably over recent years. Hell we will probably be streaming full length HD movies in the future- we're already streaming HD trailers in front row.
I disagree. How much time before that is a feasible option for the vast majority of internet users out there?
In my case, I cant get fios, and dont see the value in an OC3. So, I have cable with a sustainable download rate of 450KB/s. I would consider this at least average throughput for the US (where I live). If I wanted to download a Blu-Ray equivalent quality1080P 2hr movie, it would take me 12+ hours if I choose not to use my link to download anything else or perform any work from home (both of which are very unlikely).
Now you may say, you just download it in advance while you are sleeping and watch it a few days later. The problem there is, I dont like to wait.
🙂 If thats the case and I am going to wait for the movie, I may as well rent it through netflix.
So, even if I wanted to wait for it, how much will it cost me to purchase this downloadable HD content and store it on a fairly reliable raid 5/6 solution? I would expect a premium price for HD content on the iTunes store, compared to their SD content. So, I would venture a guess of $20 for new releases and an additional $10 worth of array space (prorated NAS system and controller included).
Also, how many movies titles can I expect in HD through iTunes compared to what is widely available at a brick and mortar? I think iTunes would launch with fewer titles, but it should be able to catch up once the Studios jump on board. This is just as risky as the format war debate in my mind however.
All things considered in my reality, I prefer to drive to Best Buy, pick up a movie for $25 that matches my current mood, and watch it 15 minutes later.
What Blu-Ray or HD-DVD doesn't provide me is next day access to TV shows I may have missed for one reason or another. Which is what I use iTunes for most and would likely be the driver for me to purchase an iTV. That and the dream of being able to replace my disparate TiVos with a more network-hub focused, iPod friendly, family of devices.
Lastly, I may be *old* having lived through the CD Audio fad, but I prefer to have a copy of my music/movies on optical media. I have burned through quite a few hard drives in my day and prefer to have a non magnetic copy. I have CDs and DVDs considerably older than my oldest functioning hard drive. Its comforting to know I can rip them again (for fair use of course) as needed from the originals. If the iTunes store had a policy where you could re-download your content, I wouldnt so much mind then, but they dont (at least I dont think they do
).